Our Raptors vs Timberwolves prediction covers a Sunday night meeting of two unbeaten teams at Target Center. Both clubs are 2-0, and the market has moved a long way since the open. Minnesota opened as a 2.5-point favorite and now lays just one point, even though most of the betting tickets sit on the home side. Below we break down availability, pace and that line move before landing on two picks.
Last Updated: October 25, 2026
Toronto Raptors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves — Game Info
| Where | Target Center, Minneapolis Minnesota |
| When | October 25 – 7:00 PM ET |
| TV | NBA TV |
Toronto Raptors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
Availability is clean for a game this early in the season. Minnesota lists Donte DiVincenzo as out with an Achilles injury, and he is the only Timberwolf on the report. Toronto’s only listing is two-way center Nate Bittle with a foot injury. Anthony Edwards, LaMelo Ball, Rudy Gobert, Scottie Barnes and Kawhi Leonard all carry no designation. However, NBA reports update through the afternoon, so a late change would alter this read.
Both rosters look different from last spring. Minnesota landed Ball and Josh Green from Charlotte in a four-team trade that sent Naz Reid and Julius Randle out. Meanwhile, Toronto brought Leonard back from the Clippers. Edwards is averaging 30 points through two games, while Barnes is posting 25.5 points and 10 rebounds.
Ratings tell the early story better than raw scoring. Per Basketball Reference, Toronto owns a 90.5 defensive rating, the best mark in the league so far. Minnesota sits at 120.3 on offense and 97.3 on defense. The pace gap matters too. Toronto is playing at 107.2 possessions per 48 minutes, third in the NBA, while Minnesota is 14th at 102.2. Two games is a tiny sample, though. Last season Toronto played at a 98.4 pace with the fifth-best defensive rating, and Minnesota finished eighth on defense.
The results so far back up the ratings. Toronto routed Chicago 135-92 at home and then won 112-102 in Washington. Minnesota won 131-106 in Miami and 115-93 in Orlando. Both clubs also arrive off winning seasons. Minnesota went 49-33 last year, and Toronto finished 46-36. With only two regular-season games played, there is no meaningful 10-game window yet, so last season’s numbers still carry real weight.
The schedule spot is even tonight. Both teams last played Friday. Still, Minnesota is on the front end of a back-to-back, with a trip to Cleveland on Monday. The Timberwolves won both meetings last season, 128-126 in Toronto and 115-107 in Minneapolis.
Toronto Raptors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | +1.0 (-115) | -110 | O 232.0 (-110) |
| Timberwolves | -1.0 (-105) | -110 | U 232.0 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of October 25, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NBA Odds – Futures – Props
Toronto Raptors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Raptors | 21% | 79% | Timberwolves |
See the latest NBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Raptors vs. Timberwolves Prediction — A Number Drifting Against 79% of the Tickets
Start with the market, because it is sending a clear message. Minnesota opened at -2.5 on the spread and -135 on the moneyline. Since then, 79% of spread tickets and 76% of moneyline tickets have landed on the Timberwolves. Yet the spread has dropped to -1.0 and the moneyline has fallen to a pick’em price. That is reverse line movement. When the ticket count piles onto one side and the number moves the other way, the bigger money is usually on the less popular team.
The research points the same direction. Toronto has the league’s best defensive rating through two games, and it was a top-five defense last season too. That second figure matters more, since it covers a full year. In addition, Leonard adds a proven shot creator next to Barnes, and the Raptors have already won both games with him in the lineup. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves turn around and play in Cleveland on Monday. That is not a fatigue edge tonight. However, it can shorten a rotation late in a close game.
The case against is real. Minnesota has the more efficient offense so far, and it swept last season’s series. The Timberwolves also beat Miami and Orlando on the road by a combined 47 points. Additionally, the value at the opening number is gone. The current price asks for 52.4%, which leaves a thin margin. This rates as a lean with market support rather than a strong play.
The price math shows how far the market has moved. Toronto’s opening moneyline implied a win rate of about 46.5%. The current price implies 52.4%, so the market has re-rated the Raptors by roughly six points. Our read has Toronto winning slightly more than half the time, given its defense and the market’s agreement. That clears the current break-even, but only just. The upside is that the move came against the public, which is the footprint of informed money rather than recreational action. No injury or roster news has been reported to explain it.
The Pick: Raptors Moneyline (-110)
Raptors vs. Timberwolves Prediction — Minnesota’s 43 Three-Point Attempts a Night Meet the League’s Stingiest Defense
The total opened at 232.5 and has slipped half a point. The defensive side of the argument is the stronger one here. Both teams ranked inside the top eight in defensive rating last season, and both rank top four this season. Toronto also took just 32.1 threes per game last season, a low-volume profile that tends to persist. Fewer threes mean fewer high-value possessions and less scoreboard volatility. At last season’s pace and efficiency, these teams project close to this number rather than well above it.
On the other hand, the early pace data leans toward points. Toronto is running at the third-fastest pace in the league, and Minnesota is launching 43.5 threes per game. Volume like that can push a total past any number on its own. Rudy Gobert is also averaging 12 rebounds, and extra second-chance possessions would add points to the scoreboard. Free throws are another swing factor. Minnesota took 25.3 free throws per game last season, and Toronto took 23.4, so neither team lives at the line. In contrast, a lopsided score late could bring bench minutes and a slower finish. This is a thin edge, and it partly rests on the same input as our side pick. If Toronto’s defense holds up, both bets benefit. If it does not, both are exposed.
The Pick: Under 232.0 (-110)
Our Final Word on Raptors vs. Timberwolves
Minnesota arrives off two convincing road wins in Miami and Orlando. Still, the market has moved against the home team all day, and the defensive numbers back Toronto. We back the Raptors Moneyline (-110) because the line has moved their way against 79% of the spread tickets. We also take the Under 232.0 (-110) because both defenses rated top eight last season and Toronto keeps its three-point volume low.
NBA Raptors vs. Timberwolves FAQ: October 25, 2026
What time does the Raptors vs. Timberwolves game start?
The Toronto Raptors and Minnesota Timberwolves tip off at 7:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 25, 2026. The game is a non-conference matchup at Target Center in Minneapolis between two teams that both opened the season with two straight wins, so it is an early test for each club.
What channel is the Raptors vs. Timberwolves game on?
The Raptors vs. Timberwolves game airs nationally on NBA TV on Sunday night, so fans across the United States can find it on that channel. Tip-off is set for 7:00 PM ET from Target Center in Minneapolis, where the unbeaten Timberwolves host the unbeaten Raptors.
Where are the Raptors and Timberwolves playing?
The Raptors and Timberwolves play at Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota, the home arena of the Timberwolves. Toronto arrives after a 112-102 road win at Washington on Friday. Minnesota returns home after a two-game trip that produced wins in Miami and Orlando.
Is Donte DiVincenzo playing tonight?
No, Donte DiVincenzo will not play against the Raptors. The Timberwolves list him as out with an Achilles injury, and he is the only Minnesota player on the injury report for Sunday night’s game at Target Center. He has not played yet this season.
Who won the last meeting between the Raptors and Timberwolves?
The Minnesota Timberwolves won the last meeting, beating the Toronto Raptors 115-107 at Target Center in Minneapolis on March 5, 2026. Minnesota also edged the earlier meeting that season, 128-126 in Toronto on February 4, to take the 2025-26 season series 2-0.
What is the Timberwolves’ record this season?
The Minnesota Timberwolves are 2-0 this season after road wins over the Miami Heat, 131-106, and the Orlando Magic, 115-93. Toronto is also 2-0 after beating the Chicago Bulls 135-92 at home and the Washington Wizards 112-102 on the road, so one unbeaten record ends tonight.