Last Updated on January 27, 2018 8:10 pm by dpatrick
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Pick
Do the host Denver Nuggets have what it takes to cover as favorites tonight at 9PM ET when they play the Dallas Mavericks?
Who Oddsmakers Like: Denver. According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, the Nuggets are listed as an 8-point favorite on the spread line. The total is set at 209 points. Denver opened as a 7-point fave, while the over-under has dropped from 211.
Who the Public Likes: Dallas. As of Saturday morning, 58 percent of the betting public is siding with the visiting Mavericks.
Injury Report: Mavericks point guard Devin Harris will miss tonight’s game as he is dealing with a brain injury and a personal matter. Nerlens Noel is out indefinitely as he recovers from surgery to repair a torn ligament in his thumb. Dorian Finney-Smith is dealing with tendinitis in his quadriceps and is out until mid-February. Seth Curry is recovering from a stress reaction in his leg and is out until mid-February. For the Nuggets, Kenneth Faried has missed the last two games with ankle soreness and is questionable tonight. Paul Millsap is recovering from surgery on a torn ligament in his wrist and is out until late February.
Who the Trends Like: Dallas is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. The under is 5-0 in the last five Mavericks games when the opponent allowed 100 or more points in their previous game. Denver is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five games following a straight up victory of more than 10 points.
Who We Like: The last time these two teams met in Denver on Jan. 16, the Nuggets blew a huge lead to hold on for a 105-102 victory as 6-point favorites. Denver has won two in a row and is seemingly playing better basketball, but its inconsistencies have kept me from fully trusting them. Nikola Jokic had a massive game last time against the Mavs and if Dallas can put together a better game plan against him this time around, I like the visitors’ chances to cover here.
NBA DAILY PREDICTION: DALLAS MAVERICKS +8