The Minnesota Twins and Los Angeles Angels close a four-game set at Angel Stadium on Sunday afternoon, and the market still has the road team in front. Minnesota is a short -120 favorite despite dropping two of the first three in Anaheim. Dean Kremer takes the ball against Angels right-hander Ryan Johnson, who has been the steadier arm for six weeks. Our headline play sides with the home team, and the reasoning has as much to do with what this price has refused to do as with the pitchers.
Last Updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California |
| When | Sunday, September 20 — 4:07 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABTV, Twins.TV |
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview
Start with the arms, because this one turns on them. Johnson enters at 5-8 with a 4.88 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP and 70 strikeouts across 90.1 innings. Those season figures undersell where he is now. He has worked exactly six innings in each of his last three starts: one earned run and seven strikeouts against Seattle on September 15, three earned at Boston on September 9, and one earned at Pittsburgh on September 4. The Seattle outing was his fourth quality start in five tries.
Kremer arrived from Baltimore at the trade deadline and sits at 3-5 with a 5.35 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP and 74 strikeouts in 77.1 innings. His recent work is better than that line. He threw 5.2 innings of one-run ball against the Yankees on September 14, on 94 pitches, after five innings and two earned runs at Detroit. The caveat is length: he has not completed six innings since a seven-inning, one-run start against Baltimore on August 22.
Neither club has anything left to play for. Minnesota is 72-83 and fourth in the AL Central. Los Angeles is 60-95 and last in the AL West. Both offenses are scuffling. The Twins have lost seven of ten while batting .223, and the Angels are 5-5 in that span while hitting .221. Minnesota is without Pablo Lopez and the Angels remain without Yoan Moncada. Saturday mattered as well: Los Angeles trailed 5-2 into the eighth, tied it on Vaughn Grissom’s ninth-inning homer, and won in the 11th.
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels Odds
| Run Line | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -1.5 (+140) | -120 | U 8.5 (-105) |
| Angels | +1.5 (-165) | +100 | O 8.5 (-115) |
Odds accurate as of Sunday, September 20, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest MLB Odds – Futures – Props
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Twins | 57% | 43% | Angels |
See the latest MLB Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Twins vs. Angels Prediction — Upset Alert in L.A.?
The most interesting thing here is the silence in the market. Minnesota opened -120 on the moneyline and sits at -120 now. The run line opened at -1.5 (+140) and has not budged either. Meanwhile, 70 percent of moneyline tickets are on the Twins, along with 57 percent of run-line tickets. Heavy public support with a number that refuses to move toward it is a line freeze, and it usually means the handle disagrees with the ticket count.
The baseball supports the same read. Johnson has been the better pitcher since August, and he has given his team six innings in each of his last three turns. Kremer is trending the right way but has not finished six innings in a month, which hands the middle of the game to a tired bullpen. A road favorite at -120 normally carries a starting-pitching edge. Here it runs the other way, and the home side is available at even money.
The case against is real. Johnson has walked 39 batters in 90.1 innings, and command lapses are how his short outings begin. Los Angeles is 34-46 at home and hitting .221 of late, so this side means trusting a quiet lineup. A frozen line is a signal, not a verdict, and at even money there is no margin for error.
The Pick: Angels Moneyline (+100)
Twins vs. Angels Prediction — Will Tired Pens Lead to Scoring?
Totals are decided late, and both relief corps are short today. Saturday’s game went 11 innings. Minnesota burned A.J. Minter, who surrendered the tying homer, and Taylor Rogers, who took the loss in the 11th. Los Angeles needed Tayler Saucedo to finish. Neither manager has his preferred late-inning sequence available, and both starters project to hand off around the sixth. That is where a posted 8.5 gets tested.
The market is nudging the same way. The total opened at 8.5 with -110 on both sides and the over is now -115, the only price movement in this game. The series has produced runs, too: nine in Thursday’s opener and 10 through regulation on Saturday. The counter deserves weight. Both lineups are hitting near .220, Johnson has allowed one earned run in two of his last three starts, and Friday’s 3-0 game showed how quiet this matchup can get.
The Pick: Over 8.5 (-115)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
The swing moment arrives in the fifth and sixth. Kremer’s pitch count is the tell. He needed 94 pitches for 5.2 innings last time out, so early traffic hands the Twins bullpen a long afternoon after an 11-inning Saturday.
There is no third angle worth forcing. Both plays rest on the same read: the starting-pitching edge belongs to the home team, and the late innings belong to whichever bullpen has more left. Finales between eliminated clubs invite lineup shuffling, so check for late scratches before first pitch. For more Sunday baseball, see today’s Phillies vs. Mets prediction or browse our latest MLB picks coverage.
Recap of the plays: Angels Moneyline (+100) and Over 8.5 (-115).
MLB Twins vs. Angels FAQ: Sunday September 20, 2026
What time does the Twins vs. Angels game start?
First pitch is set for 4:07 p.m. ET, which is 1:07 p.m. local time in Anaheim. It is the finale of a four-game weekend series and the last scheduled meeting between the two clubs this season.
What channel is the Twins vs. Angels game on?
The game airs on ABTV for Angels viewers and Twins.TV for Minnesota viewers, with streaming available through those same regional services. Radio coverage in the Twin Cities runs on 830 WCCO.
Who is pitching for the Angels today?
Right-hander Ryan Johnson starts for Los Angeles. He is 5-8 with a 4.88 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP and 70 strikeouts over 90.1 innings. Johnson has gone six innings in each of his last three starts, including a seven-strikeout, one-run outing against Seattle on September 15.
Where are the Twins and Angels playing today?
The game is at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California, the Angels’ home ballpark. Minnesota is the road team for all four games of this series and entered the weekend 32-45 away from Target Field.
Who won the last meeting between the Twins and Angels?
Los Angeles won 6-5 in 11 innings on Saturday, September 19. The Angels trailed 5-2 in the eighth, pulled within one on Adam Frazier’s pinch-hit double, and tied it on Vaughn Grissom’s ninth-inning homer. Christian Moore delivered the walk-off single in the 11th.