Forum Replies Created

Viewing 15 posts - 166 through 180 (of 539 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • in reply to: SERVICE PLAYS DEC 4th – 8th – NFL & NCAA #540940
    bimmercando
    Participant
    in reply to: SERVICE PLAYS DEC 4th – 8th – NFL & NCAA #540938
    bimmercando
    Participant

    Power Sweep’s Newsletter Play
    Dallas vs DETROIT – Thursday – DAL enter at 393.1 YPG and 29.2 PPG after a 31–28 win where QB Dak Prescott posted 320 pass yds 2 TD 1 INT, RB Javonte Williams added 59 rush yds and WR CeeDee Lamb had 112 rec yds and a TD, with the defense holding its third straight opponent to 21 offensive points or fewer. DET sit at 376.2 YPG and 29.2 PPG after QB Jared Goff threw for 256 pass yds 2 TD and WR Jameson Williams produced 144 rec yds, while the Lions’ short-yardage struggles
    continued with an 0-for-7 fourth-down skid over the last three weeks. Trend profile shows multiple Over indicators (DAL 8–4 to the Over; DET 12–3 to the Over after ATS losses), though DAL’s recent red-zone
    stops and Detroit’s inconsistent conversion rates work in the opposite direction (0-7 4th down L3W).
    Both offenses have top-tier yardage outputs, but the mixed efficiency and turnovers could tip this one.

    (Nil comment on the side here)

    in reply to: SERVICE PLAYS DEC 4th – 8th – NFL & NCAA #540937
    bimmercando
    Participant

    Marc Lawrence’s Newsletter NFL Play
    4* BEST BET
    Consider this: a month ago, the line on this game would have
    been Lions -9. Since their Bye weeks, Detroit has gone 2-3 SU and
    1-4 ATS, while Dallas is on a 3-0 SUATS winning streak heading
    into this contest. That, my friend, shows how fickle NFL lines are
    to adjustments. It’s a league that reacts to recent performance,
    and the Cowboys have certainly done more than the Lions. It’s
    time we give them their due. Dallas has beaten both of last
    year’s Super Bowl teams, the Eagles and Chiefs, within five
    days. Clearly, the Cowboys are playing their best football of
    the season and remain in the NFC playoff picture (currently the
    No. 9 seed). Our concern for Dallas tonight, though, is that the
    Lions are 3-0 SUATS at home by an average win margin of more
    than 15 PPG when coming off consecutive home games against
    foes coming off an upset win as a dog. They are also 5-1 SU and
    6-0 ATS facing sub-.666 opponents when coming off a game
    against Green Bay. The Lions crushed Dallas 47-9 as 3.5-point
    road favorites last year, and they’re laying the same number
    here after a humiliating loss. You know what to do. And with
    that, here’s THE CLINCHER: See this week’s TRIVIA TEASER
    on page 2.
    DETROIT over Dallas by 14

    >>>THIS WEEK’S AMAZING SITUATIONAL PLAY
    T R I V I A T E A S E R
    This head coach bounces back off a loss like a rubber
    ball, going 8-1 SUATS in his career after a setback as
    a favorite, including 8-0 SUATS with a .333 or greater
    record. Who is this week’s bounce-back artist?

    in reply to: SERVICE PLAYS DEC 4th – 8th – NFL & NCAA #540936
    bimmercando
    Participant

    Tom Barton Sports
    NHL: COLORADO AVALANCHE VS. NEW YORK ISLANDERS – 7:07 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    COLORADO AVALANCHE (-202)

    Vegas Wiseguy Plays
    NHL: COLORADO AVALANCHE VS. NEW YORK ISLANDERS – 7:00 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    OVER 6

    Gambleboy Mitch Sports Picks
    NCAAB: RIDER VS. MERRIMACK – 7:00 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    MERRIMACK -9.5

    NHL: ST LOUIS BLUES VS. BOSTON BRUINS – 7:07 PM ET (12/4/2025) BOSTON BRUINS (+120)

    Total Winner Sports
    NFL: DALLAS COWBOYS VS. DETROIT LIONS – 8:15 PM ET (12/4/2025) DETROIT LIONS -3

    NCAAB: RIDER VS. MERRIMACK – 7:00 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    MERRIMACK -9

    NCAAB: UTAH STATE VS. SOUTH FLORIDA – 7:00 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    UTAH STATE -1.5

    Caesars Sports Picks
    NBA: BOSTON CELTICS VS. WASHINGTON WIZARDS – 7:10 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    BOSTON CELTICS -10

    NBA: UTAH JAZZ VS. BROOKLYN NETS – 7:40 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    OVER 232.5

    NBA: MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS. NEW ORLEANS PELICANS – 8:10 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    OVER 234

    NFL: DALLAS COWBOYS VS. DETROIT LIONS – 8:15 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    DALLAS COWBOYS +3

    Midwest Mike
    10 unit POW
    Detroit Lions -2.5 buy 1/2

    Lock Of Today
    NHL: ST LOUIS BLUES VS. BOSTON BRUINS – 7:07 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    OVER 5.5

    Duke Wins (Barry Duke)
    NBA: UTAH JAZZ VS. BROOKLYN NETS – 7:40 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    BROOKLYN NETS +4.5

    NBA: LOS ANGELES LAKERS VS. TORONTO RAPTORS – 7:40 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    TORONTO RAPTORS -2.5

    NFL: DALLAS COWBOYS VS. DETROIT LIONS – 8:15 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    DETROIT LIONS -3

    Dime Club
    NCAAB: ROBERT MORRIS VS. GREEN BAY – 7:00 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    OVER 139

    NHL: ST LOUIS BLUES VS. BOSTON BRUINS – 7:07 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    UNDER 5.5

    NHL: NEW YORK RANGERS VS. OTTAWA SENATORS – 7:07 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    UNDER 5.5

    Dime Club
    NCAB: ROBERT MORRIS VS. GREEN BAY – 7:00 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    OVER 139

    NHL: ST LOUIS BLUES VS. BOSTON BRUINS – 7:07 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    UNDER 5.5

    NHL: NEW YORK RANGERS VS. OTTAWA SENATORS – 7:07 PM ET (12/4/2025)
    UNDER 5.5

    in reply to: SERVICE PLAYS DEC 4th – 8th – NFL & NCAA #540935
    bimmercando
    Participant

    Jack Jones
    25* GOY Cowboys +3.5

    Matt Severance
    PHI -162 NBA
    CSNR -169
    NYI +1.5 -143 = NHL!

    Mike Tierney
    DAL Under 54.5

    Jeff Hochman
    CGY +112 – Poss another NHL?

    Larry Hartstein & RJ White
    DAL +3

    Pro Sports Picks
    3% [NFL] Dallas Cowboys +3.0 (-108
    3%[NHL] Seattle Kraken +1.5 (-125)

    Bruce Marshall
    NHL
    Minnesota Wild (-118)

    Kyle Kargel
    NFL 5* Cowboys +3.5

    Pickswise Sports
    NFL 5* Best Bet Over 53.5
    4* Cowboys +3.5

    Zachary Cohen
    NFL
    Cowboys +3.5
    Cowboys +150 (Moneyline)
    Top Prop Play Cowboys WR George Pickens Over 76.5 receiving yards (-111)

    Dean Whitaker
    NFL 4* Lions -3

    WILL ROGERS
    (101) DALLAS COWBOYS AT (102) DETROIT LIONS
    Date/Time:Dec 4 2025 8:15 PM EST
    Line Provider:BetOnline
    Play Rating:5%
    Odds:-115
    Play:Detroit Lions -3.0 (-115)
    My selection is on the Detroit Lions. Thanksgiving weekend was a tale of two outcomes in the NFC. The Cowboys came out smiling after taking down the Chiefs and then watching the Bears do them a favor by upsetting the Eagles. The Lions, meanwhile, fell short against the Packers, and the Chicago win ended up stinging them instead of helping. To top it off, Amon-Ra St. Brown left the game with an injury; he’ll want to try to gut it out against Dallas, but it seems more likely that he sits. Importantly, we’re working with a lower line due to his status. Value.
    New week, clean slate. Dallas is just 2-4 away from home this year, and those two victories came against the Jets and Raiders, arguably the league’s bottom feeders. Their four road defeats have mostly been ugly, losing by an average of 11 points and never by fewer than three points. Last season, Detroit obliterated this same Cowboys squad 47-9, racking up a 492-251 yardage domination. Thursday’s game figures to be a little tighter, and the Lions will almost certainly be without Amon-Ra St. Brown, but I still look for Detroit to bring the heat and punch their way back into the win column at home. Lions win by 10 or more.

    Jensen Lewis
    (VSIN NFL) – Cowboys/Lions Under 54.5

    Brandon Lang
    NFL 50 Dime Cowboys +3

    Big Al
    NHL
    1* Lightning -200

    NBA
    1* Jazz – 4

    CBB
    3* Rider +9
    3* CS – Northridge -3.5
    1* Citadel + 20.5

    NFL
    1* Lions – 3
    1* Lions Under 54.5

    Smart Money Sports
    3U Lions -3

    in reply to: SERVICE PLAYS DEC 4th – 8th – NFL & NCAA #540911
    bimmercando
    Participant

    DOC’S SPORTS FREE PLAYS
    College Football Prediction From Raphael Esparza:

    Take ‘Over’ 47.0 Troy at James Madison (7 p.m., Friday, Dec. 5)

    This biggest betting spread in all the Conference Championship games is Friday night at Harrisonburg, Virginia. We could see some snow showers late in this game, but no matter what the weather could be I see the JMU Dukes scoring at will. James Madison is averaging 48.5 ppg in their last 6 games and against App State and Old Dominion they scored over 50 points. Troy averaged over 25ppg this season, and if they want to keep this game close they will need to score points because I think we all believe JMU will score at will.

    College Football Prediction From Scott Spreitzer:

    Take #106 James Madison (-23) over Troy (7 p.m., Friday, Dec. 5)

    If you can stop or even slow down the James Madison ground game and force them to go up top more often than they wish to, you can hang around with the Dukes. But that’s not Troy. The Trojans are 99th against the run and they’re even worse on offense when it comes to their own ground game. I don’t believe Troy is built to hang with JMU. Dukes’ HC Bob Chesney has taken the job at UCLA but he and the school have agreed to have him coach this game and any game that comes afterwards. Look for the Dukes to make backers happy. I’m laying the points with James Madison on Friday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

    Soccer Prediction From Doc’s Sports:

    Take Bayern Munich (-1.5, +100) over Stuttgart (9:30 a.m., Saturday Dec. 6)

    Bayern Munich, in our opinion, is the best team in the world right now. They have won eight of their last ten Bundesliga matches by multiple goals. Stuttgart is a very good team, but nowhere on the level of Munich. And we think that since this is such a strong opponent, that Bayern will be on their top game as they did have one slip up recently when they didn’t play their best against middling Union Berlin on the road in a 1-1 draw. But that match was certainly an outlier and that was the first time all season that they failed to capture the full three points in a league match. Stuttgart is not in the best form and are coming off a road loss to No. 13 Hamburger SV, who obviously was even lower on the table before earning three points. Bayern got back to form after a Champions League loss to Arsenal and won big vs. St. Pauli at home (they have a tournament match in between the time of this writing and the match against Stuttgart). Bayern won here in February, 3-1, and they are even stronger now and we expect them to be on their A Game for this match.

    College Basketball Prediction From Robert Ferringo:

    Take Purdue (-6.5) over Iowa State (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 6)

    We have racked up 84 of 133 wins in this space (64%) and I am 129-78 (63%) with my newsletter plays over the last 206 weeks. I like this Iowa State team. But opponents don’t win in Mackey. This is a true home game for the Boilermakers. They are the No. 1 team in the country and I think that they are going to be ready to go. The Boilermakers won at Alabama and they cut through Texas Tech like they weren’t even there. Purdue had no trouble winning at The RAC this week to open Big Ten play, and I think that they are in form. Iowa State will have only played once – against Alcorn State – since the Wednesday before Thanksgiving and they may be without Tamin Lipsey, their point guard. Add it all up and I think the Boilers go bonkers here.

    College Football Prediction From Scott Rickenbach:

    Take #111 BYU (+12.5) over Texas Tech (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 6)

    Location of this one (Dallas) favors the Red Raiders although certainly BYU does travel well. Texas Tech already blew out the Cougars 29-7 in early November in Lubbock but, keep in mind, the Cougars lost the turnover battle 3-0 in that one. BYU could not get the run game going in that one. That remains the Cougars only loss this season however and these are big points on offer with this one. Texas Tech is hard to argue with however as, other than their upset win at Arizona State, all 11 wins for them this season have come by a margin of 22 points or more! One must keep in mind also that, other than that game against the Sun Devils, the Red Raiders win over BYU is the only other game this season in which Texas Tech did not score at least 30 points. That points to the fact that this Cougars team still performed better than most anyone this season against the Red Raiders from a defensive standpoint. Considering that plus revenge plus how well the Cougars have been playing, consider grabbing the big points with BYU in this one although I do understand the early move went toward Texas Tech in this one. That is truly only enhancing the underdog value here and in fact the line has now dropped back down from having moved up to 13.5 to now coming back down to 12.5 as of Tuesday. The Cougars are still worth a look here even though the line has moved again. Take BYU +12.5.
    NFL Prediction From Doc’s Sports:

    Take #132 Jacksonville (+1.5) over Indianapolis (1 p.m.,Sunday, Dec. 7)

    Solo first place in the AFC South is on the line Sunday when the Colts travel south to Jacksonville to take on the Jaguars. As expected, the Colts have fallen off of late losing 3 of their last 4 games. QB Jones and RB Taylor has not been as productive of late and I just do not trust this team when playing December games on the road. Jacksonville has won 3 straight games, and they are starting to light up the scoreboard and I see that continuing at home in this game. The wrong team is favored, and we will gladly take the slight home dog on Sunday. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Card featuring top plays in College Basketball, NBA, NHL, Football, and the UFC.

    NFL Prediction From Strike Point Sports:

    Take Pittsburgh (+6) over Baltimore (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)

    I am not sold on either of these teams to make one bit of noise in the AFC Playoffs, and in no way do I see the Ravens being a touchdown better than the Steelers. Yes, Baltimore seems to play differently in front of their home fans, but this team hasn’t shown any form of dominance. The only impressive win they had during their winning streak was over the Bears, otherwise they looked like an average team beating bad teams. The Ravens are only 2-5 ATS at home this season and they are 4-8 overall against the number. Give me the points in this matchup as this game has field goal difference written all over it.

    NFL Prediction From Arun Shiva:

    Take Philadelphia (-3) over L.A. Chargers (8 p.m., Monday, Dec. 8)

    We roll with the Eagles here. Look, if the Eagles struggled against the Bears and Cowboys to score, scoring 15 and 21 points in those 2 games, scoring 16 points against Detroit, 10 against Green Bay and their last great game was against the lowly Giants, and the last 4 going under. So, I know the fear in taking these Eagles. But the Eagles love prime time. They beat the Chiefs on primetime and this team thrives on adversity. This team has not lost 3 in a row and they have played a brutal schedule of late such as facing Dallas on a revenge game for Dallas and have faced 4 straight teams above .500. Whereas these are the same Chargers that lost to the Jaguars 6-35, lost to the Colts by 14, barely beat Tennessee and of the 8 wins they have, very few come against winning teams and as they come off a win against the lowly Raiders in one of their best games, look for a big let down here against a very hungry Eagles team

    bimmercando
    Participant
    bimmercando
    Participant

    Here we go Spread.com followers ( after a weekend where I lost on both of my survivor entries. Feeling quite empty now ):

    Newsletter Tracking (through 12/01/2025)

    The records here will reflect the lines listed in the newsletters at the time the plays were published. This is for the rated plays, the high-ranking plays, and any type of play worth tracking. There’s no reason to keep track of every bottom-tier or “recommended” play; it’s not worth the work.

    Sometimes the newsletters will cheat a little by claiming a different common or later line if it turns a loss into a push or otherwise boosts their record.

    Best & Worst
    Gold Sheet NCAA Tech Plays (11-3-0) (lost this week)
    Playbook Awesome Angle (10-4-1) (lost this week)
    Power Sweep Tech Play of the Week (9-4-0) (lost this week)
    GGS NFL (22-9-1) (3-1 this week)
    Pointwise NCAA 2* (3-11-0)
    Power Sweep NCAA 4* (3-10-1)

    Gridiron Gold Sheet
    NCAA (26-26-2)
    NFL (22-9-1) (3-1 this week, last week was the only losing week posted here this season)

    Bondi Bulletin
    2* NCAA (6-3-0)
    1* NCAA (10-16-0)
    2* NFL (2-6-0)
    1* NFL (8-8-0)

    Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA
    5* (6-7-1)
    4* (6-8-0)
    3* (8-6-0)
    Upset pick (7-8-0)
    Betcha Didn’t Know (7-11-0)
    Awesome Angle (10-4-1) (lost this week)
    Incredible Stat (5-5-0)

    Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
    5* (5-8-0)
    4* (7-6-0)
    3* (6-6-1)

    Pointwise NCAA
    1* (18-10-0)
    2* (3-11-0)
    3* (5-9-0)
    4* (16-12-0)
    5* (13-15-0)

    Pointwise NFL
    2* (0-1-0)
    3* (10-15-0)
    4* (7-6-0)
    5* (12-13-1)

    Power Sweep NCAA
    4* (3-10-1)
    3* (9-19-0)
    2* (16-13-0)
    Underdog Play of the Week (6-8-0)
    Tech Play of the Week (9-4-0) (lost this week)
    Revenge Play of the Week (5-6-0)
    Situational Play of the Week (6-3-0)
    Series Play of the Week (4-3-1)

    Power Sweep NFL
    4* (4-8-1)
    3* (8-5-0)
    2* (7-6-0)
    3* o/u play (7-6-0)
    Power Rating POW (0-0-1)

    Power Plays (2-8 overall this week)
    NCAA 4.5* (20-19-1)
    NCAA 4* (50-41-1)
    NFL 4* (5-7-1)

    Red Sheet (nothing again this week; previous weeks’ records from another contributor)
    90* (0-0-0)
    89* (2-6-0)
    88* (3-8-1)
    NFL 88* (4-0-0)

    Sports Reporter (missed like 10 weeks of this one)
    NCAA Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
    NCAA Best Bets (6-6-0)
    NFL Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
    NFL Best Bets (3-3-0)

    Victor King’s Totals Tipsheet
    10* GOY (0-0-0)
    3* (7-8-0)
    2* (14-10-0)
    1* (0-0-0)
    Team Total of the Week
    2* (12-8-1)
    1* (2-3-0)

    Gold Sheet NCAA
    Key Releases (16-25-1)
    Priority Picks (14-14-0)
    Tech Plays (11-3-0) (lost this week)

    Gold Sheet NFL
    Key Releases (22-16-1)
    Priority Picks (14-12-0)
    Tech Plays (4-8-0)

    Powers’ Ratings NCAA
    (no actual best bets in his newsletter again this year)
    Top Computer Play (5-9-1)

    Inside the Press Box NCAA
    Phil’s Best Bets (22-34-0)
    Phil’s FCS Best Bets (4-2-0)
    Computer Best Bets (23-29-1)
    Computer FCS Best Bets (4-0-0)

    Inside the Press Box NFL
    Phil’s Best Bets (16-17-0)
    Computer Best Bets (0-0-0)

    in reply to: THANKSGIVING WEEKEND SERVICE PLAYS MISH-MASH 2025 #540767
    bimmercando
    Participant

    Hope this site found your old friend for you!

    in reply to: Weekly Football Newsletters #540709
    bimmercando
    Participant

    I jumped the gun on Buffalo. They didn’t lose ATS (yet).

    in reply to: THANKSGIVING WEEKEND SERVICE PLAYS MISH-MASH 2025 #540707
    bimmercando
    Participant

    Only 2 favourites won SUATS this long weekend up to the 4 p.m. games
    Dog day afternoons.

    in reply to: THANKSGIVING WEEKEND SERVICE PLAYS MISH-MASH 2025 #540706
    bimmercando
    Participant

    Jack Jones

    20*TOW Rams Over 45
    20*GOW Chargers -9
    20*GOW Texans +4.5

    Steve Fezzik

    3* 49ers/Browns under 38.5 -115
    2* Browns +5.5
    2* Titans/Jags under 42

    MARK FRANCO
    rams -10
    atlanta -2.5
    seattle -11.5

    Bryan Power 5*- over Rams

    Colin Cowherd Blazin’ 5 – week 13
    Detroit (-2 1/2) Lions 28-24 Lions
    Cleveland (+6 1/2) 24-20 49ers
    Miami (-5 1/2) 33-23 Dolphins
    Tampa Bay (-2 1/2) 27-20 Bucs
    Seattle (-9 1/2) 30-13 Seahawks

    Chuck Esposito

    Red Rock SB director

    Last week: 1-4
    Season: 26-33-1

    Buccaneers -2½
    49ers -5
    Steelers +3
    Raiders +9½
    Commanders +5½

    Lou Finocchiaro

    Last week: 1-3-1
    Season: 28-30-2

    Texans +4½
    Buccaneers -2½
    Browns +5
    Commanders +5½
    Giants +7

    Doug Fitz

    Systemplays.com

    Last week: 1-4
    Season: 24-36

    Eagles -7
    Texans +4½
    Panthers +10½
    49ers -5
    Steelers +3

    Scott Kellen

    Last week: 2-2-1
    Season: 26-32-2

    Cowboys +3
    Buccaneers -2½
    Falcons -2½
    Steelers +3
    Commanders +5½

    Jay Kornegay

    Westgate SuperBook VP

    Last week: 1-4
    Season: 34-24-2

    Eagles -7
    Dolphins -5½
    Falcons -2½
    Steelers +3
    Giants +7

    Brent Musburger

    VSiN host

    Last week: 3-1-1
    Season: 26-32-2

    Cowboys +3
    Eagles -7
    Texans +4½
    Buccaneers -2½
    Bills -3

    Kelly Stewart

    Last week: 3-2
    Season: 31-29

    Eagles -7
    Texans +4½
    Dolphins -5½
    Chargers -9½
    Giants +7

    in reply to: THANKSGIVING WEEKEND SERVICE PLAYS MISH-MASH 2025 #540704
    bimmercando
    Participant

    Pickswise Sports NFL 5* Best Bets
    Panthers +10.5
    Texans +4.5
    Dolphins -5
    Broncos -6
    early games above did well

    joe damico
    5% broncos
    5% buffalo
    4% jax
    4% miami
    4% houston

    Dave Tuley
    VSiN.com
    Last week: 3-2
    Season: 25-33-2
    Bears +7
    Texans +4½
    Panthers +10½
    Vikings +11½
    Giants +7

    “Dr. Alan” Dumond, two-time top-five Westgate SuperContest finisher, Golden Nugget Ultimate Football Challenge runner-up.
    Raiders (2-9) at Chargers (7-4)

    Time: 1:25 p.m., CBS

    Line/total: Chargers -9½, 40½

    Analysis: The Raiders had high hopes that reuniting new coach Pete Carroll with quarterback Geno Smith and having Chip Kelly as their new offensive coordinator would make them playoff contenders. Instead, this combination has been a disaster, and Kelly was fired after last week’s loss to the Browns. On paper, this looks like an easy Los Angeles win. But Chargers have offensive line issues, and Raiders defensive end Maxx Crosby could have a big impact and make Los Angeles quarterback Justin Herbert uncomfortable. The Raiders’ offensive coordinator change to Greg Olson should spark their lethargic offense.

    Pick: Chargers 24, Raiders 20
    ——————————————————————-

    Texans (6-5) at Colts (8-3)

    Time: 10 a.m.

    Line/total: Colts -3½, 44

    Analysis: This is a crucial AFC South matchup that pits strength against strength, as the Texans have the NFL’s No. 2 scoring defense and the Colts the No. 1 scoring offense. Indianapolis is off an overtime loss to the Chiefs, and Houston has won three straight games with backup quarterback Davis Mills. C.J. Stroud returns as the Texans’ starting quarterback.

    Pick: Texans 23, Colts 20
    ———————————————————————————-
    Falcons (4-7) at Jets (2-9)

    Time: 10 a.m.

    Line/total: Falcons -2½, 39½

    Analysis: This is easily the least attractive matchup on Sunday’s NFL card, with Falcons veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins and Jets veteran quarterback Tyrod Taylor squaring off. Atlanta beat the Saints on the road last week, but it’s hard to win back-to-back road games in the NFL.

    Pick: Jets 20, Falcons 17
    ——————————————————————————————–
    Rams (9-2) at Panthers (6-6)

    Time: 10 a.m., Fox

    Line/total: Rams -10½, 45

    Analysis: The NFC-leading Rams are on a six-game winning streak after a blowout home win over the Buccaneers on “Sunday Night Football.” The much-improved Panthers return home off an ugly loss to the 49ers on “Monday Night Football.” It might seem folly to step in front of the Rams’ runaway train, but we’re not fans of laying double-digit points on the road in the NFL. The underdog Panthers will be motivated to make amends for their poor play last week.

    Pick: Rams 24, Panthers 17

    Jaguars (7-4) at Titans (1-10)

    Time: 10 a.m.

    Line/total: Jaguars -6, 41½

    Analysis: The Jaguars enter this AFC South matchup off an overtime win at the Cardinals and are in a horrible scheduling spot. Not only is this the second of back-to-back road games, but it’s also their fourth road game in five weeks. The lowly Titans are at home for the fourth straight week and have covered the past three weeks as underdogs. Tennessee rookie quarterback Cam Ward has improved, with no interceptions in his past three games. Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence has thrown five interceptions in his past three road starts.

    Pick: Titans 20, Jaguars 17
    ———————————————————-
    Cardinals (3-8) at Buccaneers (6-5)

    Time: 10 a.m.

    Line/total: Buccaneers -3½, 44½

    Analysis: Both squads are on three-game losing streaks. Cardinals quarterback Jacoby Brissett has taken over as the starter for injured Kyler Murray and played well. The best play in this game is to go over the total, as Tampa Bay has surrendered 106 points in the past three games, and Arizona has allowed 112.

    Pick: Cardinals 27, Buccaneers 24
    ——————————————————————————–
    Saints (2-9) at Dolphins (4-7)

    Time: 10 a.m.

    Line/total: Dolphins -5½, 41½

    Analysis: After a rough start to the season, the Dolphins have won their past two and three of four. It’s been a tough season for the rebuilding Saints, who are 3-8 ATS. Miami will be well-rested and prepared coming off its bye.

    Pick: Dolphins 24, Saints 13
    ————————————————————————
    49ers (8-4) at Browns (3-8)

    Time: 10 a.m., CBS

    Line/total: 49ers -5, 35½

    Analysis: No matter what Browns rookie quarterback Shedeur Sanders does for the rest of his NFL career, he always will be remembered for breaking a 17-game losing streak of Cleveland quarterbacks making their first start. Now the question becomes what can he do for an encore. The 49ers have won three of their past four, but are coming off an ugly win over the Panthers in which Brock Purdy threw three interceptions in the first half. We expect Purdy to bounce back, even against the tough Browns defense.

    Pick: 49ers 20, Browns 13
    —————————————————————————–
    Vikings (4-7) at Seahawks (8-3)

    Time: 1:05 p.m.

    Line/total: Seahawks -12, 41

    Analysis: This is the Sam Darnold revenge game. The Seahawks quarterback gets his first crack at his former team that parted ways with him after he led the Vikings to 14 wins last season. Minnesota has lost five of its past six games. Vikings quarterback J.J. McCarthy, Darnold’s replacement, is having an awful season and will miss the game with a concussion. Rookie Max Brosmer will make his first NFL start in his place.

    Pick: Seahawks 27, Vikings 10
    ————————————————————————–
    Bills (7-4) at Steelers (6-5)

    Time: 1:25 p.m.

    Line/total: Bills -3, 45½

    Analysis: Both teams lost last week and are in desperate need of a win to bolster their playoff hopes. We are well aware of Steelers coach Mike Tomlin’s stellar career spread record as a home underdog. But we simply trust Bills quarterback Josh Allen and coach Sean McDermott to get the win. Buffalo had extra rest after playing on “Thursday Night Football” and is the better team.

    Pick: Bills 27, Steelers 20
    —————————————————————————–
    Broncos (9-2) at Commanders (3-8)

    Time: 5:20 p.m., NBC

    Line/total: Broncos -5½, 43½

    Analysis: This game features two squads streaking in opposite directions. The Broncos have won eight straight, and the Commanders have lost six in a row. Both teams are coming off their byes. At first glance, this game looks like it should be an easy Broncos win. But Washington played hard in its overtime loss to the Dolphins in Week 11 and will get star wideout Terry McLaurin back. Denver is on a 1-3 spread skid as a favorite.

    Pick: Broncos 20, Commanders 17
    ————————————————————————–
    Giants (2-10) at Patriots (10-2)

    Time: 5:15 p.m. Monday, ESPN

    Line/total: Patriots -7, 46½

    Analysis: The Patriots are on a league-leading nine-game winning streak, and the Giants have dropped six straight. On paper, this looks like an easy New England win. But New York is on a 3-0 spread streak and has covered five of its past seven. The Patriots are on an 0-3 spread skid as favorites.

    Pick: Patriots 27, Giants 24

    “Dr. Alan” Dumond, two-time top-five Westgate SuperContest finisher, Golden Nugget Ultimate Football Challenge runner-up.
    Raiders (2-9) at Chargers (7-4)

    Time: 1:25 p.m., CBS

    Line/total: Chargers -9½, 40½

    Analysis: The Raiders had high hopes that reuniting new coach Pete Carroll with quarterback Geno Smith and having Chip Kelly as their new offensive coordinator would make them playoff contenders. Instead, this combination has been a disaster, and Kelly was fired after last week’s loss to the Browns. On paper, this looks like an easy Los Angeles win. But Chargers have offensive line issues, and Raiders defensive end Maxx Crosby could have a big impact and make Los Angeles quarterback Justin Herbert uncomfortable. The Raiders’ offensive coordinator change to Greg Olson should spark their lethargic offense.

    Pick: Chargers 24, Raiders 20
    ——————————————————————-

    Texans (6-5) at Colts (8-3)

    Time: 10 a.m.

    Line/total: Colts -3½, 44

    Analysis: This is a crucial AFC South matchup that pits strength against strength, as the Texans have the NFL’s No. 2 scoring defense and the Colts the No. 1 scoring offense. Indianapolis is off an overtime loss to the Chiefs, and Houston has won three straight games with backup quarterback Davis Mills. C.J. Stroud returns as the Texans’ starting quarterback.

    Pick: Texans 23, Colts 20
    ———————————————————————————-
    Falcons (4-7) at Jets (2-9)

    Time: 10 a.m.

    Line/total: Falcons -2½, 39½

    Analysis: This is easily the least attractive matchup on Sunday’s NFL card, with Falcons veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins and Jets veteran quarterback Tyrod Taylor squaring off. Atlanta beat the Saints on the road last week, but it’s hard to win back-to-back road games in the NFL.

    Pick: Jets 20, Falcons 17
    ——————————————————————————————–
    Rams (9-2) at Panthers (6-6)

    Time: 10 a.m., Fox

    Line/total: Rams -10½, 45

    Analysis: The NFC-leading Rams are on a six-game winning streak after a blowout home win over the Buccaneers on “Sunday Night Football.” The much-improved Panthers return home off an ugly loss to the 49ers on “Monday Night Football.” It might seem folly to step in front of the Rams’ runaway train, but we’re not fans of laying double-digit points on the road in the NFL. The underdog Panthers will be motivated to make amends for their poor play last week.

    Pick: Rams 24, Panthers 17

    Jaguars (7-4) at Titans (1-10)

    Time: 10 a.m.

    Line/total: Jaguars -6, 41½

    Analysis: The Jaguars enter this AFC South matchup off an overtime win at the Cardinals and are in a horrible scheduling spot. Not only is this the second of back-to-back road games, but it’s also their fourth road game in five weeks. The lowly Titans are at home for the fourth straight week and have covered the past three weeks as underdogs. Tennessee rookie quarterback Cam Ward has improved, with no interceptions in his past three games. Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence has thrown five interceptions in his past three road starts.

    Pick: Titans 20, Jaguars 17
    ———————————————————-
    Cardinals (3-8) at Buccaneers (6-5)

    Time: 10 a.m.

    Line/total: Buccaneers -3½, 44½

    Analysis: Both squads are on three-game losing streaks. Cardinals quarterback Jacoby Brissett has taken over as the starter for injured Kyler Murray and played well. The best play in this game is to go over the total, as Tampa Bay has surrendered 106 points in the past three games, and Arizona has allowed 112.

    Pick: Cardinals 27, Buccaneers 24
    ——————————————————————————–
    Saints (2-9) at Dolphins (4-7)

    Time: 10 a.m.

    Line/total: Dolphins -5½, 41½

    Analysis: After a rough start to the season, the Dolphins have won their past two and three of four. It’s been a tough season for the rebuilding Saints, who are 3-8 ATS. Miami will be well-rested and prepared coming off its bye.

    Pick: Dolphins 24, Saints 13
    ————————————————————————
    49ers (8-4) at Browns (3-8)

    Time: 10 a.m., CBS

    Line/total: 49ers -5, 35½

    Analysis: No matter what Browns rookie quarterback Shedeur Sanders does for the rest of his NFL career, he always will be remembered for breaking a 17-game losing streak of Cleveland quarterbacks making their first start. Now the question becomes what can he do for an encore. The 49ers have won three of their past four, but are coming off an ugly win over the Panthers in which Brock Purdy threw three interceptions in the first half. We expect Purdy to bounce back, even against the tough Browns defense.

    Pick: 49ers 20, Browns 13
    —————————————————————————–
    Vikings (4-7) at Seahawks (8-3)

    Time: 1:05 p.m.

    Line/total: Seahawks -12, 41

    Analysis: This is the Sam Darnold revenge game. The Seahawks quarterback gets his first crack at his former team that parted ways with him after he led the Vikings to 14 wins last season. Minnesota has lost five of its past six games. Vikings quarterback J.J. McCarthy, Darnold’s replacement, is having an awful season and will miss the game with a concussion. Rookie Max Brosmer will make his first NFL start in his place.

    Pick: Seahawks 27, Vikings 10
    ————————————————————————–
    Bills (7-4) at Steelers (6-5)

    Time: 1:25 p.m.

    Line/total: Bills -3, 45½

    Analysis: Both teams lost last week and are in desperate need of a win to bolster their playoff hopes. We are well aware of Steelers coach Mike Tomlin’s stellar career spread record as a home underdog. But we simply trust Bills quarterback Josh Allen and coach Sean McDermott to get the win. Buffalo had extra rest after playing on “Thursday Night Football” and is the better team.

    Pick: Bills 27, Steelers 20
    —————————————————————————–
    Broncos (9-2) at Commanders (3-8)

    Time: 5:20 p.m., NBC

    Line/total: Broncos -5½, 43½

    Analysis: This game features two squads streaking in opposite directions. The Broncos have won eight straight, and the Commanders have lost six in a row. Both teams are coming off their byes. At first glance, this game looks like it should be an easy Broncos win. But Washington played hard in its overtime loss to the Dolphins in Week 11 and will get star wideout Terry McLaurin back. Denver is on a 1-3 spread skid as a favorite.

    Pick: Broncos 20, Commanders 17
    ————————————————————————–
    Giants (2-10) at Patriots (10-2)

    Time: 5:15 p.m. Monday, ESPN

    Line/total: Patriots -7, 46½

    Analysis: The Patriots are on a league-leading nine-game winning streak, and the Giants have dropped six straight. On paper, this looks like an easy New England win. But New York is on a 3-0 spread streak and has covered five of its past seven. The Patriots are on an 0-3 spread skid as favorites.

    Pick: Patriots 27, Giants 24

    in reply to: THANKSGIVING WEEKEND SERVICE PLAYS MISH-MASH 2025 #540702
    bimmercando
    Participant

    Executive
    400 Colts
    250 Saints
    250 Raiders
    250 Commanders

    Lenny Stevens
    20* TB
    20* PITT
    10* Jets
    10* SF
    10* Wash

    Ross Benjamin

    4% Seattle Seahawks -11.5 (-115)
    2% Cleveland Browns +5.5 (-105)
    3% Carolina Panthers +10.5

    Joe Gavazzi

    3% Texans +4.5
    3% Steelers +3

    Bruce Marshall

    NFL

    Atlanta Falcond -2′ (-115)
    Seattle Seahawks -11′ (-110)
    LA Chargers -9′ (-108)
    Houston Texans +3′ (-110)
    Miami Dolphins -5′ (-107)
    Cleveland Browns +5′ (-105)

    Bob Balfe

    2025 VIP Football Record (70-67)

    Bucs -3.5 over Cardinals​
    Dolphins -5.5 over Saints​
    Falcons -3 over Jets​
    Chargers -10 over Raiders​
    Commanders +6.5 over Broncos​

    Steve Fezzik
    3* 49ers/Browns under 38.5 -115
    2* Browns +5.5
    2* Titans/Jags under 42
    2* Raiders/Chargers under 41
    3* Panthers RB Dowdle under 59.5 rush yards -115 (Player prop of the month)
    2* Colts QB Jones under 239.5 rush + pass yards -120 (okay down to 228)

    Matt Youmans [VSIN NFL]
    Steelers +3.5
    Texans +3.5
    Raiders +10.5

    Victor King NFL 5* Broncos -6 (Best Bet

    in reply to: THANKSGIVING WEEKEND SERVICE PLAYS MISH-MASH 2025 #540701
    bimmercando
    Participant

    Late Sunday


      Marc Lawrence

      3* Steelers +3.5
      3* Raiders +9.5

      Scott Spreitzer
      6U Commanders+5.5
      1U Browns+5

      Big Al McMordie
      NCAA Basketball
      3* Chattanooga – 8.5, 2:00 pm
      1* St. Joseph’s -3.5, 1:00 pm

      NFL
      4* Commanders +6 (BIG AL’s 100% (19-0 ATS) NFL GAME OF
      THE WEEK)
      1* Cardinals/ Buccaneers Under 44.5 (BIG AL’s NFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH (12-3 RUN)!)

      Marco D’Angelo
      4* Commanders
      3% Colts -3

      Wayne Root
      Gold Standard – Carolina +10
      Pinnacle – Pittsburgh +3
      Reserve – Washington +6

      King Creole
      Sunday, November 30th
      1:00pm ET / 10:00am PT
      #465-466
      AFC South Division
      JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS @ TENNESSEE TITANS
      4**** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL
      *Optimum OU line: 41.5 or less points

      2** UNDER the Total (44.5) / Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts / 1:00pm ET
      3*** UNDER the Total (45.5) / Buffalo Bills @ Pittsburgh Steelers / 4:25pm ET

Viewing 15 posts - 166 through 180 (of 539 total)