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NBA Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Tuesday 2/26/19

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Tuesday 2/26/19

 
Posted : February 26, 2019 11:00 am
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Tuesday’s games
Magic won/covered six of last seven games; they covered their last seven road games. Under is 4-1 in their last five road games. New York won two of last three games after an 0-18 skid; they are 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. Under is 11-4 in their last fifteen games. Knicks lost five of their last six games with Orlando (under 4-2). Magic covered their last four visits to Manhattan.

Celtics lost four of their last six games, are 2-8-1 vs spread in last 1 road games. Four of their last six games went over. Raptors won seven of last eight games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Three of their last four games went over. Home side won last ten Boston-Toronto games; four of last five series games went over the total. Celtics are 0-5 vs spread in their last five visits to Toronto.

Thunder won 12 of their last 15 games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven road games. Over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Denver won its last four games (3-1 vs spread); they’re 7-1 vs spread in last eight home games. Under is 4-0-1 in their last five games. Nuggets won six of last seven games with Oklahoma City; six of last eight series games stayed under the total. Thunder are 0-3 vs spread in last three visits to Denver.

 
Posted : February 26, 2019 11:02 am
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By Chris David

The second-half of the season is in full swing and we’ve had 41 games played since last Thursday. After watching underdogs dominate the betting counter with a 19-11 (63%) record against the spread, the favorites struck back on Monday with a 7-4 mark versus the number.

Favorites went 9-2 straight up last night and they’re 27-14 over the last five days. While a couple ‘chalk’ winners on the hardwood got squeezed with the spread, notable heavy-bet favorites in the Warriors and Bucks cashed tickets on the road.

Milwaukee (46-14) owns the best record in the league and has started the second-half 3-0 but a four straight games against Western Conference teams are on deck. Portland and Detroit have also jumped out of the chute with a 3-0 mark since the break.

Looking to fade teams? Miami was one of the lone favorites to fall last night, collapsing to the Suns 124-121 at home. The Heat have gone 0-3 (1-2 ATS) since the break and they have the Warriors at home and Rockets on the road on deck. Good Luck!

San Antonio (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) and Dallas (0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS) are also winless in the second-half and while the Spurs were embarrassed in New York, they played a tough game in Toronto. As for Dallas, the ‘silent tank’ is on and the team is now 1-6 both SU and ATS in its last seven games and the one win came at home in a game where Portland fell apart.

Tuesday’s slate only has three games on tap and based on the current form, trends and situations, the favorites appear to be the leans – at least on paper. Let’s break them down.

Orlando (27-32 SU, 32-26-1 ATS) at New York (11-47 SU, 25-31-2 ATS)

It’s rare to see Orlando listed as a road favorite, just four times this season and the club has lived up to the expectations of the oddsmakers by going 3-1 both SU and ATS. The ‘under’ has gone 3-1 in those games. The Magic have gone 1-1 since the All-Star break, and the loss was surprising as they fell to Chicago 110-109 last Friday as an eight-point home favorite. The club rebounded with a nice win over Toronto (113-98) on Sunday and that win pushed them to 8-2 both SU and ATS in its last 10 games. The defense has stepped up of late and bettors should note that Orlando is 13-3 this season when holding opponents under the century mark.

The Knicks are coming off a 130-118 win over San Antonio as a nine-point home underdog on Sunday but that result and offensive production was clearly an aberration. The team hasn’t won back-to-back games since November and they haven’t had much success against this opponent. The Magic have won and covered three straight and five of their last six encounters against the Knicks, which includes two victories this season. Both of those results came in November and the Magic won by 14 points (131-117) at home and 26 points (115-89) from Madison Square Garden. The pair will meet for the fourth and final time on Apr. 3 from Orlando.

Boston (37-21 SU, 29-28-1 ATS) at Toronto (43-16 SU, 25-33-1 ATS)

Eastern Conference contenders collide on Tuesday and the oddsmakers sent Toronto out as a four-point home favorite over Boston. As underdogs this season, the Celtics have gone 3-7 SU and 3-6 ATS. They did earn a cover against the Bucks last week but the point-spread hasn’t mattered much, which could have you leaning Celtics on the money-line (+155).

Laying the points with Toronto hasn’t been a good investment lately, losers at the betting counter in their last five games. And even though their 24-4 record at home is one of the best records in the league, a 13-16 ATS mark has you in the red. This isn’t that large of a number and it should be noted that the Raptors are 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS when laying less than five points at home this season.

As mentioned above, the Celtics opened the second-half with a tough 98-97 loss at Milwaukee last Thursday and they followed up that decision with an embarrassing 126-116 setback at Chicago as heavy 10-point road underdogs. Losing to Toronto on Tuesday would be the fourth time this season that Boston has lost three consecutive games. To put things in perspective, Boston only had two losing streaks of three-plus games in the 2017-18 campaign.

Toronto entered the All-Star break with a six-game winning streak and it extended the run to seven last Friday as they defeated former teammate DeMar DeRozan and the Spurs 120-117 at home. The Raptors were fortunate to grab that win but they got caught napping in an afternoon matinee loss at home on Sunday to Orlando, 113-98. The Raptors rested All-Star Kawhi Leonard against the Magic and they now sit at 13-4 without him in the lineup this season.

Boston holds a 2-1 edge over Toronto this season and the home team has won and covered all three meetings. The Celtics won the most recent encounter on Jan. 16 as they earned a 117-108 win as 2 ½-point home favorites. The first game from Scotiabank Arena between the pair took place in the first week of the season (Oct. 10) and Toronto cruised to a 113-101 win as a three-point favorite.

Including that setback, Boston has dropped seven straight and 11 of its last 12 trips to Canada. The Celtics have gone 3-9 ATS during this span with their last win coming in April of 2015 when Isaiah Thomas and Kelly Olynyk rallied the club to the rare road victory.

TNT will provide national coverage of this game at 8:05 p.m. ET.

Oklahoma City (37-20 SU, 33-24 ATS) at Denver (39-18 SU, 30-27 ATS)

The late-night TNT (10:35 p.m. ET) is a solid matchup in the Western Conference as Oklahoma City and Denver tangle from the Pepsi Center. The Nuggets have won and covered the first two meetings against the Thunder this season and the oddsmakers have finally given them their due, making them favorites (-3) for the first time in this season series.

Including the two results this season, Denver has won four straight and six of the last seven games against OKC and it’s gone 7-0 ATS during this span. The Thunder have come up short on their last three trips to the Pepsi Center and it could easily be four if it wasn’t for Russell Westbook’s record-setting night back in April of 2017.

Fast forward to Tuesday and this is a nice test for both clubs. The Nuggets started the second-half with back-to-back wins and covers over the Mavericks and Clippers behind a defense that only allowed 100 PPG. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is 1-1 since returning with a wild 148-17 overtime win at home over Utah before losing 119-116 the very next night at the same venue to Sacramento.

Many pundits expected Denver to drop off this season and I’m not sure how deep of a playoff run the club will make but you can’t dismiss their record versus winning teams (18-11) and their performance in games decided by three points or less, which is a league-best 10-2 overall.

It's fair to say that OKC has more big-game experience and after starting the season 0-3 in games when listed as an underdog, Billy Donovan's team has produced an eye-opening 8-2 record in its last 10 when catching points.

The total on this game opened 237, which seems a tad high based on the recent history between the pair. The ‘under’ is on a 6-2 run in this series and that includes a 2-0 record this season. Denver has watched the ‘over’ go 17-12 at home but OKC has been a solid ‘under’ lean (17-12) as a visitor.

The clubs will meet for the last time this season on Mar. 29 from Oklahoma City.

 
Posted : February 26, 2019 11:09 am
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Chris David

The second-half of the season is in full swing and we’ve had 41 games played since last Thursday. After watching underdogs dominate the betting counter with a 19-11 (63%) record against the spread, the favorites struck back on Monday with a 7-4 mark versus the number.

Favorites went 9-2 straight up last night and they’re 27-14 over the last five days. While a couple ‘chalk’ winners on the hardwood got squeezed with the spread, notable heavy-bet favorites in the Warriors and Bucks cashed tickets on the road.

Milwaukee (46-14) owns the best record in the league and has started the second-half 3-0 but a four straight games against Western Conference teams are on deck. Portland and Detroit have also jumped out of the chute with a 3-0 mark since the break.

Looking to fade teams? Miami was one of the lone favorites to fall last night, collapsing to the Suns 124-121 at home. The Heat have gone 0-3 (1-2 ATS) since the break and they have the Warriors at home and Rockets on the road on deck. Good Luck!

San Antonio (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) and Dallas (0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS) are also winless in the second-half and while the Spurs were embarrassed in New York, they played a tough game in Toronto. As for Dallas, the ‘silent tank’ is on and the team is now 1-6 both SU and ATS in its last seven games and the one win came at home in a game where Portland fell apart.

Tuesday’s slate only has three games on tap and based on the current form, trends and situations, the favorites appear to be the leans – at least on paper. Let’s break them down.

Orlando (27-32 SU, 32-26-1 ATS) at New York (11-47 SU, 25-31-2 ATS)

It’s rare to see Orlando listed as a road favorite, just four times this season and the club has lived up to the expectations of the oddsmakers by going 3-1 both SU and ATS. The ‘under’ has gone 3-1 in those games. The Magic have gone 1-1 since the All-Star break, and the loss was surprising as they fell to Chicago 110-109 last Friday as an eight-point home favorite. The club rebounded with a nice win over Toronto (113-98) on Sunday and that win pushed them to 8-2 both SU and ATS in its last 10 games. The defense has stepped up of late and bettors should note that Orlando is 13-3 this season when holding opponents under the century mark.

The Knicks are coming off a 130-118 win over San Antonio as a nine-point home underdog on Sunday but that result and offensive production was clearly an aberration. The team hasn’t won back-to-back games since November and they haven’t had much success against this opponent. The Magic have won and covered three straight and five of their last six encounters against the Knicks, which includes two victories this season. Both of those results came in November and the Magic won by 14 points (131-117) at home and 26 points (115-89) from Madison Square Garden. The pair will meet for the fourth and final time on Apr. 3 from Orlando.

Boston (37-21 SU, 29-28-1 ATS) at Toronto (43-16 SU, 25-33-1 ATS)

Eastern Conference contenders collide on Tuesday and the oddsmakers sent Toronto out as a four-point home favorite over Boston. As underdogs this season, the Celtics have gone 3-7 SU and 3-6 ATS. They did earn a cover against the Bucks last week but the point-spread hasn’t mattered much, which could have you leaning Celtics on the money-line (+155).

Laying the points with Toronto hasn’t been a good investment lately, losers at the betting counter in their last five games. And even though their 24-4 record at home is one of the best records in the league, a 13-16 ATS mark has you in the red. This isn’t that large of a number and it should be noted that the Raptors are 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS when laying less than five points at home this season.

As mentioned above, the Celtics opened the second-half with a tough 98-97 loss at Milwaukee last Thursday and they followed up that decision with an embarrassing 126-116 setback at Chicago as heavy 10-point road underdogs. Losing to Toronto on Tuesday would be the fourth time this season that Boston has lost three consecutive games. To put things in perspective, Boston only had two losing streaks of three-plus games in the 2017-18 campaign.

Toronto entered the All-Star break with a six-game winning streak and it extended the run to seven last Friday as they defeated former teammate DeMar DeRozan and the Spurs 120-117 at home. The Raptors were fortunate to grab that win but they got caught napping in an afternoon matinee loss at home on Sunday to Orlando, 113-98. The Raptors rested All-Star Kawhi Leonard against the Magic and they now sit at 13-4 without him in the lineup this season.

Boston holds a 2-1 edge over Toronto this season and the home team has won and covered all three meetings. The Celtics won the most recent encounter on Jan. 16 as they earned a 117-108 win as 2 ½-point home favorites. The first game from Scotiabank Arena between the pair took place in the first week of the season (Oct. 10) and Toronto cruised to a 113-101 win as a three-point favorite.

Including that setback, Boston has dropped seven straight and 11 of its last 12 trips to Canada. The Celtics have gone 3-9 ATS during this span with their last win coming in April of 2015 when Isaiah Thomas and Kelly Olynyk rallied the club to the rare road victory.

TNT will provide national coverage of this game at 8:05 p.m. ET.

Oklahoma City (37-20 SU, 33-24 ATS) at Denver (39-18 SU, 30-27 ATS)

The late-night TNT (10:35 p.m. ET) is a solid matchup in the Western Conference as Oklahoma City and Denver tangle from the Pepsi Center. The Nuggets have won and covered the first two meetings against the Thunder this season and the oddsmakers have finally given them their due, making them favorites (-3) for the first time in this season series.

Including the two results this season, Denver has won four straight and six of the last seven games against OKC and it’s gone 7-0 ATS during this span. The Thunder have come up short on their last three trips to the Pepsi Center and it could easily be four if it wasn’t for Russell Westbook’s record-setting night back in April of 2017.

Fast forward to Tuesday and this is a nice test for both clubs. The Nuggets started the second-half with back-to-back wins and covers over the Mavericks and Clippers behind a defense that only allowed 100 PPG. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is 1-1 since returning with a wild 148-17 overtime win at home over Utah before losing 119-116 the very next night at the same venue to Sacramento.

Many pundits expected Denver to drop off this season and I’m not sure how deep of a playoff run the club will make but you can’t dismiss their record versus winning teams (18-11) and their performance in games decided by three points or less, which is a league-best 10-2 overall.

It's fair to say that OKC has more big-game experience and after starting the season 0-3 in games when listed as an underdog, Billy Donovan's team has produced an eye-opening 8-2 record in its last 10 when catching points.

The total on this game opened 237, which seems a tad high based on the recent history between the pair. The ‘under’ is on a 6-2 run in this series and that includes a 2-0 record this season. Denver has watched the ‘over’ go 17-12 at home but OKC has been a solid ‘under’ lean (17-12) as a visitor.

The clubs will meet for the last time this season on Mar. 29 from Oklahoma City.
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Posted : February 26, 2019 1:20 pm
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NBA
Long Sheet
Tuesday, February 26

ORLANDO (28 - 33) at NEW YORK (12 - 48) - 2/26/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
NEW YORK is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW YORK is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 6-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (37 - 23) at TORONTO (44 - 17) - 2/26/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 90-66 ATS (+17.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 47-32 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 58-44 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 62-42 ATS (+15.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
TORONTO is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 204-257 ATS (-78.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-5 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (38 - 21) at DENVER (41 - 18) - 2/26/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games this season.
DENVER is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 7-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Posted : February 26, 2019 1:23 pm
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NBA
Tuesday, February 26
Trend Report

Orlando Magic
Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Orlando is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Orlando is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games on the road
Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York
Orlando is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing New York
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Orlando's last 17 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
New York Knicks
New York is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games
New York is 2-19 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New York's last 15 games
New York is 4-14-1 ATS in its last 19 games at home
New York is 1-18 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 10 games at home
New York is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing Orlando
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New York's last 17 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando

Boston Celtics
Boston is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games on the road
Boston is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Toronto is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games at home
Toronto is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
Oklahoma City is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Oklahoma City's last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Oklahoma City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver Nuggets
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 10 games at home
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 9 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
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Posted : February 26, 2019 1:25 pm
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Magic won/covered six of last seven games; they covered their last seven road games. Under is 4-1 in their last five road games. New York won two of last three games after an 0-18 skid; they are 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. Under is 11-4 in their last fifteen games. Knicks lost five of their last six games with Orlando (under 4-2). Magic covered their last four visits to Manhattan.
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Celtics lost four of their last six games, are 2-8-1 vs spread in last 1 road games. Four of their last six games went over. Raptors won seven of last eight games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Three of their last four games went over. Home side won last ten Boston-Toronto games; four of last five series games went over the total. Celtics are 0-5 vs spread in their last five visits to Toronto.
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Thunder won 12 of their last 15 games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven road games. Over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Denver won its last four games (3-1 vs spread); they’re 7-1 vs spread in last eight home games. Under is 4-0-1 in their last five games. Nuggets won six of last seven games with Oklahoma City; six of last eight series games stayed under the total. Thunder are 0-3 vs spread in last three visits to Denver.
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Posted : February 26, 2019 1:26 pm
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Tuesday, 26 February 2019 • 05:05 PM
503 BOSTON @ 504 TORONTO
Play under BOSTON on the first half total in All games vs. division opponents
The record is 2 Overs and 21 for the last three seasons (+18.8 units)
__________________

Tuesday, 26 February 2019 • 07:35 PM
505 OKLAHOMA CITY @ 506 DENVER
Play on DENVER using the money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 16 Wins and 2 this season (+14.1 units)
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Posted : February 26, 2019 1:28 pm
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