NFL Picks: Is The Over Best Play in Colts at Texans on Sunday?

Last Updated on October 5, 2008 9:01 am by Anthony Rome

Public Likes Colts

AFC South rivals clash this Sunday in Houston when the winless Texans host the struggling Indianapolis Colts. Oddsmakers have made the Colts 3-point road favorites.

Bet the Colts at Texans

Kickoff: 1:05PM ET CBS

Odds: Oddsmakers from online sports book SBG Global have established Indianapolis as a 3-point favorite.

Over/Under: 47

Public Betting:

Current public betting information shows that 79% of bettors favor the Colts -3 at home against the Texans.

Top Trends for this game:

INDIANAPOLIS is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

HOUSTON is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons 

INDIANAPOLIS is 3-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons 

4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Key Player Injuries:

INDIANAPOLIS

[OG] Ryan Lilja expected to miss at least six weeks. – Knee – 08/09/08

[S] Bob Sanders is expected to miss 4-6 weeks. – Ankle – 09/17/08

[CB] T.J. Rushing IR – Knee – 08/25/08

[OT] Tony Ugoh missed last game %27?%27 – Groin – 09/21/08

[LB] Tyjuan Hagler expected to miss at least six weeks. – Pectoral – 08/02/08

[G] Dan Federkeil injured last game, "?" – Ribs – 09/23/08

[WR] Roy Hall missed last game %27?%27 – Knee – 09/21/08

[DE] Mike Pollak expected to miss at least 4 weeks. – Knee – 09/10/08

[CB] Michael Coe IR – Knee – 08/13/08

HOUSTON

No significant injuries.

Prediction:

The Texans are still winless on the season, but they played well in Jacksonville last week, pushing the Jaguars to overtime before finally losing on a Josh Scobee field goal. The Colts are coming off a much needed bye week after losing to those same Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 3. Peyton Manning is still trying to get back into a rhythem with his receivers after missing the entire preseason due to an offseason knee procedure. Houston gets Indy at a good time with the Colts having major issues stopping the run. Rookie running back Steve Slaton ran well the past two weeks and as long as Matt Schaub doesnโ€™t turn back into the turnover machine that he was in Week 3 against Tennessee, we like the Texans chances of pulling an upset. We predict the Texans over the Colts 30-27.

Bet the Colts at Texans

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