Philadelphia Flyers vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction and Picks Nov. 11

Philadelphia Flyers vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction and Picks Nov. 11 Philadelphia Flyers vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction and Picks Nov. 11

Our Flyers vs Oilers prediction for Wednesday starts with a tired road team visiting one of the best clubs in the Western Conference. The Edmonton Oilers are -215 on the moneyline against the Philadelphia Flyers at +178. The total sits at 6.0 after opening at 6.5. Neither starting goaltender is confirmed yet, so the read begins in the crease. From there, the schedule and special teams point us toward two plays.

Philadelphia Flyers vs. Edmonton Oilers — Game Info

WhereRogers Place, Edmonton Alberta
WhenNovember 11 – 9:00 PM ET
TVESPN+

Philadelphia vs. Edmonton November 11, 2026 Betting Preview

Goaltending frames this game, and neither team had confirmed a starter as of Wednesday morning. Edmonton’s projected starter is Devon Levi, who is 8-1-0 with a 2.75 goals-against average and a .898 save percentage. Levi has started the last two games since returning from injured reserve. Tristan Jarry, at 4-1-3 with a 2.57 GAA, is the alternative.

Levi faced heavy pressure in Monday’s 3-1 win over the Rangers and held firm. That has been a recurring theme in Edmonton this season. The Oilers have frequently won games in which they were outshot, leaning on finishing talent and timely saves. That makes for an impressive record. However, it also hints that their results have run ahead of their territorial play.

Philadelphia’s crease is less settled. Daily Faceoff projects Dan Vladar, who played Sunday’s 4-3 overtime loss in Calgary. Joseph Woll then started Monday’s win in Vancouver. However, PuckPedia’s projection, carried by Philly Hockey Now, has Woll in net again. Treat any goaltending read here as provisional until the Flyers announce. Vladar is 3-4-3 with a 3.27 GAA and an .880 save percentage. Woll is 2-6-2 with a 2.91 GAA.

Vladar does carry some history in this building. He made 22 saves in Philadelphia’s 5-2 win at Rogers Place in January, the most recent meeting between these teams.

The form gap is wide. Edmonton is 13-3-3 and leads the Pacific Division with 29 points under first-year coach Mike Babcock. Connor McDavid has 48 points, including 37 assists, and Leon Draisaitl leads the team with 18 goals. The Oilers score just over four goals per game. Edmonton beat the Rangers 3-1 on Monday, a game we covered in our Rangers vs Oilers prediction. Still, the Oilers have been more ordinary at home, going 6-3-2 at Rogers Place.

Philadelphia sits at 5-10-5, 14th in the Eastern Conference, after a winless start to the season. The Flyers score 2.25 goals per game and allow 3.25. Their offensive struggles were already a theme in our Flyers vs Capitals prediction last month.

Monday’s 3-1 win in Vancouver snapped a three-game skid. Michael Bunting returned after five games as a healthy scratch. He skated on the top line with Christian Dvorak and Owen Tippett and scored his first goal as a Flyer. Matvei Michkov still leads the team with 10 goals. Even so, the win carried warning signs. Vancouver pinned Philadelphia in its own end for most of the third period, and the Flyers took three penalties in the final 10 minutes.

Flyers vs. Oilers Odds

Puck LineMoneylineTotal
Flyers+1.5 (-145)+178O 6.0 (-122)
Oilers-1.5 (+125)-215U 6.0 (+102)

Odds accurate as of November 11, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NHL Odds – Futures – Props

The market has nudged toward Edmonton since the open. The moneyline moved from -205 to -215, while the puck line has not budged. The bigger shift came on the total, which dropped from 6.5 to 6.0. That half-goal move tells us early money expected less scoring than the opening number did. Whatever value sat in the under at 6.5 has largely been taken.

Flyers vs. Oilers Prediction — How Much Does Philly’s Third Game in Four Nights Matter?

Philadelphia plays its third game in four nights and the fourth game of a five-game road trip. Both teams had Tuesday off. The difference is that Edmonton played Monday at home, while the Flyers flew in from Vancouver. Philadelphia has also shown a habit of fading late. Even in Monday’s win, the Flyers spent most of the third period defending.

The scoring rates show how lopsided this matchup is. Edmonton averages more than four goals per game, and Philadelphia allows 3.25, which ranks 28th in the league. On the other end, the Flyers average only 2.25 goals. A team that generates so little rarely recovers once it falls behind. Trailing late, Philadelphia would also have to pull its goaltender with McDavid and Draisaitl on the ice. That is where empty-net goals turn one-goal finishes into wider margins.

Meanwhile, laying -215 on the moneyline requires a win rate above 68 percent, which leaves little room for value. The case against Edmonton is real, though. The Oilers are only 6-3-2 at home, and Vladar beat them in January. If he starts and finds that form, a one-goal game is very much in play. Still, Philadelphia’s offense gives it little margin to keep pace for 60 minutes.

The Pick: Oilers Puck Line -1.5 (+125)

Philly’s Penalty Kill Meets a 30 Percent Power Play

Special teams offer a narrower way into Edmonton’s offense. The Oilers have scored 22 power-play goals and are converting at better than 30 percent. That is not a short hot streak, either. Edmonton ran the league’s top power play last season at 30.6 percent. Philadelphia’s penalty kill sits around 80 percent, which is serviceable but not a wall. The Flyers also handed Vancouver three power plays late on Monday.

The risk is volume. A disciplined night from Philadelphia could limit Edmonton to one or two chances, and the price requires better than a 60 percent hit rate. This play also rests on the same input as the first pick, Edmonton’s offense against a tired opponent, so the two are not independent. Even so, the late penalties on Monday came in exactly the kind of fatigued spot Philadelphia faces again tonight.

The Pick: Oilers Total Powerplay Goals Over 0.5 (-155)

Our Final Word on Flyers vs. Oilers

Edmonton is the better team in nearly every measurable way, and Philadelphia arrives at the tail end of a draining stretch. The Oilers’ uneven home form and Vladar’s success in this building keep the read from being simple. In contrast, the Flyers’ scoring problems limit the ways they can win. Both picks lean on the same read, so size them accordingly.

Our top play is the Oilers puck line at -1.5 (+125), because Philadelphia’s 2.25 goals per game rarely keeps pace once it trails. Our second play is Oilers total powerplay goals over 0.5 (-155), backed by a power play converting above 30 percent for a second straight season.