Our Rangers vs Oilers prediction comes nine days after these teams met at Madison Square Garden. The New York Rangers visit the Edmonton Oilers on Monday night with Edmonton a -155 moneyline favorite and the total set at 6.5. The Oilers sit first in the Pacific, while the Rangers arrive on a three-game winning streak. Goaltending is the swing factor, and neither crease is confirmed yet. We break down the matchup and land on two plays below.
New York Rangers vs. Edmonton Oilers — Game Info
| Where | Rogers Place, Edmonton Alberta |
| When | November 9 – 8:00 PM ET |
| TV | MSG, Sportsnet, ESPN+ |
New York Rangers vs. Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview
Start in the crease, because that is where this price is built. As of Monday morning, both starters remained unconfirmed. Dylan Garand projects for New York with a 6-6-1 record and a .906 save percentage. Devon Levi projects for Edmonton at 7-1-0, but his 2.97 goals-against average and sub-.890 save percentage tell a softer story. Treat everything below as provisional until both starters are announced.
The Rangers crease is the bigger question. Igor Shesterkin is out for the season, which has pushed New York into a committee. Joonas Korpisalo, acquired from Boston over the summer, made 25 saves in his Rangers debut during Saturday’s 4-3 win in Seattle. That makes Garand the logical choice for the second game of the trip, although at least one projection still lists Korpisalo. Edmonton has its own depth issue. Frederik Andersen is sidelined with a knee injury, so Levi and Tristan Jarry are sharing the load. Levi started Saturday’s 4-2 win over Vancouver, and Jarry carries a 4-1-3 record as the alternative.
The standings gap is real. Edmonton is 12-3-3 with 27 points and leads the Pacific Division. New York is 10-7-1 and sits third in the Metropolitan. The Oilers score more than four goals per game, the Rangers just over three. Meanwhile, the defensive numbers are close, with both teams allowing roughly three per night.
The schedule spot is even. Both teams played Saturday, so each gets one day of rest. The difference is travel, since New York flew from Seattle and crossed a time zone while Edmonton stayed home. That is a small edge rather than a fatigue spot, and it should not move the read much.
Special teams tilt toward the Oilers on one side and the Rangers on the other. Edmonton’s power play is converting at 33.8%, but its penalty kill sits at 75.0%. New York counters with an 89.1% penalty kill and a 20.8% power play. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is day-to-day with a head injury, while Zach Hyman returned from a neck injury on Saturday. For New York, defenseman Sean Durzi remains on injured reserve.
New York Rangers vs. Edmonton Oilers Odds
| Puck Line | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | +1.5 (-190) | +133 | O 6.5 (-112) |
| Oilers | -1.5 (+163) | -155 | U 6.5 (-108) |
Odds accurate as of November 9, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NHL Odds – Futures – Props
Rangers vs. Oilers Prediction — Devon Levi’s 7-1-0 Record Against a Sub-.890 Save Percentage
The total starts with goaltending, and the projected Edmonton starter has won games without stopping many pucks. Levi’s record is excellent, yet his save percentage sits below .890. That gap usually means the skaters in front of him are doing the heavy lifting. Against a Rangers team scoring just over three per game, a sub-.890 goalie gives New York a realistic path to three or more. In addition, Edmonton’s 75.0% penalty kill hands New York’s power play more room than its 20.8% rate suggests.
The Oilers’ own profile points the same way. Edmonton’s games have averaged more than seven combined goals this season. The last two produced nine goals in a 5-4 loss to Anaheim and six in a 4-2 win over Vancouver. Then there is the late-game math. A trailing team will pull its goalie, and empty-net goals routinely add a goal to a one-goal game in the final minutes. Remember too that this is a full-game total, so overtime and a shootout both count.
Still, the case against is solid. Rangers games have averaged just under six goals, and New York’s 89.1% penalty kill can blunt Edmonton’s biggest weapon. Garand’s .906 save percentage is the best number either projected starter brings. The market also offers no confirmation, since the total has sat at 6.5 with the same prices since it opened. At -112, the break-even rate is 52.8%. This is a lean built on goaltending and Edmonton’s scoring environment rather than a strong market signal. If Jarry starts instead of Levi, the edge on this number shrinks noticeably.
The Pick: Over 6.5 (-112)
Rangers vs. Oilers Prediction — A Rematch Nine Days After Edmonton’s 4-1 Win in New York
The first meeting ended in a 4-1 Oilers win at Madison Square Garden. Edmonton won that game on the second night of a back-to-back with Matt Tomkins making 27 saves. The Rangers put 28 shots on goal and still lost by three. If you want more on that game, our Oilers vs. Rangers November 1 preview covered it. Now the Oilers get the rematch at home, with a sizeable edge in points and goal production. New York also carries a losing road record into a second straight stop in the West.
The price is the hurdle. At -155, Edmonton needs to win 60.8% of the time to break even. That is a fair ask for a first-place team at home against an opponent that is barely above even in goal differential. The Rangers have won three straight, including the Seattle game we covered in our Rangers vs. Kraken prediction. Their 4-5-1 mark over the last 10 games is less flattering. This pick leans on the same Edmonton attack as the total, so the two plays are not independent.
The Pick: Oilers Moneyline (-155)
Our Final Word on Rangers vs. Oilers
We considered the Oilers on the puck line at +163, which needs a two-goal win at a 38.0% break-even rate. Empty-net goals help that case. Still, the Rangers’ penalty kill and Garand’s numbers make a one-goal game plausible, so the moneyline is the cleaner vehicle. We also looked at regulation-time markets, which exclude overtime and the shootout. Our read is about Edmonton winning the game however it ends, so the full-game moneyline fits better. Confirm both starters before puck drop. A switch to Korpisalo or Jarry changes the read on the total more than the side.
Our top play is Over 6.5 at -112, because Levi’s sub-.890 save percentage meets an Edmonton scoring environment above seven goals per game. Our second play is the Oilers moneyline at -155, because a first-place home team already beat this opponent 4-1 nine days ago.