Our Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers prediction covers a rare early-season meeting of unbeaten teams. Memphis arrives 4-0, Portland sits at 3-0, and the Blazers are 7.5-point home favorites at Moda Center. This is also Ja Morant’s first game against the franchise that traded him in June. The number has held steady under one-sided public support, and that detail drives the analysis below.
Last Updated: October 29, 2026
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Portland Trail Blazers — Time and How to Watch
| Where | Moda Center, Portland Oregon |
| When | October 29 – 10:00 PM ET |
| TV | KUNP, BlazerVision, DAZN |
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview
Availability comes first, and the picture is still incomplete. The league’s official injury report showed neither team as submitted when this preview was written. Portland’s only confirmed long-term absence is Shaedon Sharpe, who is out with a torn meniscus. The major injury trackers list no current Memphis injuries. However, the Grizzlies have managed Zach Edey carefully. He sat the Sacramento game for left ankle management and has played about 22 minutes a night. Treat this read as provisional until the official report posts.
The roster story is impossible to ignore. Memphis traded Ja Morant to Portland for Jerami Grant and Kris Murray on June 29. Grant now plays for Memphis, and Morant joins a Portland backcourt that includes Damian Lillard and Jrue Holiday. Lillard missed all of last season rehabbing a torn Achilles. He returned with 25 points and six threes in a 124-83 opening rout of Phoenix.
Portland’s offense has been the league’s loudest story early. The Blazers beat the Lakers 136-129 on Tuesday, with Morant and Deni Avdija scoring 23 apiece. Through three games, Basketball Reference has Portland at a 128.9 offensive rating and a 109.9 defensive rating. That is a net rating of plus-19.0 under new coach Micah Nori.
Memphis has won differently. Its offensive rating sits at 117.6 and its defensive rating at 107.9, a plus-9.7 net. Three of its four wins came on the road, by three, 11 and five points. Ty Jerome has carried the scoring with 45 points in the opener and 31 at Sacramento. Meanwhile, Cedric Coward has posted back-to-back double-doubles. Still, every one of these figures comes from a three- or four-game sample, and that matters for both sides.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Portland Trail Blazers Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | +7.5 (-115) | +230 | O 234.0 (-115) |
| Trail Blazers | -7.5 (-105) | -280 | U 234.0 (-105) |
Odds accurate as of October 29, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latestNBA Odds –Futures –Props
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Portland Trail Blazers — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Grizzlies | 15% | 85% | Trail Blazers |
See the latest NBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers Prediction — Why Hasn’t 85 Percent of the Tickets Moved This Spread?
Start with the market, because it tells a quiet story. Portland’s spread opened and still sits at the same number, with the same prices on both sides. That has held while 85% of spread tickets back the Blazers. A book taking that kind of one-way action would normally shade toward the favorite. When the number refuses to move, it often means money on the less popular side is balancing the ticket count. In contrast, the moneyline did move from -250 to -280 on Portland. That move runs with the public, so it carries little signal on its own.
The situational spot supports the dog as well. Memphis last played Monday in Utah and has had two full days off. Portland returned home from Los Angeles after Tuesday’s game and gets one. The Grizzlies are on their fourth straight road game, which is the real cost here. Still, they have already shown they can win away from home, including a 111-108 result at Golden State. Beyond that, Portland’s 128.9 offensive rating is not a level any team sustains for long. Some regression in shot-making is the most likely path for this game. Home court still helps Portland. However, it is a modest edge and not a reason on its own to lay a number this large against a rested opponent.
The case against is serious. Basketball Reference’s opponent-adjusted numbers rate Portland even better, at plus-22.6 against Memphis at plus-7.5. The Blazers also handed the previously unbeaten Lakers their first loss on the road. On the other hand, the 41-point Phoenix rout heavily inflates Portland’s sample, and Memphis has yet to lose. The price matters here too. Portland’s -280 moneyline implies roughly a 73.7% chance of winning outright. A seven- or eight-point Blazers win is a very live outcome inside that range. This side has never been cheap, so this is a lean backed by market behavior rather than a big edge.
The Pick: Grizzlies +7.5 (-115)
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers Prediction — Who Fills the Scoring Void Morant Left in Memphis?
Ty Jerome has answered that question emphatically. He scored 45 in the opener, 28 at Golden State and 31 in the 123-112 win at Sacramento. He has been the clear focal point of the offense since Morant left. Three of his four games have produced 28 points or more. Volume and usage persist from game to game far better than shooting percentages do.
However, the risk is just as clear. Jerome managed only 15 points in Utah, and he played just 15 games last season because of injuries. Portland’s defense also grades out well in Basketball Reference’s opponent-adjusted figures. Importantly, this play rests on the same input as the first pick, which is Memphis’s offense holding up. If Jerome stalls, both tickets likely suffer together.
The Pick: Ty Jerome To Score 25+ Points (-110)
Our Final Word on Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers
This is the first real test for both unbeaten teams, and the early samples are too small to trust fully. For more on this Memphis group, see our Grizzlies vs. Warriors preview from October 23. Keep an eye on the official injury report before tip-off, especially for Edey’s status and minutes. A late scratch on either side would change both reads, so check back before betting. Our Rookie of the Year futures piece also tracks how quickly the first week has moved the award markets.
The total is the market we considered and passed on. It opened at 233.5 and now sits at 234.0, with the over price moving from -110 to -115. Portland’s 128.9 offensive rating against Memphis’s 107.9 defensive rating is the central tension. Three-point shooting is the largest source of noise in any basketball total. Portland’s hot shot-making is likely to cool, which argues for the under. In contrast, the half-point move toward the over says the market sees it the other way. With the research and the market pointing in opposite directions, the cleaner reads are on the side and on Jerome.
The Grizzlies +7.5 at -115 is the top play, because the spread has frozen under heavy Portland ticket support. Ty Jerome To Score 25+ Points at -110 follows, because he has cleared that mark in three of his four games.
NBA Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers FAQ: October 29, 2026
What time does the Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers game start?
The Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers game tips off at 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, October 29, 2026. That is 7:00 PM local time at Moda Center in Portland. It is the latest of three games on Thursday’s NBA schedule, tipping two hours after the other two games.
What channel is the Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers game on?
The game airs on KUNP and BlazerVision in the Portland market. Memphis viewers can watch on DAZN, which became the Grizzlies’ local broadcast partner this season. Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET, so viewers on the East Coast should plan for a late finish.
Where are the Grizzlies and Trail Blazers playing?
The Grizzlies and Trail Blazers play at Moda Center in Portland, Oregon, home of the Trail Blazers. Portland is coming back from a road win over the Lakers. Memphis is playing its fourth consecutive road game after stops in San Francisco, Sacramento and Salt Lake City.
Is Shaedon Sharpe playing tonight?
No, Shaedon Sharpe is not playing tonight. The Portland guard is out with a torn meniscus in his knee and is not expected back until at least March. His absence has not slowed Portland’s offense, which has scored at an elite rate through its first three games without him.
What are the Grizzlies’ and Trail Blazers’ records this season?
The Grizzlies are 4-0 and the Trail Blazers are 3-0, so one unbeaten start ends tonight. Memphis has won three of its games on the road. Portland’s wins came against Phoenix at home, then at Sacramento and at the Lakers.