The Seattle Storm close out a miserable season with the second half of a back-to-back in the desert, and the number attached to it is enormous. Las Vegas sits at -15.5 for Sunday night’s meeting at Michelob ULTRA Arena, with the total parked at 176. These two met in Seattle three days ago and the Aces won by 37 points. The market has priced this like a formality, and roughly four out of five spread tickets agree with that read. There is a case for fading the consensus here, and one detail in the line itself points to where it sits.
Last Updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas NV |
| When | Sunday, September 20 – 9:00 PM ET |
| TV | USA Network |
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview
Las Vegas enters at 28-13, third in the standings, and riding a four-game winning streak. The Aces still have something to play for. They trail Golden State for the No. 2 seed and first-round home court, and they hold the head-to-head tiebreaker after sweeping all three regular-season meetings with the Valkyries. That combination keeps the motivation live into the final weekend, which is not always true of a team already assured of a playoff spot.
Seattle arrives at 8-34, the worst record in the league. The Storm lost 70-57 at Golden State on Saturday night, their third straight defeat and sixth in seven games. Now they travel to Las Vegas on zero days of rest. Ezi Magbegor and Katie Lou Samuelson are both done for the season, and Jordan Horston and Zia Cooke have been carrying day-to-day tags. Dominique Malonga still leads the roster in scoring and rebounding, with Natisha Hiedeman and Flau’jae Johnson next in line.
Thursday’s meeting in Seattle was ugly. Jackie Young poured in a career-high 35 points and tied the WNBA single-quarter scoring record with 22 in the first. A’ja Wilson added 29 in a 114-77 win, the highest-scoring night for the Aces since July 2021. The June 8 meeting in Las Vegas was much closer, a 101-91 Aces win in which Wilson posted 34 points, 12 rebounds and nine assists. Wilson is averaging 26.1 points and 9.4 rebounds this season, with Young at 19.3 and 6.6 assists. NaLyssa Smith is out for the year for Las Vegas.
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Storm | +15.5 (-110) | +850 | U 176 (-110) |
| Aces | -15.5 (-110) | -1800 | O 176 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of Sunday, September 20, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA Odds – Futures – Props
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Storm | 19% | 81% | Aces |
See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Storm vs. Aces Prediction — Is the Home Favorite Priced Too High?
Start with the line itself. This game opened at -15.5 and it is still -15.5, while 81 percent of spread tickets sit on Las Vegas. One-sided public money that fails to move a number suggests the number is already near the top of its range. The moneyline has drifted the other way, with Seattle going from +800 to +850. That is the only movement in this market, and it does not point toward the favorite.
The case for Las Vegas is strong. The Aces just beat this team by 37 in Seattle. They are rested, they have seeding to chase, and the Storm are playing their second game in as many nights after scoring 57. Seattle could not contain Wilson on Thursday and is playing without Magbegor. If the Aces open the way they did in that game, this one is decided early and the final margin stops mattering.
The counterargument lives in how a game like this ends. Las Vegas has playoff basketball starting next week, so minutes management for Wilson, Young and Gray is a live consideration for the coaching staff. Seattle also played the Aces much tougher in Las Vegas in June, losing by 10. A number this large asks the road team to be non-competitive for 40 minutes, not 25. Our latest look at a big road spread in today’s Lynx breakdown runs into the same tension.
The risk is obvious. Seattle got run off its own floor 72 hours ago and may have nothing left. Still, the price asks for a repeat of an outlier night, and the market is not moving to support it.
The Pick: Storm +15.5 (-110)
Storm vs. Aces Prediction — Will the Bench Minutes Drain the Scoring?
The total opened at 176.5 and has ticked down to 176, a small move but a directional one. The over case is easy to see. The last two meetings between these teams produced 191 and 192 combined points, both clear of this number, and Las Vegas hung 114 on Seattle three days ago.
The other side rests on Seattle’s end of the floor. The Storm scored 57 points on Saturday in a game that produced 127 combined, and they are now on zero rest with a short rotation. Our September 19 Storm breakdown flagged the same scoring problem before that game. A blowout also tends to suppress the second half, because the winning side stops pushing tempo and the losing side stops getting easy transition looks. Seattle needs to clear roughly 80 points for the over to have a clean path, and it has not reached that mark in either of its last two outings.
The Pick: Under 176 (-110)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
There is no moneyline angle worth taking here. Seattle at +850 implies roughly a 10.5 percent chance of an outright win, and a team that lost by 37 to this opponent on Thursday and by 13 in Golden State on Saturday does not clear that bar on zero rest. The Aces should win, and win clearly. The question is by how much, and whether the scoreboard keeps running once the starters sit.
Watch the Las Vegas rotation early. If Wilson and Young are still on the floor midway through the third quarter, the seeding chase is being taken seriously and the spread case weakens. If the reserves get an extended look, both positions point the same direction. The No. 2 seed is still live for Las Vegas, so that call is in play.
Recap of our plays for Sunday night: Storm +15.5 (-110) and Under 176 (-110). No moneyline or bonus position on this one.
WNBA Storm vs. Aces FAQ: Sunday September 20, 2026
What time does the Storm vs. Aces game start?
The Seattle Storm and Las Vegas Aces tip off at 9:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 20, 2026. It is the late game on a five-game WNBA Sunday slate and the second half of a back-to-back for Seattle, which played in Golden State on Saturday night.
What channel is the Storm vs. Aces game on?
The game is carried nationally on USA Network. Local coverage is also available on CW Seattle for Storm viewers and The Spot Vegas 34 in the Las Vegas market. Check your regional listings, because availability varies by carrier and by market.
Where are the Storm and Aces playing today?
The game is at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, the home floor of the Aces. Seattle is the road team for the second meeting in four days, after hosting Las Vegas at Climate Pledge Arena on Thursday, September 17.
Who won the last meeting between the Storm and Aces?
Las Vegas won 114-77 in Seattle on Thursday, September 17, 2026. Jackie Young scored a career-high 35 points and tied the WNBA record for points in a quarter with 22 in the first. A’ja Wilson added 29 and Flau’jae Johnson led Seattle with 25.
Where do the Storm and Aces stand in the WNBA standings?
Las Vegas is 28-13 and holds the No. 3 position in the standings with a live path to the No. 2 seed and first-round home court. Seattle is 8-34, the worst record in the league, and is out of playoff contention.