The Subway Series finishes in the Bronx on Sunday, and the market is not lining up with the ticket count. Cam Schlittler brings an AL-best 2.01 ERA to the mound for the Yankees. The Mets counter with Christian Scott, a day after hanging 12 runs on the home side. New York is priced at -179, yet the number has drifted the other way since it opened. That gap is the thread below.
Last Updated: Sunday, September 13, 2026
New York Mets vs. New York Yankees — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York |
| When | Sunday, September 13 – 1:35 p.m. ET |
| TV | YES Network / SNY |
New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Betting Preview
Start with the arms, because this one is decided there. Schlittler leads the American League in earned run average at 2.01, with a 0.92 WHIP and 220 strikeouts over 30 starts. The peripherals back it up, including an 11.08 K/9 against a 2.12 BB/9. His last three outings were close to untouchable. He struck out 10 over seven innings against the Rockies on September 8 without a walk, threw eight innings of one-run ball against the Angels on September 3, and allowed nothing over 5.2 frames in Boston on August 29.
Scott reads very differently. The right-hander is 4-4 with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP, and he misses bats, with 120 strikeouts in 99.1 innings. However, 44 walks come with them. He is also in his first season back from Tommy John surgery, and the Mets have managed his workload. Scott did not finish the fifth against the Giants on September 6 and lasted 4.2 against the White Sox on August 23. Length is the open question every time out.
The stakes are uneven. The Yankees are 85-63 and sit four games behind Tampa Bay in the American League East, with the division’s best run differential at plus-123. The Mets are 69-79 and 18 back in the National League East. Still, both clubs are 7-3 over their last 10. The Mets took Saturday 12-2 behind six home runs, two from Francisco Lindor, after the Yankees won Friday 6-4. For how the middle game framed up, see Saturday’s Mets vs. Yankees prediction.
New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Odds
| Run Line | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | +1.5 (-145) | +147 | U 7.5 (-105) |
| Yankees | -1.5 (+125) | -179 | O 7.5 (-115) |
Odds accurate as of Sunday, September 13, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest MLB Odds – Futures – Props
New York Mets vs. New York Yankees — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Mets | 10% | 90% | Yankees |
See the latest MLB Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Mets vs. Yankees Prediction — Why Is the Money Going the Other Way?
The market read is the most interesting thing here. Roughly 90 percent of run line tickets and 88 percent of moneyline tickets sit on the Yankees, and that support normally drags a price up. Instead the Yankees opened at -185 and eased to -179, while the Mets moved from +153 to +147. The number is walking away from the crowd, the classic footprint of reverse line movement. That does not make the crowd wrong. It means handle and tickets disagree, and handle is usually more informative.
Note where the move did not happen. The run line went the other way, with the home -1.5 shortening from +130 to +125. The crowd piled into that market while the moneyline drifted. The bullpen picture supports the drift. The Mets have used two relievers in two days, as Jack Weisenburger threw three innings Friday and Tyler Myers went two on Saturday. Their late-inning group is rested behind a starter who will not go deep.
The case against the road side is serious. Schlittler is the better pitcher by a wide margin, and he has allowed two earned runs across his last 20.2 innings. Beating that is a real ask for a 69-79 club, and Scott’s walk rate can hand the Yankees a crooked number early. This lean rests on price and market signal, not on pitching, and should be sized that way.
The Pick: Mets Moneyline (+147)
Mets vs. Yankees Prediction — Do Two Rested Bullpens Change the Math?
The total opened at 7.5 with even juice and has held that number, with the over now taking -115. That is a tilt, not a move. The run environment arguments point one way. Schlittler’s 0.92 WHIP means very little traffic, and his 2.12 BB/9 means almost no free baserunners. Both bullpens are in decent shape too, since Saturday’s blowout let each manager skip his best arms. Rested relief suppresses late runs, and late runs decide totals.
The counter is real. Scott has not finished six innings since August 16, so the visiting bullpen likely covers four frames or more in a park with a short right-field porch. The Mets proved the point by clearing the fence six times Saturday. If Scott walks the yard the way he did in Houston, the Yankees will not need many swings. The juice drifting the other way is a fair warning.
The Pick: Under 7.5 (-105)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
Two things decide this game, and both show up early. The first is Scott’s pitch count the second time through the order, since the inning he exits tells you how much of the afternoon the Mets bullpen owns. The second is whether the Yankees can string hits together against Schlittler rather than wait on one swing.
The late innings are the honest test. If the game is within a run after six, the rested Mets relief corps and David Bednar’s availability become the story. If the Yankees lead by three, both reads are cooked together. These plays are not independent.
No third angle stands out cleanly, so we leave it at two. The plays: Mets Moneyline (+147) and Under 7.5 (-105).
MLB Mets vs. Yankees FAQ: Sunday September 13, 2026
What time does the Mets vs. Yankees game start?
First pitch is 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, September 13, 2026, at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. It is the third and final game of the weekend Subway Series set, with the Mets serving as the designated visiting club at Yankee Stadium.
What channel is the Mets vs. Yankees game on?
The game airs regionally on YES Network for Yankees viewers and on SNY for Mets viewers. Both regional networks carry the Sunday afternoon finale, so which broadcast you receive depends on your television provider and your local market.
Who is pitching for the Yankees today?
Right-hander Cam Schlittler starts for the Yankees. He is 13-6 with a 2.01 ERA, a 0.92 WHIP and 220 strikeouts over 30 starts this season. That ERA is the best mark in the American League, and he works on regular rest after a September 8 start.
Who won the last meeting between the Mets and Yankees?
The Mets won 12-2 at Yankee Stadium on Saturday, September 12, 2026. The Mets hit six home runs in the rout, including two from Francisco Lindor. The Yankees took Friday’s opener 6-4, leaving the set even at a game apiece entering Sunday.
Where do the Mets and Yankees stand in their divisions?
The Yankees are 85-63 and second in the American League East, four games behind Tampa Bay. The Mets are 69-79 and fourth in the National League East, 18 games back of Atlanta. Both clubs are 7-3 across their last 10 games.