The 2026 season opens with a rematch nobody in New England needed reminding of. The Patriots visit the Seattle Seahawks in the NFL Kickoff Game on Wednesday, September 9, seven months after Seattle beat them 29-13 in Super Bowl LX. The market has been busy since. Seattle opened as a bigger favorite than it is now, and that move is the first real clue about how this one is being handicapped. Below is the full breakdown: the current spread, the total, the public split, and our best bet.
Last Updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Lumen Field, Seattle WA |
| When | Wednesday, September 9 – 8:20 PM ET |
| TV | NBC |
New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks Betting Preview
Both teams finished 14-3 last season, and both arrive with the quarterback who took every meaningful snap in February. Drake Maye enters year two as the Patriots starter under head coach Mike Vrabel. Sam Darnold returns for Seattle after the best season of his career. Neither side has a Week 1 quarterback question, which is rare for an opener.
The rosters, however, are not the ones that played in Santa Clara. New England traded for A.J. Brown and added receiver Romeo Doubs, a clear response to an offense that scored 28.8 points per game in the regular season and then managed 13 in the title game. Left tackle Will Campbell is healthy again. Seattle lost Super Bowl LX MVP Kenneth Walker III in free agency and drafted first-rounder Jadarian Price to replace him. Offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak left for the head job in Las Vegas, with Brian Fleury taking over the play sheet.
The injury sheet matters. New England ruled out running back TreVeyon Henderson (ankle) and center Ben Brown (knee), pushing the ground game onto Rhamondre Stevenson and reshuffling the interior line in a loud building. Seattle ruled out safety Ty Okada and listed safety Nick Emmanwori (ankle) and receiver Tory Horton (hamstring) as questionable on the final Week 1 injury reports. Seattle also has the reigning Offensive Player of the Year in Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who caught 119 passes for 1,793 yards and 10 touchdowns in 2025.
New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | +3.5 (-120) | +145 | O 44.5 (-110) |
| Seahawks | -3.5 (+100) | -170 | U 44.5 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of Wednesday, September 9, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NFL Odds – Futures – Props
New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Patriots | 53% | 47% | Seahawks |
See the latest NFL Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Patriots vs. Seahawks Prediction — Revenge Spot for Pats?
Start with the line movement, because it is the loudest signal here. Seattle opened -4.5 (-110) and now sits at -3.5 (+100). That is a full point shed by the favorite, and it drops the game onto the most important number in football. The moneyline told the same story, drifting from -195 to -170. The public split confirms the direction without being extreme. At 53 percent on the Patriots, this is close to an even market.
The case for New England is built on last season’s road profile. The Patriots went 7-2 against the spread away from Foxborough and 13-7-1 ATS overall under Vrabel, and they ranked inside the top 10 in EPA per play on both sides of the ball. Add Brown to a passing game that already reached a Super Bowl, and the roster looks better on paper than the one Seattle beat. Getting a field goal plus the hook is the version of this bet worth having.
The case against is serious. Seattle went 15-5 ATS last season, the best mark in the league, and Mike Macdonald’s defense held New England to 13 points on the sport’s biggest stage. Lumen Field is a hard place to open a season, especially for an offense missing its starting center. If Maye is pressured early, the number stops mattering. Still, a full point of movement in our direction plus the hook is a combination we will take.
The Pick: Patriots +3.5 (-120)
Patriots vs. Seahawks Prediction — Will over cash this time?
The total has not budged. It opened at 44.5 and sits at 44.5 (-110 both ways), which usually means the market is comfortable. Last season’s scoring profile argues for the higher side. New England finished 12-9 to the Over across 21 games and Seattle 11-9 across 20. Brown gives New England a downfield element it lacked in February, and Smith-Njigba is coming off a 1,793-yard season for a Seattle group that returns its full starting offensive line.
The counterargument is the calendar and the defenses. Week 1 offenses are often out of rhythm, Seattle is breaking in a new coordinator and a rookie lead back, and New England starts a backup center. Macdonald’s unit can drag a game into the twenties on its own. The Under is defensible. However, two offenses with this much skill talent, in a game the market expects to stay close, tends to produce late possessions rather than kneel-downs.
The Pick: Over 44.5 (-110)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
The bonus angle is attached to the side. If the market has been correcting toward New England all summer, the moneyline at +145 is the leveraged version of that opinion. It implies roughly a 41 percent chance of an outright win, light for a 14-3 team with a healthy quarterback getting under a field goal. It is a small-stake play, and it loses in every scenario where Seattle plays a clean home opener.
For the wider market view, including the full odds board, see our Patriots vs Seahawks Odds Preview and How to Watch September 9, 2026. All three positions lean the same way: a competitive game the road team keeps within a score.
Recap of every pick here: Patriots +3.5 (-120), Over 44.5 (-110), and Patriots moneyline +145 as the bonus angle.
NFL Patriots vs. Seahawks FAQ: Wednesday September 9, 2026
What time does the Patriots vs. Seahawks game start?
Kickoff is set for 8:20 PM ET on Wednesday, September 9, 2026, which is 5:20 PM local time in Seattle. The game opens the 2026 regular season and is the first of the league’s Week 1 slate, with the rest of the schedule following later in the week.
What channel is the Patriots vs. Seahawks game on?
The NFL Kickoff Game airs nationally on NBC, with a simultaneous stream on Peacock. Seattle-area listeners can also follow the broadcast on Seattle Sports 710 AM and KIRO Newsradio 97.3 FM, while Westwood One carries the national radio call.
Where are the Patriots and Seahawks playing?
The game is at Lumen Field in Seattle, Washington, the Seahawks’ home stadium. Seattle earned the right to host the season opener as the defending Super Bowl champion, a traditional reward for the previous year’s title winner. Full viewing and listening details are available from the team.
Who won the last meeting between the Patriots and Seahawks?
Seattle won the last meeting, beating New England 29-13 in Super Bowl LX on February 8, 2026, in Santa Clara, California. It was the second Lombardi Trophy in franchise history for the Seahawks and the reason this Week 1 matchup is framed as a rematch.
Who is starting at quarterback for the Patriots and Seahawks?
Drake Maye starts for New England and Sam Darnold starts for Seattle. Neither quarterback appeared on the Week 1 injury report. Maye is entering his second season as the Patriots’ full-time starter, while Darnold returns after leading Seattle to the Super Bowl LX title.