The Las Vegas Aces close out their pre-All-Star schedule on the road Wednesday, visiting a Washington Mystics team that has hovered near .500 all summer. Las Vegas arrives at 18-7 and rides a wave of strong road form.
Washington sits at 13-12 and plays the role of home underdog catching a healthy number of points. The Aces are laying 6.5, and that number has already ticked up since the market opened. Below we break down the matchup, the line, where the public sits, and our two best bets for Aces vs. Mystics.
Last Updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics — Time & How to Watch
| Where | CareFirst Arena, Washington, DC |
| When | Wednesday, July 22 – 7:30 PM ET |
| TV | WNBA League Pass (local: Vegas 34, Monumental Sports Network) |
Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics Betting Preview
The Aces come in as one of the hottest teams in the league. The Aces beat the Toronto Tempo 109-83 on July 20 for their fourth road win in their last five games away from home. They also own a league-leading 11 road victories this season. A’ja Wilson remains the engine. She scored 26 points against Toronto and continues to shoot better than 40 percent from three. Jackie Young has been just as reliable, scoring at least 15 points in 10 of the Aces’ last 11 games. She is also closing in on a rare 3,500-point, 1,000-rebound, 1,000-assist and 300-steal club. Marina Mabrey earned her first All-Star nod, and Becky Hammon has this group playing at a high level.
Washington has been steadier than spectacular. The Mystics are 13-12 and remain in the thick of the Eastern Conference playoff race. A young core drives the team. Sonia Citron, Kiki Iriafen, and Shakira Austin supply scoring and rebounding, while rookie guard Georgia Amoore runs the offense. Head coach Sydney Johnson has kept the group competitive against better rosters. Washington also pushed a strong Golden State side in our recent Mystics vs. Valkyries preview. The concern is the talent gap. Washington does not have an obvious answer for Wilson at full strength.
Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aces | -6.5 (-115) | -260 | U 164 (-110) |
| Mystics | +6.5 (-105) | +215 | O 164 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of Wednesday, July 22, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA Odds – Futures – Props
Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Aces | 50% | 50% | Mystics |
See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Aces vs. Mystics Prediction — Can Washington Cover as a Home Underdog?
The line tells an interesting story. The Aces opened as 5.5-point favorites, and the number has since climbed to 6.5. Yet the spread action is almost dead even, split close to 50-50 between both sides. Casual money loves Las Vegas on the moneyline, where more than 80 percent of tickets back the Aces to win outright. The spread market has been far more cautious about laying the extra points.
There is a real case for Washington to stay within the number. The Mystics are at home, they defend with size inside, and 6.5 points is a large spread in a league where many games stay tight into the fourth quarter. Las Vegas is also closing a road trip right before the All-Star break. That is a classic spot for a heavy favorite to lose focus and let an underdog hang around.
The case for the Aces is just as clear. They are the more talented team by a wide margin. They are the best road team in the WNBA, and Wilson is playing like the league’s best player. If Las Vegas plays its game, covering 6.5 is well within reach. Still, the value at this inflated number sits with the home team catching points against a favorite that may already have one eye on the break.
The Pick: Mystics +6.5 (-105)
Aces vs. Mystics Prediction — Will the Pace Keep This Total in Check?
The total has moved up sharply, from 159.5 at the open to 164. That climb reflects respect for the Aces’ offense, which hung 109 points on Toronto in its last outing. When Las Vegas is clicking, it can score in a hurry, and Wilson gives them a nightly 25-point threat. That is the argument for the over.
The counterpoint is Washington’s tempo. The Mystics play at a measured pace and lean on their half-court defense to slow opponents down. A grind-it-out home team can drag a total under the number even against a strong offense. The four-and-a-half point jump in the line also leaves less margin for the over to cash. With Washington controlling the pace at home, the value points to the under.
The Pick: Under 164 (-110)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
Both of our plays lean on Washington’s ability to keep this game closer and lower than the market expects. That is not a call for the Mystics to win outright. The Aces are rightly favored, and the moneyline at -260 reflects a team that should win far more often than not in this spot. That price simply offers little value for the risk, which is why the points and the total are the cleaner angles here.
The Aces are coming off the road win we previewed in our Aces vs. Tempo prediction, so form is not the worry. The worry is the number. A 6.5-point spread and a total pushed up to 164 both ask a lot of a road favorite on the second leg of a trip. To recap, our two best bets for Aces vs. Mystics are Washington +6.5 (-105) and the Under 164 (-110).
WNBA Aces vs. Mystics FAQ: Wednesday July 22, 2026
What time does the Aces vs. Mystics game start?
Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, July 22, 2026, at CareFirst Arena in Washington, D.C. The matchup closes out the Las Vegas Aces’ schedule before the WNBA All-Star break, with Washington hosting on the second leg of the Aces’ road trip.
What channel is the Aces vs. Mystics game on?
The game streams nationally on WNBA League Pass. Local broadcasts are available on Vegas 34 in the Las Vegas market and on Monumental Sports Network in the Washington market. There is no national television window for this Wednesday matchup, so League Pass is the primary way to watch it.
Where are the Aces and Mystics playing today?
The Aces and Mystics play at CareFirst Arena in Washington, D.C., with the Mystics serving as the home team. Las Vegas is closing a road trip with this visit, its final game before the All-Star break, while Washington looks to defend home court.
What is the Aces’ record this season?
The Las Vegas Aces enter this game at 18-7, one of the best records in the WNBA. The Washington Mystics sit at 13-12 and remain in the Eastern Conference playoff race. Las Vegas also owns a league-leading 11 road wins this season.