Sunday features a light college basketball slate with several mid-major teams and a handful of high-major schools taking the floor on the 1st day of March 2026. Will Bradley beat Murray State by 4 points or more at Carver Arena in Peoria, IL? Can #13 Michigan State go on the road and cover against unranked Indiana? Read on for our Sunday CBB Best Bets March 1 article.
CBB Best Bet: Murray State +3.5 over Bradley
I like the Racers here. Murray State is primed to cover the 3.5-point spread against Bradley because of their offensive efficiency and some strong situational trends. The Racers have historically handled this matchup well, posting a 5-3 ATS record in their last 8 meetings with the Braves.
Additionally, Murray State thrives with extra preparation, holding a 4-3 ATS mark when playing on 4+ days of rest this season. The Racers’ ability to keep it rolling is evidenced by a 10-9 ATS record following a win this year, suggesting they can maintain momentum at Carver Arena and keep this contest within a single possession.
Final score projection: MURRAY STATE RACERS 78, BRADLEY BRAVES 77.
CBB Best Bet: Indiana +3.5 over Michigan State
I’m taking the Hoosiers in this contest. Indiana thrives as a home underdog at Assembly Hall, posting an impressive 8-3 ATS record in that role since 2023. The Hoosiers have played well when having time to prepare, as evidenced by a 6-4 ATS mark when playing with a rest advantage this season. That edge should give them the fresh legs needed to combat Michigan State’s transition game.
Historically, the Hoosiers have held their own in this rivalry, going 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games against the Spartans. Between the raucous home environment and the situational rest edge, Indiana is well-positioned to keep this contest within a single possession or pull off the outright upset.
Final score projection: INDIANA HOOSIERS 74, MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS 72.
Sunday CBB Best Bets March 1
- Murray State Racers +3.5
- Indiana Hoosiers +3.5