Last Updated on February 23, 2026 10:30 am by Anthony Rome
The NBA returns with a three-game slate on Monday featuring a potential early East-West showdown, a Western Conference battle in Memphis, and a long-arm matchup in Houston late. Let’s break down the matchups, key player context, and our betting picks in our Monday NBA Best Bets for Feb. 23.
Spurs @ Pistons — 7:00 PM ET
Prediction: Detroit Pistons -1
Best Bet: Pistons to win & Cade Cunningham Over 27.5 Points
The Pistons (the current NBA’s best record) host a Spurs team that’s been red-hot, riding a multi-game win streak. Detroit has been efficient on both ends, led by Cade Cunningham, who’s averaging 25.5 PPG and nearly 10 APG, and Jalen Duren inside with double-digit rebounding numbers.
Defensively, Detroit forces contested shots and clamps teams around the rim, a contrast to San Antonio’s more open offense anchored by Victor Wembanyama (24+ PPG, 11+ RPG), but the Spurs aren’t as deep offensively outside of Wemby.
Pick Logic: Recent models pegged Pistons as slight favorites with the spread tight, and projections lean toward a lower total due to sturdy defenses. Betting Detroit to win and backing Cunningham to produce big offensive numbers is the play here.
📌 Player Insight: Cade’s rebounding + assist totals have jumped with Isaiah Stewart unavailable, giving him more touches and opportunity to influence outcomes.
Kings @ Grizzlies — 8:00 PM ET
Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies -4
Sacramento has struggled this season, currently near the bottom of the West standings with poor defensive metrics and inconsistent scoring. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies sit comfortably in the playoff mix and boast a rugged, Siegel-like approach behind Zion Williamson’s interior force and Ja Morant’s elite playmaking.
Trend: The Grizzlies have consistently outpaced the Kings in recent meetings and are a tougher matchup, especially when Memphis controls tempo and gets to the foul line.
Pick Logic: Expect Memphis to get out in transition, limit Sacramento’s inefficient shooting, and cover this one at home.
Jazz @ Rockets — 9:30 PM ET
Prediction: Utah Jazz +13
Best Bet: Jazz +13
This evening’s late matchup pairs the rebuilding Jazz against a Houston squad looking to regroup. While the Rockets have home-court and Kevin Durant leading the scoring load (fresh off a 30-plus point outing), Utah’s pace remains high and they’ve hung in many games due to effort and minutes from young scorers.
Model Edge: One advanced model actually rates the Jazz with value on the spread at +13, meaning Utah should cover.
Pick Logic: Even if the Rockets have home scoring upside, Utah’s defense can keep the game respectable and cover a large spread — especially with Houston’s inconsistent defensive efficiency.
Monday NBA Best Bets Feb. 23
| Game | Pick |
|---|---|
| Spurs @ Pistons | Pistons -1 & Cunningham Over Points |
| Kings @ Grizzlies | Grizzlies -4 |
| Jazz @ Rockets | Jazz +13 |
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