GarbageMan play of the night – Cubs alt run line -2.5

🧢 Game Preview: Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins
Date & Time: Monday, May 12, 2025, at 6:40 PM CT
Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago
Broadcast: Marquee Sports Network

🔍 Pitching Matchup
Chicago Cubs – Colin Rea (RHP)

Record: 2-0

ERA: 2.43

WHIP: 1.21

Strikeouts: 25 in 29.2 IP

Analysis: Rea has quietly emerged as a steady presence in the rotation. He limits hard contact and avoids walks, giving the Cubs quality starts. He’ll look to keep rolling against a light-hitting Marlins squad.

Miami Marlins – Cal Quantrill (RHP)

Record: 2-3

ERA: 7.11

WHIP: 1.67

Strikeouts: 22 in 31.2 IP

Analysis: Quantrill has struggled mightily in 2025. He’s allowing too many baserunners and failing to escape damage innings, particularly on the road. Facing a hungry Cubs lineup at Wrigley doesn’t bode well.

📊 Team Trends
Cubs: After losing 2 of 3 to the Mets over the weekend, the Cubs return home eager to rebound and take out their frustrations on a subpar Miami team. Despite some offensive inconsistency in that series, Chicago still leads MLB in runs per game (6.11) and has historically dominated Miami at Wrigley with a .658 win percentage since 2012.

Marlins: Miami has dropped 12 of their last 16 games, owns a team ERA of 5.70, and has one of the worst run differentials in baseball. Their lineup has lacked pop, and their rotation continues to falter. They’re overmatched in this matchup.

🧮 Prediction
Final Score: Cubs 7, Marlins 3

Rationale: The Cubs are in a bounce-back spot with their offense primed to explode against a struggling starter and bullpen. Rea should cruise through Miami’s low-leverage lineup, while Chicago’s bats will likely wear down Quantrill early. Look for the Cubs to come out aggressive at the plate and control the tempo from start to finish.