Bills vs. Texans Free Pick
HOUSTON, TX (The Spread) – A pair of 2-1 teams smarting from Week 3 losses will match up today when the Texans host the Bills at 1:00PM ET.
BUFFALO: After winning their first two games of the season in surprising fashion, the Bills finally fell last week to San Diego. The Bills lost 22-10 as a 2.5-point favorite and are now 2-1 overall and 2-1 against the spread. All three of Buffalo’s games have fallen under the total as the team ranks 23rd in total yards offensively and 15th in total yards allowed on defense. C.J. Spiller leads the team with 147 yards and two touchdowns while rookie Sammy Watkins has posted 167 yards receiving.
HOUSTON: The Texans won each of their first two games as 3-point favorites but lost as a 1-point underdog on the road last Sunday at the Giants. They’re now 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread while the over has hit in two of their first three games. They rank 15th in total yards offensively but 25th in yards allowed on defense. Arian Foster, who missed last game due to an injury, has rushed for 241 yards while DeAndre Hopkins leads the team in receiving with 227 yards and two touchdowns. J.J. Watt has a team-high two sacks.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Texans are 3-point favorites over the Bills while the over/under total for this game is currently sitting at 41 points. Houston opened as 2-point favorites but the spread has jumped up, while the total opened at 42 and has been bet down.
NFL FREE PICK: Take the under. According to latest NFL trends, the under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams and 4-0 in the Bills’ last four games in September. The under is also 4-1 in Buffalo’s last five games overall, 8-3 in its last 11 games following an ATS loss and 13-5-1 in its last 19 games on grass. On the other side, the under is 4-0 in the Texans’ last four games following a straight up loss, 7-1 in their last eight games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game, and 5-2 in their last seven games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
2014 NFL FREE PICK WEEK 4: BILLS/TEXANS UNDER 41
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