Ravens vs. Patriots Free Pick
FOXBORO, MA (The Spread) – With a trip to the Super Bowl on the line, will the Patriots exact some revenge on a Ravens team that knocked them out of the playoffs two seasons ago?
NFL Odds: Oddsmakers have installed the Patriots as 7-point favorites over the Ravens, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 50 points. Baltimore enters play with a 13-4 overall record and is 4-4 on the road this season, while New England is 14-3 overall and 8-1 at home.
Line Movement: The Patriots opened as 9-point favorites but the line has been bet down to 7 at most sports books, although some places list the spread at 7.5 or even 8. The over/under total opened at 50.5 and has been bet down a half-point to 50.
Public Betting: Of the 40,000-plus wagers on today’s game, 61% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Patriots. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL Playoff Free Pick: Take Baltimore. The Ravens aren’t going to be intimidated by Tom Brady and the Patriots’ explosive offense. It’s true that Baltimore has looked like a different team on the road this season but this number is clearly inflated by the Patriots’ lopsided victory over the Broncos in the Divisional round. That was a Denver, team, by-the-way, that couldn’t generate any movement offensively because of the limitations of quarterback Tim Tebow. Joe Flacco has to play better than his showing against Houston last weekend, but Ray Rice should help Baltimore keep the chains moving against an inconsistent New England defense. According to latest NFL trends, the Patriots are 1-6 against the spread in their last seven playoff games and 1-5 ATS in their last six home playoff games.
2012 AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME FREE PICK: BALTIMORE RAVENS +7
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