Texans vs. Ravens Free Pick
BALTIMORE, MD (The Spread) – Will the Ravens cover the spread today when they host the Texans at 1:00PM ET in the Divisional round of the 2012 NFL Playoffs?
ODDS: Oddsmakers have installed the Ravens as 9-point favorites over the Texans for Sunday’s game, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 36.5 points. Houston enters the day at 11-6 overall and 5-3 on the road, while Baltimore is 12-4 overall and 8-0 at home this season.
Line Movement: The Ravens opened as 7.5-point favorites and while the line did climb to 9 points at one point, it’s back down to 7.5 at most sports books (including at the Las Vegas Hilton). The over/under total opened at 38 but is now down to 36 or even 35.5 depending on the sports book.
Public Betting: Of the 66,000-plus wagers on today’s game, 57% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Texans. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL Playoff Free Pick: Take Baltimore. The Ravens have the best run defense in the AFC (second best in the NFL) and once they shut down Arian Foster and Houston’s running game, rookie T.J. Yates will have a hard time making plays. Wade Phillips won’t make it easy on Baltimore’s offense, but Ray Rice is too good to contain for an entire game and if the Texans can’t move the ball, the Ravens will eventually pull away. According to latest NFL trends, the Ravens are 4-1 against the spread in their last five playoff games as favorite and 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games versus a team with a winning record.
2012 NFL PLAYOFFS FREE PICK: BALTIMORE RAVENS –9
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