Saints vs. 49ers Free Pick
SAN FRANCISCO, CA (The Spread) – The Saints will take their explosive offense on the road this weekend when they take on the 49ers in the Divisional Round of the 2012 NFL Playoffs.
NFL Odds: Oddsmakers have installed the Saints as 4-point favorites over the 49ers, while the over/under total for Saturday’s 4:30PM ET kickoff is 47.5 points. New Orleans enters play with a 14-3 overall record and was 5-3 on the road this season, while San Francisco is 13-3 overall and 7-1 at home.
Line Movement: The Saints opened as a 3-point favorite but the spread has been bet up to 4, while the over/under total opened at 47 and depending on the book it either has stayed at that number or is up to 47.5.
Public Betting: Of the 60,000-plus wagers on today’s game, 64% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Saints. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL Playoff Free Pick: Take San Francisco. The Saints have been a completely different team on the road this season than they have at home. During the regular season, they outscored opponents 329 to 143 at home and just 218 to 196 on the road. Sean Payton tends to play things more conservatively on the road and Gregg Williams’ defense doesn’t play with the same amount of confidence. The 49ers’ defense has been outstanding all year and their pass rush should disrupt Drew Brees’ flow in the passing game. Look for San Francisco to take this game over on the ground with Frank Gore, keep Brees on the sidelines and potentially come up with a huge upset. And if they don’t win outright, they should keep the game within a field goal. According to latest NFL trends, the 49ers are 10-2-1 against the spread in their last 13 games versus the NFC and 13-3-1 ATS in their lat 17 games overall.
2012 NFL PLAYOFFS FREE PICK: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS +4
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