Saints vs. Falcons Week 10 Free Pick
ATLANTA, GA (The Spread) – With first place on the line in the NFC South, the Falcons will host their biggest rival when the Saints come to town today at 1:00PM ET.
NFL Odds: Oddsmakers have installed the host Falcons as 1-point favorites over the Saints, while the over/under total for this game is currently sitting at 49.5 points. New Orleans comes into today’s game with a 6-3 overall record and a 2-3 record on the road, while Atlanta is 5-3 overall and 2-1 at home.
Line Movement: The Falcons opened as 2-point underdogs at most books but the line has dropped since then. Atlanta is now -1 at some books, although others have this game as a pick’em. The total has dropped from 51 down to 49.5, which might be because professional bettors are baking on the game finishing in the same manner as the 17-14 battle in Atlanta last season on Monday Night Football.
Public Betting: Of the 20,000-plus wagers on today’s game, 55% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Saints. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL Week 10 Free Pick: Take the over. The side is just too close to call. The Falcons have won three straight games while the Saints have struggled on the road, but New Orleans also has the firepower to blow Atlanta out. One thing is for certain, however: Drew Brees and the Saints can score on anyone and even though the Falcons’ defense has been improving each week, New Orleans should still score in the 20s when it’s all said and done. Given the Saints’ massive struggles on defense this year, Atlanta should also score a few touchdowns in what should be a close, high-scoring game. According to latest NFL trends, the over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these two teams and 7-3 in the Falcons’ last 10 November games.
2011 NFL WEEK 10 FREE PICK: SAINTS/FALCONS OVER 49.5
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