Over/Under Free Pick of the Week
(The Spread) – What’s the best total of the week? The answer may lie with the Jaguars’ inexperienced young quarterback.
NFL Odds: Oddsmakers have installed the visiting New Orleans Saints as 6.5-point favorites against the host Jacksonville Jaguars, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 44.5 points.
Line Movement: The Saints opened as 6.5-point favorites and while the line did reach as high as 7.5 at one point, it’s back down to 7 at the Las Vegas Hilton. The over/under total for this game is currently sitting at 45 points in Vegas and 45.5 at most online books after opening at 46.5.
Public Betting: Of the 17,900-plus wagers on today’s game, 86% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Saints –6.5. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL Week 4 Free Pick: Take the under. According to latest NFL trends, the under is 4-0-1 in the Saints’ last five games in Week 4 and 4-1 in the Jaguars’ last five games overall. While the Saints have scored 30-plus points in each of their first three games (which would pursued most bettors to take the over), the Jaguars’ offense probably won’t do their part to ensure that this total goes over. They have a rookie starting quarterback in Blaine Gabbert and therefore will look to keep the ball on the ground with Maurice Jones-Drew. Look for this one to fall under the total.
2011 NFL WEEK 4 FREE PICK: SAINTS/JAGUARS UNDER 44.5
Want More From TheSpread.com? Follow us on Twitter and Facebook or Subscribe to Our News Feeds!