Last Updated on December 27, 2009 7:35 am by Anthony Rome
Jags vs. Patriots Pick
The New England Patriots are still trying to clinch a playoff spot, as are the Jacksonville Jaguars. The two teams will meet in Foxboro at 12:00PM ET on Sunday.
The Jaguars lost to the Colts 35-31 in Week 15 as a 3-point underdog, while the combined score went over the posted total of 43 points. David Garrard threw for 223 yards with three touchdown passes in the loss.
The Patriots beat the Bills 17-10 as a 7-point favorite in Week 15, while the combined score fell under the posted total of 43 points. Laurence Maroney rushed for 81 yards and a touchdown on 23 carries for New England, while Tom Brady threw for 115 yards with a touchdown and an interception.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the Patriots 8-point favorites over the Jaguars in Week 16. The over/under total for this game has been set at 44 points.
Some teams just own others and the Patriots have owned the Jaguars to a certain extent. For one reason or another, New England matches up very well with Jacksonville and should continue to have success.
Our free pick prediction for this game is the Patriots –8. New England is 4-2 against the spread in its lat six games at home and 5-2 ATS in its lat seven games when playing Jacksonville.
Meanwhile, the Jaguars are just 1-4 against the number in their last five games and 3-6 ATS in their last nine games on the road. They’re also 0-5 straight up in their last five games when playing on the road against New England.
We also favor the over in this contest. The Patriots are due to hammer a team and have a break out offensive game. We think it’ll be this week.
Our NFL Week 16 Free Pick for this matchup is: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -8 and OVER 44.
Jaguars vs. Patriots Current Odds
117 Jacksonville Jaguars +8 (+300 moneyline) Over 44
118 New England Patriots –8 (-400 moneyline) Under 44
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville’s last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
New England is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
JACKSONVILLE
[DL] 09/15/2009 – Rob Meier out for season ( Shoulder )
[DE] 09/18/2009 – Reggie Hayward IR ( Leg )
[CB] 09/01/2009 – Don Carey IR ( Shoulder )
[LB] 08/31/2009 – Jeremy Mincey IR ( Hand )
[WR] 09/21/2009 – Troy Williamson IR ( Shoulder )
[CB] 11/08/2009 – Scott Starks IR ( Hamstring )
[WR] 11/16/2009 – Jarett Dillard IR ( Ankle )
[LB] 11/26/2009 – Bryan Smith IR ( Shoulder )
[RB] 12/17/2009 – Greg Jones IR ( Leg )
[LB] 12/21/2009 – Clint Ingram IR ( Shoulder )
[LB] 12/17/2009 – Quentin Groves injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. New England ( Knee )
NEW ENGLAND
[LB] 08/26/2009 – Tyrone McKenzie IR ( Knee )
[OL] 09/05/2009 – George Bussey IR ( Knee )
[RB] 12/23/2009 – Fred Taylor is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Ankle )
[WR] 11/18/2009 – Brandon Tate IR ( Knee )
[OG] 12/20/2009 – Stephen Neal "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Ankle )
[SS] 12/09/2009 – Bret Lockett IR ( Groin )
[DE] 12/20/2009 – Myron Pryor "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Chest )
[DE] 12/23/2009 – Ty Warren is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Ankle )
[OT] 12/20/2009 – Nick Kaczur "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Head )
[DT] 12/23/2009 – Vince Wilfork is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Foot )
Posted: 12/27/09 7:35AM ET