The Seattle Storm visit the Phoenix Mercury on Saturday afternoon, and the betting market sees a clear gap between two cold Western Conference teams. Phoenix opened and remains a 7.5-point home favorite, while the total sits at 162. Both clubs entered the weekend well under .500, so this is less about playoff seeding and more about which side stops the bleeding. Our lean rests on one idea: when two struggling offenses meet, points are hard to find. Below, we break down the spread, the total, and a bonus angle for this matchup.
Last Updated: Saturday, June 20, 2026
SEATTLE STORM VS PHOENIX MERCURY DATE, TIME & HOW TO WATCH | |
|---|---|
| Where | Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ |
| When | Saturday, June 20 – 3:00 PM ET |
| TV | ABC |
Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury Game Preview
This is a meeting of two teams scuffling near the bottom of the Western Conference standings. Phoenix comes in at 4-12, while Seattle has dropped to 3-13. The Storm carry the heavier burden, riding a nine-game losing streak into Phoenix. Seattle has also leaned on a thin, rebuilding roster all season. The team remains without center Ezi Magbegor because of a foot injury, a setback detailed in the Seattle Times look at the rebuilding Storm. Young center Dominique Malonga, however, has returned from concussion protocol to give Seattle an interior presence again.
Phoenix is not exactly soaring either. Still, the Mercury hold the edge in this matchup on paper. Their offense has been the more productive of the two, and Alyssa Thomas remains the centerpiece as a constant triple-double threat. The concern for Phoenix is the other end of the floor, where the defense has leaked points all year. Seattle, by contrast, scores at a league-low clip and grinds games into the mud. That style helped keep the first meeting tight. Phoenix won that June 3 contest 72-68, a low-scoring slog you can review in the ESPN box score from the 72-68 final. For more on Seattle's slide, see our recent coverage of the struggling Storm.
SEATTLE STORM VS PHOENIX MERCURY ODDS | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
| Seattle Storm | +7.5 (-110) | +235 | U 162 (-110) |
| Phoenix Mercury | -7.5 (-110) | -285 | O 162 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of Saturday, June 20, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA Odds - Futures - Props
SEATTLE STORM VS PHOENIX MERCURY WHO IS THE PUBLIC BETTING? | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 61% | 39% | Phoenix Mercury |
See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
ATS Pick — Seattle Storm +7.5
The Pick: Seattle Storm +7.5 (-110)
A 7.5-point spread is a steep number to lay between two sub-.300 teams. The last meeting backs that up. Phoenix won by only four points on June 3, and that game came in Seattle. Now the Storm get the same opponent on a neutral statistical footing aside from venue. Seattle's calling card is a slow, defensive style that keeps games close even when the offense sputters. That profile fits a points play. The public agrees, too, with 61% of spread bets landing on the Storm.
The case for Phoenix is real, however. The Mercury are at home, they own the better offense, and they face a Storm team missing Magbegor and limping through a nine-game skid. If Thomas controls the glass and the tempo, Phoenix can pull away late. Seattle's league-low scoring also makes any comeback fragile. Still, laying nearly eight points with a 4-12 team asks a lot. We would rather take the points and trust the recent head-to-head margin.
Total Pick — Under 162
The Pick: Under 162 (-110)
The total is the cleaner side of this card. Both teams play at a slow pace, and Seattle scores at the lowest rate in the league. The June 3 meeting landed at just 140 combined points, well below this number. With Magbegor out and Malonga still rounding into form, Seattle's offense lacks easy buckets. A grind favors the under.
The other side has merit if Phoenix heats up at home. The Mercury can score in bunches when Thomas and the supporting cast click, and Seattle's defense without a true rim protector can bend. A track-meet first half would put 162 in play quickly. Even so, the matchup history and both teams' pace point the same direction. We lean under and expect another low-scoring battle.
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
The moneyline is where bettors should tread carefully. Phoenix at -285 is a pricey ticket for a team that is just 4-12, and the payout does not match the risk. On the other side, the Storm at +235 amount to a long shot given the nine-game slide. Neither price offers much value, which is why the points and the total are the better routes here. For more matchup breakdowns, browse our latest WNBA picks coverage.
If you want a single thread tying this game together, it is Thomas. She is the one player on the floor capable of bending the result on her own. If she posts another triple-double, Phoenix likely wins and possibly covers. If Seattle slows her down, the points and the under both cash. To recap our plays: Seattle Storm +7.5 (-110) against the spread, and the Under 162 (-110) on the total. We are passing on the moneyline at these prices.
WNBA Storm vs. Mercury Prediction FAQ
What time does the Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury game start?
The game tips off at 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, June 20, 2026, at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona.
What channel is the Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury game on?
The game is broadcast nationally on ABC.
Who is favored in the Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury game?
Phoenix is favored by 7.5 points at home. The Mercury are -285 on the moneyline, while the Storm are +235 underdogs.
Who won the last meeting between Seattle and Phoenix?
Phoenix won the most recent meeting 72-68 on June 3, 2026, in a low-scoring game played in Seattle.