The Toronto Tempo visit the Connecticut Sun on Friday night as narrow road favorites, with the spread sitting at just one point. On paper this looks like a mismatch. Toronto is a competitive expansion club, while Connecticut owns the worst record in the Eastern Conference. Yet a string of Tempo injuries has flipped the math, and the line tells the story. Our lean tilts toward the home underdog and a quieter scoring night, and the reasoning is below.
Last Updated: Friday, June 19, 2026
TORONTO TEMPO VS CONNECTICUT SUN JUNE 19, 2026, 7:30 PM ET & HOW TO WATCH | |
|---|---|
| Where | Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT |
| When | Friday, June 19 – 7:30 PM ET |
| TV | WNBA League Pass (NBC Sports Boston / TSN) |
Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun Game Preview
Toronto enters at 7-8 and sits fourth in the Eastern Conference. However, the Tempo arrive cold, having dropped three straight. Their road form is also middling at 3-5. Connecticut, meanwhile, is 2-14 and stuck on a six-game losing streak. The Sun rank last in the East and trail the conference lead by 9.5 games. They have lost nine of their last 10 games.
The injury report is the headline here. Toronto guard Brittney Sykes is listed as out with a foot injury, with an estimated return of June 22. That matters. Sykes leads the Tempo at 20.1 points per game and torched the Sun for 38 in the first meeting. Toronto is also without Kiki Rice and Nyara Sabally, while Julie Allemand is day-to-day. That is a depleted backcourt against a desperate home team.
The teams share little history, but the first meeting was memorable. Toronto won the June 10 opener 106-102 in overtime. The Sun nearly stole that one even with Sykes going off. This is also the second of three straight meetings, with the rubber match set for Mohegan Sun as well. Now the math shifts, and our recent Tempo coverage shows how thin the margins have become.
TORONTO TEMPO VS CONNECTICUT SUN ODDS | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
| Toronto Tempo | -1 (-110) | -115 | U 164 (-110) |
| Connecticut Sun | +1 (-110) | -105 | O 164 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of June 19, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA Odds - Futures - Props
TORONTO TEMPO VS CONNECTICUT SUN WHO IS THE PUBLIC BETTING? | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Tempo | 67% | 33% | Connecticut Sun |
See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
ATS Pick — Connecticut Sun +1
This number is the tell. A 2-14 team drawing only a one-point home line against a .467 club is unusual. The market has clearly priced in Toronto's injury problems. With Sykes, Rice and Sabally all sidelined, the Tempo lose their top scorer and much of their guard rotation. In a coin-flip game, taking the points at home carries value.
Public money tells the other side of the story. Toronto holds 67% of the spread tickets, yet the line has not climbed past one point. When the public leans one way and the number stays put, it often signals sharper resistance. The Sun also nearly won the first meeting despite surrendering 38 to Sykes. Remove that production, and the gap narrows further. Connecticut's recent run as a home underdog adds context to the price.
The case against Connecticut is real, too. The Sun have lost nine of 10 and rank near the bottom of the league in scoring. A six-game skid is hard to trust, and Toronto still owns the deeper, more athletic roster even shorthanded. Still, one point is a thin ask at home. The Pick: Connecticut Sun +1 (-110).
Total Pick — Under 164
The total opened at 167 and has since dropped to 164. That movement points toward the under, and the injury context supports it. Sykes is Toronto's engine on offense, and her absence removes roughly 20 points of scoring punch. Connecticut's attack has sputtered all season, scoring in the high 70s. A grind-it-out pace fits both clubs right now.
There is a clear counterpoint. The first meeting flew over this number, reaching 208 points in overtime. Toronto's defense has also leaked badly, allowing more than 90 points per game this season. If the Tempo turn this into a track meet, the under is in trouble. However, with the top scorer out and the number already trimmed, the lower-scoring path looks more likely. The Pick: Under 164 (-110).
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
For bettors who believe the Sun finally break through, the moneyline offers extra upside. Connecticut sits at -105, essentially even money, despite being only a one-point home dog. That price rewards an outright win by any margin rather than a narrow cover. The risk is obvious, since this is a 2-14 team on a long slide. Treat it as a small-stakes swing, not a core play. The Pick: Connecticut Sun Moneyline (-105).
The through-line is simple. Toronto is the better team on a neutral floor, but this floor is not neutral, and the Tempo are missing their best players. To recap the card: Connecticut Sun +1 (-110), Under 164 (-110), and a lean on the Connecticut Sun moneyline (-105) for those chasing the upset.
WNBA Tempo vs. Sun Prediction FAQ
What time does the Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun game start?
Tip-off is set for 7:30 PM ET on Friday, June 19, 2026, at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut.
What channel is the Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun game on?
The game streams on WNBA League Pass, with regional television coverage on NBC Sports Boston and TSN.
Who is favored in the Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun game?
Toronto is favored by one point on the road. On the moneyline, the Tempo are -115 and the Sun are -105.
Who won the last meeting between Toronto and Connecticut?
Toronto won the first meeting 106-102 in overtime on June 10, 2026. Brittney Sykes scored 38 points in that victory.