The Minnesota Lynx host the Dallas Wings on Sunday afternoon with the WNBA’s best record on the line and a familiar edge in the matchup. Minnesota sits at 26-7 and has won all three meetings with Dallas this season. The Lynx opened as 7.5-point favorites, yet the number has quietly slipped to 6 even as most of the betting public backs the home side. That gap between the money and the line shapes today’s card, which we break down below.
Last Updated: August 9, 2026
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Target Center, Minneapolis MN |
| When | Sunday, August 9 – 3:30 PM ET |
| TV | NBC (stream on Peacock) |
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview
Minnesota enters on a strong run, winning nine of its last ten games. The Lynx knocked off the defending-champion Las Vegas Aces 98-87 on Saturday and improved to a league-best 26-7. Olivia Miles poured in 26 points and Napheesa Collier added 22. Collier is back from the ankle injury that cost her the start of the season, and her return gives Cheryl Reeve’s group its full-strength look. Minnesota ranks second in the league in scoring at roughly 92 points per game.
Dallas has cooled off. The Wings dropped their most recent game 94-76 to the Golden State Valkyries on Friday, and they have lost four of five, a slide covered in our recent Wings coverage. Paige Bueckers remains the engine, averaging around 20 points per game. However, the supporting cast is banged up. Guard Azzi Fudd is day-to-day with right knee soreness and sat out Friday. Forward Alysha Clark is dealing with a back issue and also missed that game. At 19-13, Dallas is still in the playoff mix, but the margin is thinner on the road.
This is the fourth and final regular-season meeting, and Minnesota has swept the first three. The Lynx entered on a high after that Aces result, which we previewed in our latest Lynx picks coverage. Rest is the one clear factor in Dallas’s favor. Minnesota played Saturday afternoon and turns right back around on Sunday, the second half of a back-to-back. Dallas, by contrast, had Saturday off. That scheduling wrinkle matters for a Lynx team chasing the top overall seed.
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wings | +6 (-105) | +205 | U 179 (-110) |
| Lynx | -6 (-115) | -245 | O 179 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of August 9, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA Odds – Futures – Props
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Wings | 22% | 78% | Lynx |
See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Wings vs. Lynx Prediction — Can Dallas Cover the Road Number?
The betting split here is lopsided. Roughly 78 percent of spread bets and 92 percent of moneyline bets sit on Minnesota. Normally heavy public support on a favorite pushes the number up. Instead, the spread has moved the other way, down from Minnesota -7.5 at the open to -6. The Wings’ moneyline has also shortened from +240 to +205. When the line drifts toward the team the public is ignoring, it often signals sharper money.
Dallas fits the profile of a live underdog. Bueckers gives the Wings a number-one option who can keep them within a possession late. Two of the three prior meetings were competitive, and Dallas arrives with fresh legs against a Minnesota team playing the second night of a back-to-back. Six points is a full possession-plus of cushion.
The counterpoint is real. Minnesota is the best team in the league for a reason, and it has beaten Dallas three straight times. If Fudd and Clark both sit, the Wings lose two rotation pieces and lean even harder on Bueckers. A rested, motivated Lynx team pushing for the top seed could win comfortably. Still, the line movement and the rest edge tilt the value toward the visitors here.
The Pick: Dallas Wings +6 (-105)
Wings vs. Lynx Prediction — Will the Defenses Set the Tone?
The total opened at 179.5 and has ticked down to 179. Minnesota’s offense is humming, and both teams feature a top-seven scorer in Miles and Bueckers. On paper, that points to points. However, the Lynx defense is the swing factor. Minnesota ranks near the top of the league in points allowed and has controlled Dallas in every meeting this year.
There is a case for the over. If both stars get rolling, the pace can climb, and a back-to-back can sap a defense’s legs late. On the other side, a potential absence for Fudd trims Dallas’s scoring ceiling, and Minnesota has smothered the Wings all season. It is a close call. The season series and the Lynx defensive profile give the under a slight edge at this number.
The Pick: Under 179 (-110)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
Sunday’s card comes down to one question: is the public wrong about Minnesota? The Lynx are clearly the better team, and an outright upset is not the likely outcome. The market, though, tells a more interesting story. For a small-stakes swing that fits the reverse line-movement theme, the Dallas moneyline at +205 offers a longer-shot payout. Two of the three previous meetings stayed within single digits, so a Wings win is live. Treat it as a flier, not a core play.
Bonus Pick: Dallas Wings moneyline (+205), small stake
Here is the full card for Wings at Lynx: Dallas Wings +6 (-105) as the featured side, Under 179 (-110) on the total, and a small-stake flier on the Dallas Wings moneyline (+205).
WNBA Wings vs. Lynx FAQ: Sunday August 9, 2026
What time does the Wings vs. Lynx game start?
The Dallas Wings and Minnesota Lynx tip off at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, August 9, 2026, at Target Center in Minneapolis. It is the second half of a Minnesota back-to-back and the fourth and final regular-season meeting between the two teams this year.
What channel is the Wings vs. Lynx game on?
The game airs nationally on NBC and streams on Peacock. WNBA League Pass on Amazon Prime Video also carries the broadcast. Local radio coverage is available through iHeartRadio. Tip-off is set for 3:30 p.m. ET from Target Center in Minneapolis.
Where are the Wings and Lynx playing today?
The Wings and Lynx play at Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota, the Lynx’s home arena. Minnesota holds home court for this matchup, the second of two straight home games. It is the final regular-season trip to Minnesota for Dallas this season.
Where do the Wings and Lynx stand in the WNBA standings?
Minnesota owns the WNBA’s best record at 26-7 and sits first in the Western Conference. Dallas is 19-13 and remains in the playoff race. The Lynx are chasing the league’s top overall seed, which raises the stakes on this home date.
What is the season series record between the Wings and Lynx?
Minnesota leads the 2026 season series 3-0 and can complete a four-game sweep on Sunday. The Lynx have won each of the first three meetings, and Sunday marks the fourth and final regular-season matchup between the two clubs this year.