Sparks vs Tempo Prediction: Who’s The Best Bet at Near Even Money?

Sparks vs Tempo Prediction: Who's The Best Bet at Near Even Money? Sparks vs Tempo Prediction: Who's The Best Bet at Near Even Money?

The Los Angeles Sparks visit the Toronto Tempo on Thursday in a rubber match that both teams enter shorthanded. Toronto opened as a pick’em and now sits as a 1.5-point home favorite, a shift driven almost entirely by injury news.

The Sparks will play without leading scorer Kelsey Plum, while the Tempo are missing two key guards of their own. That collision of depleted rotations shapes our read on the spread, the total, and the moneyline.

Last Updated: Thursday, June 25, 2026

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo — Time & How to Watch

WhereCoca-Cola Coliseum, Toronto, ON
WhenThursday, June 25 – 7:00 PM ET
TVPrime Video

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo Game Preview

Los Angeles arrives at 8-8, hovering near the playoff line in a crowded standings race. Toronto sits at 8-9 in its inaugural season and has cooled off after a promising start. The Tempo have dropped four of their last five games, and they open a lengthy home stand here in front of a Canadian crowd.

These teams have already met twice in 2026 and split the series. The Sparks took the opener 99-95 on May 15. Toronto answered two days later with a 106-96 home win behind a 38-point night from Brittney Sykes. Both meetings cleared 190 combined points, a detail that matters when we get to the total. This third game, however, looks nothing like the first two on paper.

Availability defines this matchup. Plum, averaging better than 23 points per game, is out with a lower left leg injury and faces a multi-week absence. Toronto, meanwhile, is also missing major firepower. The Tempo have ruled out Sykes (plantar fascia) and rookie guard Kiki Rice (ankle), their top scorer and a key creator, with no firm return date for either.

So both benches get tested. Marina Mabrey has carried Toronto’s scoring lately, including 23 points in Monday’s loss to Atlanta. Los Angeles still leans on a veteran core of Nneka Ogwumike, Dearica Hamby, Azurá Stevens, and Ariel Atkins. That group gives the Sparks a steadier supporting cast than their .500 record suggests, as our recent look at the Sparks against the Liberty detailed. The question is which depleted team adjusts faster on a short turnaround.

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo Odds

SpreadMoneylineTotal
Los Angeles Sparks+1.5 (-105)+110U 180.0 (-110)
Toronto Tempo-1.5 (-115)-130O 180.0 (-110)

Odds accurate as of Thursday, June 25, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA OddsFuturesProps

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo — Who Is the Public Betting?

Los Angeles Sparks75%25%Toronto Tempo

See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!

Sparks vs Tempo Prediction: What’s Tonights Best Bet?

The spread opened at pick’em and moved to Toronto -1.5 once Plum was ruled out. That move makes sense on its face. However, it may overstate the gap between these rosters. Toronto is missing more scoring than Los Angeles is. Sykes and Rice combined for roughly 33 points per game before their injuries, while Plum’s absence removes about 24. The market still favors the Tempo, and home court is the obvious reason.

The Sparks also keep the steadier group. Ogwumike, Hamby, Stevens, and Atkins form a proven rotation that can absorb Plum’s minutes better than Toronto can replace two starting guards. In a near-coin-flip game, taking the points with the deeper healthy roster is the disciplined play. Getting 1.5 with a buy-back of half a point through the moneyline is a small but real edge.

The public has noticed the same logic, with roughly 75% of spread tickets on the Sparks. Heavy public backing can sometimes be a fade signal. However, the line has not moved off Toronto -1.5, and the moneyline split is nearly even. That absence of sharp disagreement means the public lean is not a strong reason to switch sides.

The case against the Sparks is straightforward. Toronto is home to start a long stand, and the crowd should provide a lift. Mabrey is scoring well, and the Tempo can shoot a team into trouble. Los Angeles has also struggled to find a reliable closer without Plum on the floor. Still, at a price this close, the value sits with the visitors getting points.

The Pick: Los Angeles Sparks +1.5 (-105)

Sparks vs Tempo Total Pick — Will The Under Cash With The Big Scorers Out?

The first two meetings between these teams produced 194 and 202 points, and both sailed over the number. Those games, though, featured Plum, Sykes, and Rice all on the floor. This time, all three watch from the bench. That removes nearly 57 points of nightly scoring from the matchup, yet the total has dropped only from its 181.5 open to 180. That adjustment looks light given the volume of offense now sidelined.

The over has merit. Toronto plays at a quick pace and has leaked points lately, including a 113-point night surrendered to Indiana. Even so, second units usually grind out uglier half-court possessions, and shot quality should dip with the stars out. The under is the side that respects the missing scoring.

The Pick: Under 180 (-110)

Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle

If the read on the spread is correct, the moneyline offers extra value. The Pick: Los Angeles Sparks moneyline (+110) rewards the same logic at a plus price. The Sparks retain the more intact rotation, and a one-possession favorite at home is hardly a strong endorsement of Toronto. A bettor who prefers outcome certainty can take the points, while a bettor chasing a better number can play the underdog outright.

The counterpoint stays the same throughout. Toronto is home and capable of a hot shooting night from Mabrey. If the Tempo control pace and the Sparks cannot generate clean offense without Plum, both plays come up short. Confidence here is measured, not loud, because both lineups are missing too much to call anything certain.

Here are the picks for Sparks at Tempo: Los Angeles Sparks +1.5 (-105), Under 180 (-110), and Los Angeles Sparks moneyline (+110). The market shaded toward Toronto on Plum’s injury, but the Tempo’s own absences make this closer to a coin flip than the price implies. For more plays across the slate, see our latest WNBA picks coverage.

WNBA Sparks-Tempo Prediction FAQ

What time does the Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo game start?

The game tips off at 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, June 25, 2026, at Coca-Cola Coliseum in Toronto.

What channel is the Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo game on?

The game streams nationally on Prime Video.

Who is favored in the Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo game?

The Toronto Tempo are 1.5-point home favorites and -130 on the moneyline. The Sparks are +1.5 and +110 on the moneyline.

Who won the last meeting between the Sparks and Tempo?

Toronto won the most recent meeting 106-96 on May 17, 2026. The teams split their two 2026 games, with Los Angeles winning the May 15 opener 99-95.

Is Kelsey Plum playing tonight?

No. Plum is out with a lower left leg injury and is expected to miss multiple weeks, so she will not play in this game.