The team with the best record in baseball walks into Dodger Stadium as a moneyline underdog on Thursday night, and that alone makes this one worth a closer look. The Milwaukee Brewers visit the Los Angeles Dodgers with the Brewers priced at +121 and the Dodgers laid at -144. Los Angeles has been the bigger name for years, yet the standings and the recent form tell a different story. Our headline lean sits with the road side at a price that feels generous. The total and the pitching matchup shape the rest of the card below.
Last Updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA |
| When | Thursday, August 13, 2026 – 10:10 PM ET |
| TV | SportsNet LA, Brewers.TV, MLB Network (out of market) |
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The pitching matchup frames everything here. Milwaukee sends left-hander Shane Drohan, who carries a 3.87 ERA and a 9.0 K/9 into his 14th start. His strikeout stuff plays, but his command wobbles, and his last outing was ugly: six earned runs on nine hits over five innings against Minnesota. Since returning to the rotation on June 1, he owns a steadier 4.39 ERA across a dozen starts. The upside is real. The floor is not.
Los Angeles counters with right-hander Roki Sasaki, whose 4.54 season ERA hides a clear turnaround. Over his last four starts he has allowed just five earned runs across 24 innings with 26 strikeouts and only seven walks. That is front-line form arriving at the right time. However, the Dodgers as a group have been leaking runs, and the standings show why the market still respects Milwaukee.
The Brewers own the best record in Major League Baseball at 74-47 and lead the NL Central by three games over the Cubs. They have gone 5-5 over their last 10. The Dodgers sit 73-48, comfortably atop the NL West by 8.5 games, but they limp in at 3-7 across their last 10. Milwaukee is missing outfielder Sal Frelick and starter Brandon Woodruff, while Los Angeles is without catcher Will Smith plus arms Tyler Glasnow, Blake Treinen, and Kris Bubic.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
| Run Line | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | +1.5 (-175) | +121 | U 8.5 (-115) |
| Dodgers | -1.5 (+150) | -144 | O 8.5 (-105) |
Odds accurate as of Thursday, August 13, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest MLB Odds – Futures – Props
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Brewers | 36% | 64% | Dodgers |
See the latest MLB Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction — Is the Best Team in Baseball a Live Road Dog?
Start with the market read, because it is doing a lot of work here. The public is piling onto Los Angeles, with 77% of moneyline tickets on the Dodgers and 64% of run-line tickets on their side. Yet the moneyline has not budged from the -144 open. Heavy public money on one side with a frozen number is often a quiet signal that sharper money sits on the other side. In this case, that other side is a Milwaukee team that has earned its spot on top of the standings.
The baseball backs the read. Milwaukee has the deeper, more consistent roster this season, and Los Angeles arrives cold at 3-7 in its last 10 with a pitching staff that has surrendered 17 home runs over that stretch. Drohan misses bats, and a road left-hander who can pile up strikeouts fits well against a lineup that has been chasing power. At plus money, the better team as an underdog is a spot worth taking.
The case against is straightforward. Sasaki has looked like an ace over his last month, and if that version shows up, Milwaukee’s offense could go quiet. Drohan’s last start was a genuine mess, and Dodger Stadium is a comfortable home for Los Angeles. This is a lean, not a certainty. Still, the price, the standings, and the frozen line all point the same direction, and that alignment is what tips it.
The Pick: Brewers Moneyline (+121)
Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction — Can Two Shaky Rotations Feed the Total?
The total opened at 8.0 and has climbed to 8.5, which tells you the market sees runs despite the venue. There is a reason. The Dodgers’ staff has been homer-prone lately, giving up 17 long balls in 10 games, and Milwaukee’s arms have not been clean either with 14 allowed in the same span. Drohan’s command lapses invite traffic, and both lineups have enough thump to punish mistakes. When the number moves up on its own, the offense-friendly read is getting confirmation.
The counter-case is worth respecting. Dodger Stadium has long played as a pitcher’s park that suppresses run scoring, and Sasaki has been stingy over his last four starts. If he controls the strike zone and Milwaukee’s bullpen holds serve, this game can stay under. That risk is real, but the recent home-run trends and the upward line move give the over the stronger stack of signals tonight.
The Pick: Over 8.5 (-105)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
The swing factor is Sasaki. If his recent form holds, the Dodgers can win this outright and drag the total under, which would sink both leans at once. If he reverts toward his 4.54 season ERA, Milwaukee’s patient bats and Drohan’s strikeouts point toward a Brewers night and plenty of scoring. Watch the early innings for how sharp Sasaki’s command looks, and watch the middle relief on both sides, since neither bullpen has been airtight. For deeper context, our latest MLB best bets and the recent Dodgers preview are useful reads.
To recap the card: the featured play is the Brewers on the moneyline at +121, backing the best team in baseball as a road underdog. The supporting play is the over 8.5 at -105, leaning on shaky recent pitching on both sides and a total that has already ticked upward. Both are leans with clear counter-cases, so size them accordingly.
MLB Brewers vs. Dodgers FAQ: Thursday August 13, 2026
What time does the Brewers vs. Dodgers game start?
First pitch is set for 10:10 PM ET, which is 7:10 PM PT local time, on Thursday, August 13, 2026. The game is played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles. It is the opener of a four-game set between the two division leaders.
What channel is the Brewers vs. Dodgers game on?
The game airs locally on SportsNet LA in the Los Angeles market and on Brewers.TV in the Milwaukee market. Fans outside those regions can find it on MLB Network as an out-of-market broadcast. Streaming options follow the same regional rights.
Who is pitching for the Dodgers tonight?
Right-hander Roki Sasaki is the probable starter for Los Angeles. He carries a 4.54 ERA and a 9.1 K/9 into the outing, though he has been much sharper recently, allowing just five earned runs over his last four starts. Milwaukee counters with left-hander Shane Drohan.
Who won the last meeting between the Brewers and Dodgers?
The Dodgers won the most recent meeting, taking the finale of a three-game set in Milwaukee on May 24, 2026. Los Angeles leads the 2026 season series 2-1, with both of its wins coming in that May series. Thursday begins their next four-game meeting.
Where do the Brewers and Dodgers stand in their divisions?
The Brewers lead the National League Central at 74-47, three games ahead of the Chicago Cubs and holding the best record in baseball. The Dodgers lead the National League West at 73-48, sitting 8.5 games clear of the San Diego Padres. Both teams are firmly in postseason position.