The Washington Mystics roll into Mohegan Sun Arena on Friday night as clear road favorites, and the betting market agrees. Washington has climbed back to .500 and owns one of the better away records in the league, while the Connecticut Sun are still searching for traction after one of the roughest starts in the WNBA.
These two met barely a week ago, and that result frames everything about this rematch. Our headline lean sides with the visitors, but the home number is closer than the standings suggest.
Last Updated: Friday, June 26, 2026
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville CT |
| When | Friday, June 26 – 7:30 PM ET |
| TV | WNBA League Pass |
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun Game Preview
Washington arrives at 8-8 and sits fourth in the Eastern Conference, a tidy turnaround for a young roster. The Mystics have been especially comfortable away from home, and balanced scoring has carried them through a competitive stretch. Sonia Citron has emerged as a go-to option, and the supporting cast around Kiki Iriafen and Michaela Onyenwere gives Washington enough firepower to keep pace in most matchups.
Connecticut, meanwhile, has had a season to forget. The Sun are last in the league at 3-15 and have struggled to score consistently, with Brittney Griner anchoring a lineup that also leans on Aaliyah Edwards, Saniya Rivers, and Aneesah Morrow. The good news for Connecticut is the venue. Home crowds have given this group a lift, and the Sun will be motivated to avoid a season sweep at the hands of an Eastern Conference rival.
The recent history matters here. Washington won the June 17 meeting, so the Mystics already proved they can handle this assignment. For more on how Washington has been trending, see our recent Mystics betting coverage. Connecticut’s side of the story sits in our latest look at the Sun.
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mystics | -5 (-105) | -195 | U 164.5 (-110) |
| Sun | +5 (-115) | +165 | O 164.5 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of Friday, June 26, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA Odds – Futures – Props
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Mystics | 58% | 42% | Sun |
See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun Prediction — Can the Sun Hang at Home?
The line opened with Washington laying a smaller number and has since nudged a half-point toward the visitors. That movement is a sign that early money respects the gap between these teams. The case for the favorite is straightforward. Washington is the more talented and more consistent group. The Mystics also just beat this same Connecticut team by seven in their 88-81 win on June 17. That margin landed outside this number, and Washington never trailed in the second half.
There is a counterpoint, though, and it is worth respecting. WNBA underdogs at home tend to play with urgency, and Connecticut has been more competitive at Mohegan Sun than its record implies. A seven-point loss last time means the Sun were within a possession or two late. If Griner controls the paint and Washington’s outside shooting goes cold, this stays a one-score game into the fourth quarter. The public sits modestly on Washington at 58 percent, so there is no heavy lean to fade here.
Still, the weight of evidence favors the team that has already done the job once. Washington gets to the free-throw line, defends well enough on the road, and runs the steadier rotation. In a matchup this lopsided on paper, the cleaner side is the group that controlled the previous meeting from start to finish.
The Pick: Mystics -5 (-105)
Mystics vs. Sun Total Prediction — Will Connecticut’s Offense Keep the Scoreboard Quiet?
The total sits at 164.5 after ticking up a point from the open, and the number hinges on Connecticut’s offense. The Sun have been among the lowest-scoring teams in the league all season. A unit that leans heavily on Griner inside does not generate easy points in bunches. When Washington plays with a lead, the Mystics are content to slow the game and milk the clock, which trims possessions late.
The other side has merit. The June 17 meeting between these two cleared this range, in part because Washington lived at the foul line and kept the scoreboard moving. Free throws add points even as they shorten possessions. If the Mystics reach the bonus early again and Connecticut’s role players hit a few perimeter shots, the scoring climbs. The lean here is modest, built on the Sun’s season-long scoring drought rather than a runaway read on the pace.
The Pick: Under 164.5 (-110)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
The moneyline is where Washington gets expensive. At -195, the price asks bettors to risk nearly two units to win one. A single-digit favorite that won the last meeting by only seven does not offer much cushion at that number. That makes the spread the more sensible route to the same opinion. Meanwhile, Connecticut’s +165 return is a reminder that home dogs in this spot are live for an outright shock more often than the record suggests.
Put it together and this profiles as a game Washington should control without ever feeling fully safe. The Mystics have the better roster, the recent head-to-head edge, and the steadier offense. Connecticut has the home floor and the motivation to avoid a sweep. Our two plays for Friday are Washington -5 on the spread and the Under 164.5 on the total. Both lean on the same logic, a stronger Washington side managing the pace against a Connecticut team that has struggled to keep up all year.
WNBA Mystics Prediction FAQ
What time does the Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun game start?
The game tips off at 7:30 PM ET on Friday, June 26, 2026, at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut.
Who is favored in the Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun game?
Washington is favored on the road by 5 points and sits at -195 on the moneyline, with Connecticut a +165 home underdog.
Who won the last meeting between Washington and Connecticut?
Washington won the most recent meeting 88-81 on June 17, 2026, leading for the entire second half.
What channel is the Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun game on?
The game streams live on WNBA League Pass for out-of-market viewers.