The Minnesota Lynx visit the Dallas Wings on Sunday afternoon carrying the WNBA’s best record and a short road number to defend. Minnesota sits at 14-4 and has already beaten Dallas twice this season.
The Wings, however, host this one at full strength and have shown they can stun contenders in Arlington. Our headline lean leans against the chalk, and the public money may be telling on itself. Here is how the matchup, the line, and the splits stack up.
Last Updated: Sunday, June 28, 2026
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings — Time & How to Watch
| Where | College Park Center, Arlington, TX |
| When | Sunday, June 28 – 2:00 PM ET |
| TV | CBS |
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings Game Preview
Minnesota owns the league’s best record at 14-4 and leads the Western Conference. The Lynx arrive on a high note after a 78-76 win in Washington. Natasha Howard carried that game with 21 points and 15 rebounds. Rookie guard Olivia Miles has been the engine all season, averaging 18.6 points on 52.2% shooting. That efficiency ranks her among the league’s top 10 scorers. Veterans Howard and Kayla McBride give head coach Cheryl Reeve a deep, balanced rotation.
There is one important caveat, however. Star forward Napheesa Collier remains out while recovering from offseason surgery on both ankles. She is still weeks away from her season debut. Minnesota has thrived in her absence, yet that missing piece matters against a deep Dallas roster.
Dallas has been one of the league’s better stories at 11-7. Paige Bueckers leads the Wings’ turnaround, averaging 19.8 points and 5.8 assists. Arike Ogunbowale remains a high-volume scorer capable of 30-point nights. Azzi Fudd adds another shooting threat on the wing. The Wings just dropped a 99-84 road game in Las Vegas. Before that, they stunned the Aces 96-66 at home, a reminder of how dangerous they can be in Arlington.
The season series has gone entirely Minnesota’s way so far. The Lynx won 90-86 in Dallas on May 14, then rolled 100-76 at home on June 9. Minnesota has now won six straight in the rivalry dating back to 2024. Meanwhile, Dallas is still searching for its first win against the Lynx this year.
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lynx | -4 (-105) | -175 | U 177 (-110) |
| Wings | +4 (-115) | +150 | O 177 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of Sunday, June 28, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA Odds – Futures – Props
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Lynx | 77% | 23% | Wings |
See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Lynx vs. Wings Best Bet — Can the Home Dog Hang Around?
The market opened with Minnesota laying 3.5 points. It has since nudged to -4, and the public is piled high on the favorite. Roughly 77% of spread tickets and 83% of moneyline tickets sit on the Lynx, according to the splits below. That kind of lopsided action on a road favorite is worth a closer look.
Minnesota’s case is straightforward. The Lynx are 13-4 against the spread, they have handled Dallas all year, and they won the last meeting by 24. Backing the deeper, more proven team on a modest number is the clean play. In contrast, the setting argues for the home side. Dallas defends far better in Arlington, allowing roughly 74 points per game at home compared with more than 90 on the road.
The Wings are healthy, they get a field goal’s worth of cushion, and they already blew out a contender at home this season. Heavy public money also tends to inflate a favorite’s number. When 77% of tickets land on one side, the value usually drifts to the other. Collier’s absence trims Minnesota’s ceiling, and four points is a meaningful buffer for a home team with two shot-creating guards. The Lynx should win this game. Covering on the road against a motivated, full-strength opponent is the tougher ask.
The Pick: Wings +4 (-115)
Lynx vs. Wings Total Prediction — Will Defense Push The Scoring Down?
The total opened at 178.5 and has since dropped to 177, a sign of early money on the Under. Both previous meetings this season landed right around that mark. The May 14 game finished 90-86, while the June 9 blowout totaled 176. Each fell just short of the current number, which is a useful data point.
There is a real Over case, to be fair. Minnesota has cleared the total in four straight games, and both teams feature guards who can heat up in a hurry. Still, the Lynx average about 169 combined points in their games this season, and Dallas defends well at home. The line movement, the defensive setting, and the head-to-head scores all point the same way. We saw a similar number play out recently in our Mercury vs. Tempo total breakdown.
The Pick: Under 177 (-110)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
If the read on Dallas keeping this close is right, the home moneyline offers extra upside. At +150, the Wings carry an implied probability near 40%. They are unbeaten at home against Las Vegas this year and have the firepower to spring another surprise. The risk is obvious, though. Minnesota has won six in a row in this series, so a moneyline ticket is best treated as a smaller, speculative add rather than a core play. For more of our slate, see our recent WNBA prediction coverage.
Bonus Pick: Wings Moneyline +150
To recap the card: the lean is the Wings to cover +4, the total to stay Under 177, and a smaller-stake flier on Dallas at +150 on the moneyline. The two-sided truth still applies. Minnesota is the better team, and a Lynx blowout in the mold of June 9 would sink all three angles at once.
WNBA Lynx Prediction FAQ
What time does the Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings game start?
Tip-off is set for 2:00 PM ET on Sunday, June 28, 2026, at College Park Center in Arlington, Texas.
What channel is the Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings game on?
The game airs nationally on CBS, with a live stream available on Paramount+.
Who is favored in the Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings game?
Minnesota is favored by 4 points and sits at -175 on the moneyline. Dallas is the home underdog at +150.
Who won the last meeting between the Minnesota Lynx and Dallas Wings?
Minnesota won the most recent meeting 100-76 on June 9, 2026. The Lynx have taken both games against Dallas this season.
Is Napheesa Collier playing for the Lynx?
No. Collier remains sidelined as she recovers from offseason surgery on both ankles and is still weeks from her season debut.