The Minnesota Lynx roll into Seattle on Wednesday as one of the hottest teams in the WNBA, and the betting market has taken notice. Minnesota opened as a 9.5-point favorite and now sits around -9, with the total near 177.5. On paper this reads like a mismatch.
The Lynx own the league’s best record, while the Storm are buried in the Western Conference. Yet these clubs met just two days earlier, and Seattle pushed Minnesota to the wire before losing by three. That result, plus a total that has climbed since the lines opened, gives us two angles worth a closer look.
Last Updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle WA |
| When | Wednesday, July 22 – 3:00 PM ET |
| TV | The CW (Seattle) |
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm Betting Preview
Minnesota arrives at 21-6, the best record in the WNBA and first place in the Western Conference. The Lynx have won six in a row, a run that includes a 105-102 win over these same Storm on July 20. What makes the surge notable is how they have done it. Star forward Napheesa Collier remains out with an ankle injury, yet the offense keeps humming. Rookie point guard Olivia Miles has been the engine, posting 32 points, eight rebounds and eight assists in the last meeting. Kayla McBride poured in 33 in that game, and All-Star starter Natasha Howard and reserve Courtney Williams give the group four dependable scorers.
Seattle sits on the other end of the spectrum at 6-22. The Storm have lost their footing over the past month, and their frontcourt took another hit when Ezi Magbegor went down. She is sidelined with a facial fracture, which thins their interior defense against Howard and Minnesota’s cutters. Guard Natisha Hiedeman leads the scoring, with rookies Dominique Malonga and Flau’jae Johnson chipping in. For a deeper look, see our breakdown of Monday’s meeting. Minnesota also handled Seattle 88-68 back on June 6, so the season series has tilted heavily one way.
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lynx | -9 (-115) | -415 | U 177.5 (-110) |
| Storm | +9 (-105) | +310 | O 177.5 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of Wednesday, July 22, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA Odds – Futures – Props
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Lynx | 33% | 67% | Storm |
See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Lynx vs. Storm Prediction — Can Seattle Cover Again at Home?
The line tells one story, and the last meeting tells another. Minnesota is clearly the better team, but nine points is a heavy number to lay in the WNBA, where a late run can swing a spread in seconds. Seattle already showed it can hang with this group. As roughly a 9.5-point home dog on Monday, the Storm lost by only three and covered comfortably. Familiarity matters in a quick rematch, and the home side often plays looser the second time around.
The public agrees, with 67 percent of spread bets landing on Seattle, and the number has ticked down from -9.5 to -9. That movement suggests the market is comfortable giving the Storm the points. The counterargument is real, though. Minnesota blew Seattle out by 20 in June, and its offense ranks among the league’s top two in scoring. With Magbegor out, the Storm have little rim protection if the Lynx decide to step on the gas. Given the home team’s recent competitiveness and the size of the number, we will take the points.
The Pick: Seattle Storm +9 (-105)
Lynx vs. Storm Prediction — Will the Rematch Slow Down?
The total is the more interesting market here. Monday’s game flew over the number in a 105-102 shootout, and the line has since jumped from 174 to 177.5. That climb looks like an overreaction to one high-scoring night. Minnesota owns the league’s second-stingiest defense, allowing under 80 points per game, and Seattle’s offense ranks near the bottom of the WNBA. When these teams met on June 6, the game finished at just 156 combined points, well under this number.
There is a case for the over. Magbegor’s absence leaves the paint exposed, and the market pushing the line up reflects genuine scoring concern. However, a double-digit favorite often eases off late, which drains possessions and points. With an elite defense involved and a low-scoring June meeting, we lean toward regression rather than another track meet.
The Pick: Under 177.5 (-110)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
Both of our leans point in the same direction: a close, lower-scoring rematch rather than a blowout. Taking Seattle plus the points pairs naturally with the under, since each play wins if the Storm keep the game within reach. The obvious risk is a Minnesota surge. If Miles and McBride catch fire, the Lynx could cover and push the total over on their own. That is the honest downside of backing a 6-22 home dog against the league’s best team.
For a bonus angle, the Storm moneyline at +310 is tempting after they lost by only three at home in the last meeting. An outright Seattle win would be an upset, and Minnesota’s -415 price reflects how heavily the market favors the road side. Treat this as a small sprinkle rather than a core position, since it is correlated with the spread play.
The Pick: Seattle Storm +310 (small stake)
To recap the card: Seattle Storm +9 (-105) is the featured play, Under 177.5 (-110) is the total lean, and a small-stake flyer on the Storm moneyline at +310 rounds out the ticket for anyone who liked how the home side hung around on Monday.
WNBA Lynx vs. Storm FAQ: Wednesday July 22, 2026
What time does the Lynx vs. Storm game start?
Minnesota and Seattle tip off at 3:00 p.m. ET, or noon PT, on Wednesday, July 22, 2026, at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle. This is an afternoon matinee rather than a prime-time slot, so plan ahead if you want to catch the opening tip live.
What channel is the Lynx vs. Storm game on?
The game airs locally in the Seattle market on The CW affiliate KUNS, which carries the Storm’s non-national home games in 2026. Viewers outside the Seattle and Minnesota regions can stream the matchup through WNBA League Pass, subject to local blackout rules.
Who won the last meeting between the Lynx and Storm?
Minnesota won the most recent meeting 105-102 at Climate Pledge Arena on July 20, 2026. Kayla McBride scored 33 points and Olivia Miles added 32 with eight rebounds and eight assists. Seattle stayed within three despite the loss, its closest result against the Lynx this season.
Where do the Lynx and Storm stand in the WNBA standings?
Minnesota owns the WNBA’s best record at 21-6 and sits first in the Western Conference on a six-game winning streak. Seattle is near the bottom of the West at 6-22 after dropping its last several games. The gap in both talent and standings between these two clubs is enormous.
Is Napheesa Collier playing for the Lynx?
No. Napheesa Collier remains sidelined with an ankle injury and is not expected to play on July 22. Minnesota has thrived without its star forward, going 21-6 behind Olivia Miles, Natasha Howard, Courtney Williams and Kayla McBride while Collier continues to work back.