The Portland Fire visit the Las Vegas Aces on Tuesday night, and the underdog stares down a double-digit road number for the third time in seven weeks. Las Vegas sits at 18-8 and opens the second half of the season as an 11.5-point favorite.
The Aces lean on A’ja Wilson, who is fresh off a 38-point night out of the All-Star break. Portland arrives at 11-16 in its first WNBA season, yet the expansion side has already traded punches with Las Vegas twice. That short history is where the value on this line hides, and it points our two best bets in one direction.
Last Updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026
Portland Fire vs. Las Vegas Aces — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas, NV |
| When | Tuesday, July 28 – 10:00 PM ET |
| TV | KMCC-TV 34 (Las Vegas), WNBA League Pass |
Portland Fire vs. Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview
Las Vegas returns from the break at 18-8 and firmly in the top tier of the Western Conference. Wilson remains the engine. She opened the second half with a 38-point performance in a narrow road loss to Washington. Jackie Young gives the Aces a steady secondary scorer, and Becky Hammon’s group has defended well since the restart. The Aces are chasing a season sweep here, and the price reflects a clear class gap.
Portland enters at 11-16 in its inaugural campaign. The Fire have hit a rough patch, and their defense has been the problem more than their offense. Carla Leite and Bridget Carleton have carried the scoring load, and the roster keeps competing even in losses. Las Vegas has already handled Portland twice. The Aces won 105-89 in the June 11 meeting in Portland, then followed with an 88-80 win at home earlier this month. Those two results frame everything about this line. You can see how Las Vegas has fared as a heavy chalk in our recent Aces betting breakdown, and Portland’s grit showed again in their last outing against the Wings.
Portland Fire vs. Las Vegas Aces Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fire | +11.5 (-115) | +430 | U 179.5 (-115) |
| Aces | -11.5 (-105) | -625 | O 179.5 (-105) |
Odds accurate as of Tuesday, July 28, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA Odds – Futures – Props
Portland Fire vs. Las Vegas Aces — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Fire | 61% | 39% | Aces |
See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Fire vs. Aces Prediction — Can Portland Hang Around on the Road?
The number to weigh is 11.5, and the season series tells a split story. In Portland on June 11, Las Vegas rolled by 16 points. Three weeks later at Michelob Ultra Arena, the margin shrank to eight in that 88-80 result. This game is back in Las Vegas, so the more recent single-digit meeting is the cleaner comparison. Portland scored 80 that night and stayed inside a two-possession swing of this number.
The case for laying the points is straightforward. Wilson is playing her best basketball of the second half, and the Aces defend well at home. A blowout is well within range if Portland’s shooting goes cold early. Still, the counter is compelling. The Fire have kept both meetings competitive on the scoreboard, and 11.5 asks a rested, motivated underdog to lose by two possessions on the road. The public agrees, with 61 percent of spread tickets on Portland. When a live underdog has already covered a similar number in the most recent head-to-head, the points carry real weight.
The Pick: Portland Fire +11.5 (-115)
Fire vs. Aces Prediction — Will the Rematch Stay Low-Scoring?
The total opened at 177.5 and has climbed to 179.5, so the market expects points. The two meetings this season split the difference in a telling way. The June game in Portland produced 194 combined points and sailed over. The July rematch in Las Vegas landed at just 168, comfortably under. Home-court tempo and Wilson’s health that night helped keep it tighter.
The over has support if Portland’s defense leaks again and Wilson keeps scoring in bunches. That is a real risk at this pace. The other side is that the most recent meeting, played in this same building, fell 11 points shy of the current number. If Las Vegas controls the game and grinds out a comfortable win, the scoreboard tends to slow late. The 179.5 line sits above where these teams last met here, and the lower-scoring rematch is the sharper read.
The Pick: Under 179.5 (-115)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
The moneyline offers little to chase on either side. Las Vegas at -625 asks for a heavy lay to win a small return, and Portland at +430 is a dart throw against a team that has beaten the Fire twice already. Neither price is where the value lives. This game is best played through the spread and the total, where the season series does the heavy lifting.
Both angles trace back to the same idea. Portland has stayed close enough to matter, and the most recent meeting in Las Vegas was both single digits and low scoring. To recap the card: Portland Fire +11.5 (-115) and Under 179.5 (-115). If the Aces blow the doors off early, both bets are in trouble, so treat the underdog’s recent form as the deciding factor rather than a guarantee.
WNBA Fire vs. Aces FAQ: Tuesday July 28, 2026
What time does the Portland Fire vs. Las Vegas Aces game start?
Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET (7:00 PM PT) on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. The game opens the second half of the season for the Aces coming out of the All-Star break.
What channel is the Portland Fire vs. Las Vegas Aces game on?
The game airs locally in Las Vegas on KMCC-TV (Channel 34) and is not scheduled for national television. Out-of-market viewers can stream it through WNBA League Pass.
Who won the last meeting between the Portland Fire and Las Vegas Aces?
Las Vegas won the most recent meeting 88-80 at Michelob Ultra Arena earlier in July. A’ja Wilson led the way with a double-double of more than 30 points in her return from a leg injury.
What is the season series record between the Portland Fire and Las Vegas Aces?
Las Vegas leads the season series 2-0 heading into Tuesday. The Aces won 105-89 in Portland on June 11 and 88-80 in Las Vegas earlier in July, and they are seeking a season sweep in this third meeting.
Where are the Portland Fire and Las Vegas Aces playing today?
The teams meet at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas, the home floor of the Aces. Las Vegas holds the home-court edge for the second meeting of the year between the clubs.