Giants vs. Patriots Total Prediction
A rematch of Super Bowl XLII and SBXLVI will take place on Thursday night when the Patriots host the Giants at 8:20 p.m. ET. With the total sitting at 43.5 points, what’s the best play for bettors when it comes to the over/under?
103 New York Giants (+17) at 104 New England Patriots (-17); O/U 43.5
8:20 p.m. ET, Thursday, October 10, 2019
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Patriots are receiving 62% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
New York Giants Fantasy Spin
Saquon Barkley (ankle) was listed as a limited participant in Monday’s practice. The Giants didn’t actually practice, but they were required to submit an estimated practice report. Barkley continues to trend towards a ridiculously quick return. NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport even said a Week 6 return is “in view” on Sunday. His presence is needed more than ever with Wayne Gallman (concussion) trending towards missing Thursday night’s matchup against the Patriots. The entire Giants’ offense is in a rough spot against the Patriots’ league-best defense, but Barkley would still be a RB1 thanks solely to his absurd talent and projected workload.
New England Patriots Fantasy Spin
Julian Edelman (chest) was listed as a limited participant in practice Monday. The Patriots didn’t actually practice, but they were required to submit an estimated practice report. Edelman has been dealing with this chest injury for weeks and hasn’t let it interfere with his usual full-time role come Sunday. He’s set up exceptionally well Thursday night against the Giants’ porous secondary. Edelman could even see enhanced target share with Phillip Dorsett (hamstring) potentially sidelined.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 6-1 in the Giants’ last seven games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
The under is 4-0 in the Patriots’ last four games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The under is a perfect 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two teams when the Patriots are the host team and has cashed in five of the previous seven meetings overall. The under is 5-2 in the Pats’ last seven home games, is 5-1 in their last six games overall and is 4-1 in their last five games coming off a win. Meanwhile, the under is 5-2 in the Giants’ last seven games in the month of October and has cashed in seven of their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
NFL Week 6 Prediction: Giants/Patriots UNDER 43