NFC North rivals clash in Green Bay on Thursday night when the Packers host the Lions. With the game essentially a pick’em, what’s the smart spread play tonight? Check out odds, trends and our Lions vs. Packers prediction ahead.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
101 Detroit Lions (-1.5) at 102 Green Bay Packers (+1.5); o/u 46
8:15 p.m. ET, Thursday, September 28, 2023
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
TV: PRIME VIDEO
Lions vs. Packers Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 66% of public bettors are currently backing the Lions when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Detroit Lions DFS Spin
Lions LT Taylor Decker (ankle) is questionable for Week 4 against the Packers. Fellow offensive linemen Halapoulivaati Vaitai and Matt Nelson were ruled out. Jonah Jackson is also questionable. The Lions’ line was billed as one of the team’s biggest strengths entering the season, but injuries have taken their toll on the team’s bigs. Getting Decker back would be a notable win for Jared Goff and company. Decker was limited in practice throughout the week.
Green Bay Packers DFS Spin
NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero reports Aaron Jones (hamstring) is expected to play in Week 4 against the Lions. Jones nearly gave it a go in Week 3 against the Saints but was ultimately held out for an additional week. The return of the Packers’ No. 1 back will be a welcomed one, as the team’s ground game has struggled during his two-week absence. Jones has nearly three full weeks removed from his injury, and should have some some high-end RB2 upside against a Lions defense that’s allowing 18 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs.
Lions vs. Packers Betting Trends
Detroit is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games
The Lions are 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Green Bay is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The Packers are 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Detroit
Lions vs. Packers Prediction:
Take Green Bay. This is an even matchup but the key is that the Lions are still banged up, while the Packers appear to be on the mend. They were without five of their 10 best players against the Saints due to injury, then lost linebacker De’Vondre Campbell to an ankle injury in the first quarter. That said, Aaron Jones and Christian Watson should play tonight. On the other side, the Lions lost C.J. Gardner-Johnson, Josh Paschal and James Houston to IR. Taylor Decker missed the last two games due to an ankle injury and David Montgomery is likely out tonight with a thigh injury. Kerby Joseph and Halapoulivaati Vaitai are also out, as well. This one will be tight throughout, but I see the Packers coming away victorious in the end.
Lions vs. Packers NFL Prediction: Green Bay Packers +1.5