Jaguars vs. Colts Week 11 Prediction
The Colts opened as 3-point home favorites to beat the Jaguars but the line was bet down to 2.5 at most sports books. Will the Jaguars pull off the small upset or will the Colts rebound from their loss to the Dolphins?
457 Jacksonville Jaguars (+2.5) at 458 Indianapolis Colts (-2.5); O/U 43.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 17, 2019
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Jaguars are receiving 51% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Jacksonville Jaguars Fantasy Spin
Dede Westbrook (shoulder) was removed from the Week 11 injury report. Westbrook missed Week 9 but is healthy coming off Jacksonville’s bye. He should benefit from the Jaguars going back to Nick Foles, who targets the slot at a higher rate than Gardner Minshew. Westbrook is a FLEX play for a matchup with the Colts.
Indianapolis Colts Fantasy Spin
The Colts ruled out T.Y. Hilton (calf) for Week 11 against the Jaguars. Hilton wasn’t able to practice on his lingering calf injury this week and remains week to week. Zach Pascal will continue filling in as the top receiver with Eric Ebron and Jack Doyle chipping in at tight end. Hilton will be trying to make a Week 12 return against the Texans.
NFL Betting Trends
The Jaguars 5-1 against the spread in their last six conference games and are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games coming off a bye week.
The Colts are 5-0 against the number in their last divisional games and are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
The Jaguars have been highly profitable against Indianapolis, posting a 7-0-1 ATS record in their last eight games versus the Colts and a 3-0-1 ATS mark in their last four trips to Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts have been in an offensive funk of late and this is a good spot to back a Jaguars team that is well rested coming off its bye. It also might be a great time to go back to Nick Foles, as perhaps “Minshew Magic” was starting to wear off. This is a good matchup for the Jaguars, as they should be able to slow down Marlon Mack and force the Colts to be one dimensional with Jacoby Brissett returning after suffering an injury two weeks ago in Pittsburgh.
NFL Week 11 Prediction: Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5