Broncos vs. Bills Total Prediction
The total for Sunday’s Broncos and Bills game opened at 36.5 but was bet down to 37. Is this a good spot to take the over with the number that low or is the under still the top play for bettors when it comes to the total?
253 Denver Broncos (+4) at 254 Buffalo Bills (-4); O/U 37.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 24, 2019
New Era Field, Orchard Park, New York
According to our NFL Public Betting Chart page, the Bills are drawing 64% of the betting tickets ahead of tonight’s game.
Denver Broncos Fantasy Spin
Brandon Allen completed 17-of-39 passes for 240 yards, one touchdown and an interception in the Broncos’ 27-23, Week 11 loss to the Vikings. Allen added three rushes for 18 additional yards. Allen was playing pitch and catch with Courtland Sutton against the Vikings’ struggling secondary but on the whole he missed more throws than he made. Troy Fumagalli was the recipient of his three-yard touchdown pass, while his interception was a red zone back-breaker in a situation where the Broncos could have gone up 27-0 before the half. Allen has put a few good things on tape but not nearly enough to hold off second-rounder Drew Lock, who is going to be inserted under center sooner rather than later. It should be Allen starting against the Bills in Week 12.
Buffalo Bills Fantasy Spin
Josh Allen completed 16-of-26 passes for 202 yards and two touchdowns in the Bills’ 31-21, Week 7 win over the Dolphins. He rushed four times for 32 yards and a two-point conversion as a runner. The Bills came out extremely sloppy from their bye week and went into the half trailing 17-9 as they were booed off the field by the home crowd. Buffalo kept shooting itself in the foot with multiple first-half penalties and settling for field goals. Allen eventually started playing better, completing his first eight passes of the second half and hooked up with John Brown (20 yards) and Cole Beasley (3) for his touchdowns. The Bills ran just 51 offensive plays on the day as the Dolphins clocked them in time of possession, which included a 10-minute drive to open the third quarter. Allen will be a QB1 in a dream home matchup with the Eagles in Week 8.
The under is 8-1-1 in the Broncos’ last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
The over is 8-2 in the Bills’ last 10 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
NFL Week 12 Prediction
The Broncos defense allowed 27 unanswered points last Sunday in Minneapolis but that was mostly the fault of their offense, which couldn’t sustain drives. Denver’s defense was on the field most of the second half but I see that unit rebounding this weekend in Buffalo. The Bills, meanwhile, scored 37 points last week in Miami but that was against an overmatched Dolphins defense. Their offense will regress naturally this weekend, but their defense should keep the Broncos’ offense in check. Buffalo’s run defense is an issue, but I’m not convinced Denver will be able to take advantage.
NFL WEEK 12 PREDICTION: BRONCOS/BILLS UNDER 37