Cardinals vs. Cowboys MNF Expert Pick: Dallas tough to beat at home?

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Last Updated on November 3, 2025 3:26 pm by Anthony Rome

Monday Night Football brings a juicy Week 9 matchup to AT&T Stadium as the Arizona Cardinals (Cardinals at Cowboys) visit the Dallas Cowboys. This game is a classic mismatch on paper — a Dallas offense that piles up points against an Arizona roster fighting through injuries — but the number is a razor-thin field goal, which makes this a live betting spot for sharp line shoppers and public contrarians alike. Focus keyword: Cardinals at Cowboys.
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Game Information

  • When: Monday, November 3, 2025 — Kickoff 8:15 p.m. ET (MNF).

  • Where: AT&T Stadium — Arlington, Texas.

  • TV: ABC / ESPN / NFL+.

  • Teams & records (entering Week 9): Dallas Cowboys (3–4–1), Arizona Cardinals (2–5).

Cardinals vs Cowboys Betting Odds

  • Spread (Bovada): Cowboys −3 / Cardinals +3.

  • Total (Bovada): 54 (o/u 54).

  • Moneyline (Bovada approx): DAL −170 / ARI +145 (market pricing subject to live movement).

Public Betting Information

The public has leaned heavily toward Dallas in this market. TheSpread.com’s market watch shows the line sitting around Cowboys −3 and reports roughly 65–74% of public tickets and/or money favoring Dallas in various charts and top public-bet lists — a clear public lean on the home favorite. TheSpread also notes totals action concentrated on the Over in first halves but some resistance full-game at 54. Monitor whether early sharp money or late underdog support bites back.

Quick situational notes

  • QB situation & injuries: Arizona has been banged up and has leaned on backup/relief play; Dallas remains reliant on its explosive offense but has a leaky defense that gives up chunk plays. Kyler Murray’s status has impacted Arizona’s ceiling; Jacoby Brissett has been starting lately. Check last-minute injury reports before lock.

  • Pace & scoring profile: Oddsmakers view this as a matchup of two offenses that can push the tempo; market totals reflect that respect for scoring (total in the mid-50s). That implies a likely fast-paced game with opportunities for bettors on team totals and game props.

  • Home-field/public factor: TheSpread’s public-betting tools show heavy public support for Dallas — that often drives sharper books to shade the Cowboys line a point or so. If you prefer fading public money, this is a flag.

Cardinals vs Cowboys Prediction

Cardinals at Cowboys Prediction: Cowboys −3 — Take Dallas to cover and win 31–24.

Why: Dallas’ offense is potent at home and can manufacture quick scoring drives that Arizona — thin and banged up — will struggle to match consistently over four quarters. The Cowboys’ defensive issues do open the door for a shootout, but the combination of home-field, offensive efficiency, and public market support keeps Dallas favored by a field goal; I expect Dak Prescott & Co. to control late down sequencing and pull away in the second half. Final: DAL 31, ARI 24. (Play: Cowboys −3).

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