The Diamondbacks and Reds close their series Sunday afternoon at Great American Ball Park in what has been a coin-flip series. Arizona sits at -112 on the moneyline, while Cincinnati comes back at -108. That razor-thin price hands the spotlight to the pitching matchup, and it is a study in contrasts.
Reds left-hander Andrew Abbott has been one of the steadier arms in the National League over the past month. Diamondbacks right-hander Zac Gallen arrives in the middle of a frustrating season. Our lean leans toward the home side, but the case is closer than Abbott's recent numbers suggest. Below we break down the line, the public split, and our picks.
Last Updated: Sunday, June 14, 2026
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS CINCINNATI REDS JUNE 14, TIME & HOW TO WATCH | |
|---|---|
| Where | Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH |
| When | Sunday, June 14 – 1:40 PM ET |
| TV | MLB.TV |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Game Preview
The pitching matchup frames everything here. Abbott has carried the Reds rotation through a rough team stretch. According to MLB.com, he is 3-2 with a 2.48 ERA and 29 strikeouts over his past seven starts. That run lifted his season ERA to roughly 4.10 after a slow April. His last time out, on June 3 against Kansas City, he worked six innings and allowed three runs on five hits with five strikeouts. The left-hander has missed enough bats to keep dangerous lineups honest.
Gallen, by contrast, has not found his footing. The right-hander owns a 3-5 record and a 5.43 ERA, and the long ball has been the main culprit. Sports Illustrated notes his underlying metrics point to genuine struggles rather than bad luck, including a home run rate near 1.5 per nine innings. In his June 9 start against Miami, he allowed nine hits and four earned runs without finishing the sixth. There is still pedigree here, as Gallen sits two strikeouts shy of tying Brandon Webb for second on the franchise list. However, the recent form clearly favors the Cincinnati starter.
The standings add context. Cincinnati entered the weekend fifth in the NL Central and scuffling, having lost the majority of its games over the previous two weeks. Arizona has hovered around .500 in a competitive NL West. Still, the Reds snapped their skid earlier in this series, so momentum is not entirely one-sided. For more matchup angles, see our latest MLB best bets breakdown.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS CINCINNATI REDS ODDS | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Moneyline | Total | |
| ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS | -1.5 (+140) | -112 | U 9.5 (+100) |
| CINCINNATI REDS | +1.5 (-165) | -108 | O 9.5 (-120) |
Odds accurate as of Sunday, June 14, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest MLB Odds - Futures - Props
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS CINCINNATI REDS WHO IS THE PUBLIC BETTING? | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS | 50% | 50% | CINCINNATI REDS |
See the latest MLB Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Moneyline Pick — Cincinnati Reds ML
This game prices as a true pick'em, so the run line offers little value on either side. Arizona -1.5 pays +140, but asking a struggling Gallen to anchor a two-run win is a stretch. The Reds at +1.5 cost -165, which is steep for a coin flip. That pushes the value to the moneyline, where the better side is the home team.
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline (-108)
The case for Cincinnati starts on the mound. Abbott has been sharp and misses bats, and he gets the platoon and home-park comfort of pitching in front of his own crowd. Meanwhile, Gallen has been homer-prone and lands in one of the league's more hitter-friendly venues. A near-even price on the steadier starter is a reasonable spot to back the Reds. Their recent series win also shows the bats are capable of breaking out.
The case against is real, though. Abbott's peripherals, including an xERA near 4.90 and a FIP close to 4.79, suggest his 2.48 ERA over seven starts is due for some regression. Gallen still carries front-line pedigree and could rediscover his command on any given afternoon. Arizona's lineup is dangerous, and a pick'em means the edge is thin rather than decisive. We side with the Reds, but this is a lean, not a heavy position.
Total Pick — Over 9.5
The total opened at 9.5 and the juice has crept toward the over, moving from -115 to -120 on that side. That nudge fits the matchup. Gallen's home run problem in a ballpark that rewards fly balls is the engine of this pick. If the Reds connect a couple of times, the run total climbs in a hurry.
The Pick: Over 9.5 (-120)
Most of the scoring case sits on Cincinnati's side of the ledger against a vulnerable Gallen, not on a shootout from both clubs. The counterpoint is Abbott. If he repeats his recent form, he can hold Arizona to two or three runs and keep this comfortably under. That is the honest risk. Even so, the price moved for a reason, and the park plus Gallen's profile tilt us to the over.
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
The swing factor is simple. Watch how Gallen handles the early innings, because his trouble has often started with the long ball. If he escapes the first three frames without damage, the under and an Arizona cover both gain life. If the Reds tag him early, our two positions move in the same direction quickly.
For a smaller-stake idea, Abbott's strikeout total is worth monitoring given his recent bat-missing form, though we are not grading it as a featured play here. The bullpens on both sides will also matter in a tight afternoon game, so late-inning matchups could decide a one-run result. To recap, our picks for this game are the Cincinnati Reds moneyline (-108) and the over 9.5 (-120). Both lean on the same theme: a steadier Reds starter against a Diamondbacks arm the market no longer trusts.
MLB Reds Prediction FAQ
What time does the Diamondbacks vs. Reds game start?
First pitch is set for 1:40 PM ET on Sunday, June 14, 2026, at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati.
What channel is the Diamondbacks vs. Reds game on?
The game is available to stream on MLB.TV.
Who is pitching in the Diamondbacks vs. Reds game?
The Diamondbacks are scheduled to start right-hander Zac Gallen, while the Reds counter with left-hander Andrew Abbott.
Who is favored in the Diamondbacks vs. Reds game?
The game is essentially a pick'em. Arizona is a razor-thin moneyline favorite at -112, with Cincinnati priced at -108.