Patriots vs. Colts Free Pick
INDIANAPOLIS, IN (The Spread) – Andrew Luck and Tom Brady will square off tonight on Sunday Night Football when the Colts host the Patriots at 8:30PM ET.
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Colts are 3-point home favorites over the visiting Patriots while the over/under total is currently sitting at 57.5 points.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Colts opened as 2.5-point home favorites but the line for this game has been bet up to 3 at most online and Vegas sports books, while the total opened at 56 points and has been bet up to 57.5.
SEASON RECORDS: The Patriots are 7-2 straight up this season and 5-4 against the spread, while the over is 7-2 in their nine games in 2014. On the other side, the Colts are 6-3 straight up and 7-2 against the number, while the over is also 7-2 in their nine games this season.
Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 75% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Patriots. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL FREE PICK: Take New England. According to latest NFL trends, the Patriots are 8-3-1 against the spread in their last 12 games in Indianapolis while the underdog is 13-5-2 ATS in the last 20 meetings between these two teams. The Pats are also 4-0 against the spread in their last four games versus a team with a winning record, 5-1 ATS in their last six games in November and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. Andrew Luck has faced the Patriots twice in his career and neither game has been close, including last year’s playoff loss in New England. Granted, he and the Colts are at home tonight but we think the results will be largely the same.
2014 NFL WEEK 11 FREE PICK: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +3
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