AFC Championship Prop Odds
DENVER, CO (The Spread) – A lot of focus on the AFC Championship is on the quarterbacks, but will the running backs decide who wins when the Denver Broncos host the New England Patriots?
While Peyton Manning and Tom Brady will likely play their role, it could be Knowshon Moreno and LeGarrette Blount that decide who wins on Sunday. According to oddsmakers from Bovada.lv, Moreno has been given an over/under of 77.5 rushing yards for Sunday’s game. Moreno rushed for 1,038 yards and 10 touchdowns this season, an average of 64.9 yards per game. Moreno had a quiet end to the season, but had 82 yards on 23 carries last week against the Chargers. In the loss to the Patriots in November, he posted a season-high 224 yards on 37 carries. He has posted at least 78 yards in seven of the team’s 17 games this season. New England came into the playoffs with the 30th-ranked rushing defense in the NFL, allowing 134.1 yards per game on the ground.
When it comes to Blount, he has been given over/under odds of 72.5 rushing yards against the Broncos. Blount rushed for 772 yards during the season, an average of 48.3 yards per game. However, he has had a big role in the New England offense over recent weeks. Last week in the win over Indianapolis he had 166 yards and four scores on 24 carries. In the season finale against Buffalo, Blount rushed for 189 yards and two scores on 24 carries. He posted 76 yards on 16 carries against Baltimore in Week 16. He had just 13 yards on two carries in the meeting with Denver on Nov. 24, but appears to be the go-to back for New England in this game. That can all change should Blount fumble the ball, but he has lost just two fumbles this season. Denver had the eighth-best rushing defense in the NFL this season, allowing just 101.6 yards per game.
For a complete look at the playoff props available for the AFC Championship, see below.
AFC Championship Prop Odds – Patriots vs. Broncos
Total passing yards for Tom Brady (Patriots): Over/Under 269.5
Total touchdown passes for Brady: Over/Under 1.5
Total rushing yards for LeGarrette Blount (Patriots): Over/Under 72.5
Will Blunt score a touchdown: Yes (-160) No (+130)
Total TD’s for Blount: 0 (+125) 1 (+140) 2 (+300) 3 or more (+700)
Total receiving yards for Julian Edelman (Patriots): Over/Under 80.5
Total receptions for Edelman: Over/Under 6.5
Total passing yards for Peyton Manning (Broncos): Over/Under 320.5
Total touchdown passes for Manning: Over/Under 3
Total rushing yards for Knowshon Moreno (Broncos): Over/Under 77.5
Total receiving yards for DeMaryius Thomas (Broncos): Over/Under 82.5
Total receptions for Thomas: Over/Under 5.5
Total receiving yards for Wes Welker (Broncos): Over/Under 62.5
Total receptions for Decker: Over/Under 6
Team to score first: Patriots (+115) Broncos (-145)
Will either team score in the first 5½ minutes: Yes (-115) No (-115)
Will either team score in the first 7 minutes: Yes (-160) No (+130)
Total points for Patriots: Over/Under 26
Total points for Broncos: Over/Under 31.5
Total first half points for Patriots: Over/Under 13.5
Total first half points for Broncos: Over/Under 16
Longest Touchdown: Over/Under 50.5 yards
First score will be: Touchdown (-185) Any Other Score (+160)
Double Result
Broncos HT / Broncos FT -115
Broncos HT / Patriots FT +800
Patriots HT / Broncos FT +550
Patriots HT / Patriots FT +300
Tie HT / Broncos FT +1100
Tie HT / Patriots FT +1600
Margin of Victory
Broncos Win By 01-03 pts +650
Broncos Win By 04-06 pts +850
Broncos Win By 07-10 pts +600
Broncos Win By 11-13 pts +1300
Broncos Win By 14-17 pts +950
Broncos Win By 18-21 pts +1200
Broncos Win By 22 or more +600
Patriots Win By 01-03 pts +850
Patriots Win By 04-06 pts +1300
Patriots Win By 07-10 pts +1000
Patriots Win By 11-13 pts +1800
Patriots Win By 14-17 pts +1700
Patriots Win By 18-21 pts +2300
Patriots Win By 22 or more +1150
Total Points
00-14 Points +18000
15-21 Points +5000
22-28 Points +2000
29-35 Points +950
36-42 Points +600
43-49 Points +450
50-56 Points +425
57-63 Points +450
64-70 Points +550
71-77 Points +800
78 or More Points +500
First Scoring play
Broncos Any Other Touchdown +2200
Broncos Field Goal +375
Broncos Safety +6000
Broncos Touchdown Pass +220
Broncos Touchdown Run +600
Patriots Any Other Touchdown +2500
Patriots Field Goal +500
Patriots Safety +6000
Patriots Touchdown Pass +315
Patriots Touchdown Run +600
Who Will Score the First Touchdown?
Knowshown Moreno (Broncos) +700
LeGarrette Blount (Patriots) +750
Demaryius Thomas (Broncos) +750
Julius Thomas (Broncos) +850
Wes Welker (Broncos) +850
Eric Decker (Broncos) +900
Julian Edelman (Patriots) +1000
Danny Amendola (Patriots) +1400
Montee Ball (Broncos) +1500
Shane Vereen (Patriots) +1500
Stevan Ridley (Patriots) +1500
Michael Hoomanawanui (Patriots) +2500
Tom Brady (Patriots) +2500
Field (Any Other Player) +700
No TD Scored in the Game +75000
Game Specials
Danny Amendola Over 125 Receiving Yards +450
Danny Amendola to Record 10 or More Receptions +700
Danny Amendola to Score a TD and New England Patriots Wins Game +700
Demaryius Thomas Over 125 Receiving Yards +450
Demaryius Thomas to Record 10 or More Receptions +900
Demaryius Thomas to Score a TD and Denver Broncos Wins Game +115
Eric Decker Over 125 Receiving Yards +550
Eric Decker and Demaryius Thomas Both to Score a TD +200
Eric Decker to Record 9 or More Receptions +550
Eric Decker to Score a TD and Denver Broncos Wins Game +150
Jacob Tamme to Score a TD and Denver Broncos Wins Game +900
Julian Edelman Over 125 Receiving Yards +600
Julian Edelman to Record 12 or More Receptions +650
Julian Edelman to Score a TD and New England Patriots Wins Game +650
Julius Thomas Over 100 Receiving Yards +800
Julius Thomas to Record 8 or More Receptions +900
Julius Thomas to Score a TD and Denver Broncos Wins Game +150
Kenbrell Thompkins Over 75 Receiving Yards +600
Kenbrell Thompkins to Score a TD and New England Patriots Wins Game +1100
Knowshon Moreno Over 125 Rushing Yards +450
Knowshon Moreno to Score 2 or More TDs +450
Knowshon Moreno Over 150 Rushing + Receiving Yards +400
Knowshon Moreno to Score a TD and Denver Broncos Wins Game +137
LeGarrette Blount Over 125 Rushing Yards +375
LeGarrette Blount to Score 2 or More TDs +225
LeGarrette Blount Over 150 Rushing + Receiving Yards +600
LeGarrette Blount to Score a TD and New England Patriots Wins Game +333
Michael Hoomanawanui Over 30 Receiving Yards +450
Michael Hoomanawanui to Score a TD and New England Patriots Wins Game +1200
Montee Ball Over 100 Rushing + Receiving Yards +900
Montee Ball to Score a TD and Denver Broncos Wins Game +500
Patriots and Broncos Both to Score Defensive Touchdowns +2300
Peyton Manning Over 400 Passing Yards +450
Peyton Manning To Throw 35 or More Pass Completions +800
Peyton Manning To Throw 6 or More TD Passes +1000
Ronnie Hillman to Score a TD and Denver Broncos Wins Game +1700
Shane Vereen Over 100 Receiving Yards +900
Shane Vereen Over 125 Rushing + Receiving Yards +550
Shane Vereen to Score a TD and New England Patriots Wins Game +550
Stevan Ridley Over 100 Rushing + Receiving Yards +1200
Stevan Ridley to Score a TD and New England Patriots Wins Game +750
Tom Brady Over 400 Passing Yards +700
Tom Brady To Throw 35 or More Pass Completions +1000
Tom Brady To Throw 4 or More TD Passes +650
Wes Welker Over 100 Receiving Yards +600
Wes Welker and Julius Thomas Both to Score a TD +275
Wes Welker to Record 10 or More Receptions +800
Wes Welker to Score a TD and Denver Broncos Wins Game +162
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