Texas Tech vs. Texas Prediction
Are the Texas Longhorns a safe play for bettors as a home favorite on Friday night when they host their in-state rivals the Texas Tech Red Raiders at 8:00 p.m. ET?
ODDSMAKERS LIKE: Texas. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Longhorns are 9.5-point home favorites versus the Red Raiders, who opened as an 11-point road underdog. As for the total, the number hit the board at 55.5 but has climbed slightly up to 56.
THE PUBLIC LIKES: Texas Tech. As of Friday morning, the Red Raiders were receiving nearly 60% of the tickets to cover the spread as an underdog.
HISTORICAL TRENDS LIKE: Texas and the under. The road team is 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings between these two teams but the favorite has also covered in five of the last seven meetings. The Red Raiders are also just 1-6 at the betting window in their last seven games. The under, meanwhile, has cashed in four of the last five meetings.
WHO WE LIKE: Texas. If I knew Texas Tech quarterback Nic Shimeonek were starting I might feel good about taking the Red Raiders with the points. But I don’t think he’s playing and even if he played injured, this is a bad spot for any Tech quarterback going against Texas’ defense.
The Longhorns are allowing just 21.2 points per game, which ranks 32nd in the nation. They’re also 34th in total yards and while they have struggled against the pass this year, it’s mostly because they’re allowing just 109.6 rush yards per game (8th in FBS) and opponents can pound them on the ground.
The Red Raiders are 1-5 against the spread in their last six games overall, are winless at 0-4 against the number in their last four games against a team with a winning record, and are 1-5 at the betting window in their last six conference games. The Longhorns, meanwhile, are 7-2-1 against the spread in their last 10 games overall and are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five home games.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 13 PICK: TEXAS LONGHORNS -9.5