Purdue vs. Wisconsin Prediction
Is No. 12 Wisconsin giving up too many points at home today when the Badgers play host to Purdue at 4PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
145 Purdue vs. 146 Wisconsin
Saturday, November 23, 2019
4PM ET – Camp Randall Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Wisconsin is the clear favorite at home, as the Badgers are getting odds of -24.5 points against Purdue. The over/under total for the game is listed at 48 points. The public betting currently has 70 percent going on Wisconsin as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Wisconsin back to looking strong
After dropping road games to Illinois and Ohio State, Wisconsin has bounced back with wins over Iowa and Nebraska the last two weeks. The Badgers are 8-2 on the season, 5-2 in the Big Ten, 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 with the under. If they win out, they will win the Big Ten West.
Wisconsin is one of the top defensive teams in the country, with the Badgers giving up 13.4 points and 259.7 yards per game. Chris Orr is leading the Wisconsin defense with 55 tackles and 10 sacks. Offensively, Wisconsin is putting up 34.6 points and 425.9 yards per game. Jonathan Taylor is leading the offense with 1,463 rushing yards and 17 touchdowns while Jack Coan has thrown for 1,826 yards and 13 touchdowns. Quintez Cephus is Wisconsin’s top receiver with 35 catches for 527 yards and four scores.
Purdue seeks third straight victory
Purdue is coming off back-to-back wins over Nebraska and Northwestern and then grabbing a bye week before this game. The Boilermakers are 4-6 on the season, 3-4 in the Big Ten, 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 with the over.
The Boilermakers aren’t terribly impressive on offense or defense this year. Purdue is giving up 27.8 points and 410.7 yards per game on defense while putting up 24.5 points and 375.6 yards per game on offense. Purdue has taken some tough injuries on offense with both Jack Plummer and Elijah Sindelar taking season-ending injuries. They had combined for over 2,500 passing yards and 20 touchdowns. Aidan O’Connell is now under center. He has thrown for 404 yards and three touchdowns with two interceptions. David Bell is the top receiver with 65 catches for 791 yards and five scores while King Doerue is the leading rusher with 403 yards and five scores.
College Football Betting Trends
The Badgers are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six against a losing team, but 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.
The Boilermakers are 5-1 against the spread in their last six conference games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games in November.
Wisconsin hasn’t lost to Purdue in over a decade, but the Boilermakers have covered in two of the last four meetings. Wisconsin was caught looking ahead to Ohio State when it lost to Illinois and perhaps the same could happen this week with Minnesota awaiting the Badgers next week. However, I think Wisconsin will be ready today. They already have paid for looking ahead once and I don’t see them doing it at home. Wisconsin’s defense has been locked in most of the year and Purdue will be coming in with a third-string quarterback. That should create short fields for the Wisconsin offense and allow the Badgers to cover this big spread.
College Football Week 13 Prediction: Wisconsin -24.5