San Diego St. vs. Hawaii Total Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, San Diego State is favored on the road, as the Aztecs are getting odds of -9.5 points against Hawaii. The over/under total has been set at 54 points. San Diego State has won five straight meetings with Hawaii and the two have hit the under in three of their last four meetings. The public is currently putting 78 percent of the wagers on San Diego State on the road. Tonight’s game takes place from Aloha Stadium in Honolulu, Hawaii and will air live on ESPN2.
Hawaii is coming off a 37-26 win over San Jose State two weeks ago to move to 3-4 on the season and 1-3 in conference play. The Warriors are 4-3 with the under this season and 2-1 with the under at home. Hawaii is averaging 28.9 points and 480.1 yards per game on offense, the defense is giving up 35.6 points and 478.4 yards per contest. The Hawaii offense is led by Diocemy Saint Juste, who has run for 1,094 yards and six touchdowns. Quarterback Dru Brown has thrown for 1,816 yards and 13 touchdowns with seven interceptions. John Ursua was the leading receiver with 47 catches for 667 yards and five touchdowns, but he suffered a torn ACL recently and is out for the season.
San Diego State is coming off a 27-3 loss to Fresno State last week for its second straight loss. The Aztecs are 6-2 on the season and 2-2 in the Mountain West. SDSU is 5-2-1 with the under this season and 2-1 with the under on the road. The Aztecs have a defense that are holding opponents to 21.8 points and 318.8 yards per game. Offensively, SDSU is putting up 26 points and 362.5 yards per game. Rashaad Penny is leading the offense with 1,115 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns while Christian Chapman has 1,285 passing yards and eight touchdowns.
San Diego State isn’t doing much on offense in recent games, which has led to the losses and the low totals. The defense is still good and will be tough to move the ball against, but the Aztecs haven’t been able to find enough offense to hit the over. SDSU has hit the under in five of its last six after a double-digit loss at home. They also have hit it in 8 of their last 11 after a loss of 20 points or more. I think the total goes under tonight as the SDSU offense will continue to struggle.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: SAN DIEGO STATE/HAWAII UNDER 54