New Mexico State vs. LSU Free Pick
BATON ROUGE, LA (The Spread) – Fresh off its shocking loss to Mississippi State, No. 17 LSU will look to rebound tonight when it hosts New Mexico State at 7:30PM ET.
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NEW MEXICO STATE: After starting the season 2-0 the Aggies have dropped their last two games, which includes a 38-35 loss to New Mexico last Saturday. The good news for bettors is that they’re also 3-1 against the spread, although they’re 1-1 ATS on the road. The over is 3-1 in their four games this season including 2-0 on the road as Tyler Rogers has thrown for 1,056 yards this season.
LSU: The Tigers fell to 3-1 on the season with a shocking 34-29 loss to Mississippi State as a 7-point favorite last week That said, they’re still 3-0 against the spread, which includes a 3-1 home mark. Anthony Jennings has thrown for 723 yards while Kenny Hilliard has rushed for a team-high 245 yards and Travin Dural has a team-high four touchdowns.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, LSU is a 43-point favorite over New Mexico State while the over/under total is currently sitting at 56 points. The Tigers opened as 47-point favorites before the line was bet down, while the total opened at 54.5 before being bet up.
NCAA FREE PICK: Take the over. According to latest college football trends, the over is 9-0 in the Aggies’ last nine road games, 5-0 in their last five games versus SEC opponents and 14-3 in their last 17 non-conference games. The over is also 12-5 in the Tigers’ last 17 games on grass, 5-2 in their last seven games in September and 11-5 in their last 16 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
2014 COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5 FREE PICK: NEW MEXICO STATE/LSU OVER 56
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