SMU vs. Baylor Free Pick
WACO, TX (The Spread) – Will Baylor cover the massive spread tonight when it hosts SMU at 7:30PM ET in both team’s opener?
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According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, Baylor is currently a 34-point favorite tonight versus the visiting SMU Mustangs. The total, meanwhile, is sitting at 75 points as oddsmakers prepare for Heisman Trophy candidate Bryce Petty to light up the scoreboard throughout the night.
Since opening at Baylor -30, the line for this game has been rising. At most online and Vegas sports books, the spread has climbed to 34 or as high as 34.5, but isn’t lower than 33.5 in favor of the Bears. As for the total, it opened at 68 and has shot all the way up to 75, although some books currently list the number at 75.5. Thus, if you like Baylor or the over, don’t wait because both lines continue to move up.
Unsurprisingly, the public is all over Baylor despite the 34-point spread. According to our public betting charts, 80% of the betting public currently sides with the Bears despite the high spread. This action has certainly forced linesmakers to adjust, which is why we’ve seen the number go from 30 to 34.
FREE PICK: Take Baylor. According to latest college football trends, the Bears are 4-1 against the number in their last five non-conference games, 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games and 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games overall. On the other side, the Mustangs are 0-4 against the spread in their last four games versus the Bears, 0-4 ATS in their last four games in August, and 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games versus Big 12 opponents.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 1 FREE PICK: BAYLOR BEARS -34
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