Illinois vs. Nebraska Free Pick
LINCOLN, NE (The Spread) – No. 21 Nebraska hosts Illinois at 9:00PM ET tonight when both teams kick off their Big Ten schedules.
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ILLINOIS: The Fighting Illini improved to 3-1 on the year with a come-from-behind 42-35 victory over Texas State at home last week. That said, Illinois is just 1-3 against the spread, with its only cover coming on as a 3.5-point favorite over Western Kentucky on September 6. Josh Ferguson has rushed for 316 yards on the season and a team-high five touchdowns.
NEBRASKA: The Cornhuskers ran their record to 4-0 on the year with a 41-31 win over Miami at home last week. They covered as 7.5-point favorites and are now 3-1 against the number this season, while the over is 3-1 in their four games. Ameer Abdullah leads the team with a 625 yards and seven touchdowns, while Tommy Armstrong Jr. has thrown for 886 yards.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, Nebraska is a 20-point favorite over Illinois while the total is currently sitting at 66 points. The Cornhuskers opened as 17.5-point favorites before the line was bet up, while the total opened at 67 before being bet down.
NCAA FREE PICK: Take the over. According to latest college football trends, the over is 4-0 in the Fighting Illini’s last four games following an ATS loss, 7-2 in their last nine games in September, and 9-4 in their last 13 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. The over is also 4-1 in the Cornhuskers’ last five home games, 5-2 in their last seven games in September and 7-1 in their last eight games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
2014 COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5 FREE PICK: ILLINOIS/NEBRASKA OVER 66
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