Florida vs. Alabama Free Pick
TUSCALOOSA, AL (The Spread) – If Florida wants to prove it’s a legit playoff contender then the Gators will need to pull off an upset today when they visit No. 3 Alabama at 3:30PM ET.
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Kentucky nearly pulled off the upset last week in Gainesville but Florida survived for a 36-30 victory in triple overtime. Demarcus Robinson caught 15 passes for 216 yards and two touchdowns in the victory, while quarterback Jeff Driskel completed 25-of-43 passes for 295 yards with three touchdowns and one pick. The game was tied 3-3 at half but the two teams combined for 31 points in the third quarter alone as the combined score went over the total.
The Crimson Tide rolled to a 52-12 victory over Southern Miss in their third-straight victory to start the season. Quarterback Blake Sims completed 12 of 17 pass attempts for 168 yards and two touchdowns while also rushing for 46 yards and a additional score on the ground. Sims remains the No. 1 quarterback for Nick Saban, although Jake Coker remains waiting in the wings should Sims falter.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, Alabama is a 14-point favorite over Florida, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 51 points. The Crimson Tide opened as 17-point favorites but the line has dropped, while the total opened at 53.5 before dropping as well.
NCAA FREE PICK: Take the over. According to latest college football trends, the over is 5-2 in the Gators’ last seven games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. The over is also 5-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last six conference games, 4-1 in its last five games overall and 6-2 in its last eight home games. The over is also 9-1-2 in Alabama’s last 12 games after scoring more than 40 points in its previous game and 6-1 in its last seven games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
2014 COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 4 FREE PICK: FLORIDA/ALABAMA OVER 51
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