2011 Boise State vs. Fresno State Week 6 Picks & Predictions

Boise State vs. Fresno State Free Pick

(The Spread) – Can No. 6 Boise State keep their national championship hopes alive with a road win against Fresno State tonight at 9:00PM ET?

Odds: Oddsmakers have installed the visiting Broncos as 21-point favorites against the unranked Fresno State Bulldogs. Boise comes into this game with a 4-0 record and a 2-2 mark against the spread, while Fresno is 2-3 overall and 2-2 ATS versus FBS opponents. The over has hit in all four of the Bulldogs’ games against FBS opponents this season.

Line Movement: Boise State opened as a 20.5-point favorite at the Las Vegas Hilton but now is –21 at that sports book. The spread has never wavered between those two numbers and it’s not surprising to see the line move up to the key number of 21 with so many public supporters on the Broncos tonight.

View 2012 BCS National Championship Odds

Public Betting: Of the 23,600-plus wagers on today’s game, 79% of college football public bettors currently favor Boise State. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link provided to ensure that you’re viewing the most up-to-date public betting numbers.

College Football Free Pick: Take the Broncos. According to latest college football trends, Boise State is 5-0 against the spread in its last five games against Fresno and 4-1 ATS in its last five road games against the Bulldogs. The favorite is also 10-1 against the number in the last 11 meetings between these two teams, while Fresno is 0-4 ATS in its last four games versus the Mountain West Conference. Kellen Moore and Co. should find the end zone plenty of times against an inferior Fresno State team that is allowing 32.4 points per game this season.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 6 FREE PICK: BOISE STATE BRONCOS –21

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