This Spurs vs Suns prediction starts with a short list of absences and a big gap in team ratings. San Antonio comes into Phoenix on an eight-game winning streak and is laying 8.5 points on Monday night. The Suns have won two straight but sit 3-5. Below we cover availability, pace, the schedule spot and how the market has priced the game, then make two picks.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns — Game Info
| Where | Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix Arizona |
| When | November 9 – 9:00 PM ET |
| TV | Arizona’s Family, Suns+, DAZN |
San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Preview
Availability comes first. Victor Wembanyama is not on the Spurs’ injury list. However, Devin Vassell is a game-time decision with a groin issue, per the ESPN injury report for Spurs vs. Suns. Tobias Harris (calf) and Jayden Quaintance (knee) are listed out. Phoenix is without center Mark Williams (shoulder), and Jordan Goodwin (calf) is questionable. Vassell’s status is still open, so anything that depends on San Antonio’s wing rotation should be treated as provisional until the final report.
The ratings gap is large. San Antonio posts a 118.0 offensive rating and a 107.7 defensive rating, for a +10.3 net rating. Those figures come from Basketball Reference’s Suns ratings and pace figures. Phoenix sits at 113.8 on offense and 120.2 on defense, for a -6.3 net rating. Neither team plays fast. The Spurs rank 18th in pace and the Suns rank 25th, so this projects as a game with fewer possessions than average.
Form backs up the numbers. The Spurs dropped their first two games and have won eight in a row since, including a 125-103 rout at Portland on Saturday. They are 4-0 on the road. Even so, they are only 4-6 against the spread, because the market keeps pricing them as a top team. Phoenix beat Houston 102-99 on Saturday after topping Orlando 117-104, and Devin Booker is scoring 25.3 points per game.
The schedule matters too. This is San Antonio’s third game in four nights, after stops at Sacramento on Friday and Portland on Saturday. Phoenix is on the front end of a back-to-back, with the Clippers visiting Tuesday. Last season’s series split 2-2, and the Spurs won the last meeting 101-100 in March.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | -8.5 (-110) | -390 | O 227.0 (-110) |
| Suns | +8.5 (-110) | +295 | U 227.0 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of November 9, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NBA Odds – Futures – Props
San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Spurs | 79% | 21% | Suns |
See the latest NBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Spurs vs. Suns Prediction — Who Owns the Glass Without Mark Williams?
The cleanest edge in this game sits on the boards. Phoenix ranks last in the league in rebounds per game at 39.3. San Antonio ranks third at 48.5. That gap was already wide before the Suns lost Williams at center. Now Phoenix has even less size to put against Wembanyama.
Wembanyama is averaging 12.0 rebounds per game. He also has 3.9 blocks per game, and his rim protection turns misses into long rebounds he can reach. The slow pace trims chances slightly. Still, Phoenix takes a heavy share of its shots from three, and long misses land in his range. The price asks for a 43.5% hit rate. Against the league’s worst rebounding team, his true chance looks a little better than that.
The market’s own ladder tells the story. His 10+ rebounds line is priced at -290, so double digits is the expected outcome. The step to 13 is where the payout turns plus-money. That is the right place to look. It only needs a modestly better night than his average, against the weakest rebounding team in the league. In contrast, the 15+ rung at +285 needs a ceiling game.
The risk is minutes. San Antonio is on its third game in four nights. A blowout could also send Wembanyama to the bench early, which caps his total. That makes this a lean rather than a strong play, but it is the most direct way to bet on the matchup’s biggest mismatch.
The Pick: Victor Wembanyama To Record 13+ Rebounds (+130)
Spurs vs. Suns Prediction — Does a Third Game in Four Nights Slow San Antonio?
Pace sets the frame here. Both teams sit in the bottom half of the league in possessions. Blend each offense with the other’s defense at the expected pace, and the projection lands right around this number. There is no cushion on the high side. Tired legs on the back half of a road trip tend to cost jump-shot accuracy late in games. The under has also cashed in most Spurs games this season, and San Antonio’s fifth-ranked defense is the main reason.
Availability feeds into the total as well. If Vassell sits, San Antonio loses a rotation shooter, and the half-court offense leans harder on Wembanyama and the young guards. Harris is already out, which shortens the forward rotation on a tired night. On the other side, Phoenix’s offense ranks 17th by rating, and the Suns scored only 102 points in Saturday’s win over Houston. Booker can carry a scoring burst on his own. Even so, San Antonio’s length makes clean looks at the rim hard to find.
The case against is real. Phoenix’s defense ranks near the bottom of the league, and the Spurs are scoring 118.4 points per game. The total has also ticked up half a point from its 226.5 open. Note that this pick and the rebounding pick share an input: more misses help both. This is a lean with a thin edge.
The Pick: Under 227.0 (-110)
Our Final Word on Spurs vs. Suns
The side is the hardest read on the board. On ratings alone, San Antonio projects to win by more than 8.5. The moneyline price of -390 implies about 79.6%, a touch above ESPN’s matchup model at 75.1%. Meanwhile, 79% of spread tickets are on the Spurs, yet the number has not moved off its -8.5 open. A frozen line under one-way public action often hints at quieter money on the other side. Add the Spurs’ 4-6 record against the spread, and laying the points carries more friction than the ratings suggest.
Sample size is the other caution. Ten games for San Antonio and eight for Phoenix produce ratings that will move. The Spurs’ streak includes wins over Utah, Sacramento and Dallas, and a +10.3 net rating may cool as the schedule toughens. That is one more reason to express the read through the matchup itself rather than through a big number on the side.
For Spurs fans, local games stream on DAZN, the Spurs’ streaming home for non-national games. For more on Phoenix’s recent form, see our Magic vs Suns prediction from November 5.
Victor Wembanyama To Record 13+ Rebounds at +130 is our top play, because Phoenix ranks last in rebounding and is without Mark Williams. Under 227.0 at -110 is the second play, because two below-average-pace teams meet with San Antonio on its third game in four nights.
NBA Spurs vs. Suns FAQ: November 9, 2026
What time does the Spurs vs. Suns game start?
The Spurs vs. Suns game tips off at 9:00 PM ET on Monday, November 9, 2026. That is 7:00 PM local time in Phoenix. The game is the Spurs’ third in four nights and the first half of a back-to-back for the Suns, who host the Clippers on Tuesday.
What channel is the Spurs vs. Suns game on?
In the Phoenix market, the game airs on Arizona’s Family and streams on Suns+. In the San Antonio market, the Spurs’ local broadcast streams on DAZN, which carries the team’s games that are not on national television. The game is not listed on a national network.
Where are the Spurs and Suns playing?
The Spurs and Suns play at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona, the Suns’ home arena. San Antonio arrives 4-0 on the road this season. Phoenix has won its last two games, both at home, beating Orlando and Houston. Tip-off is set for 9:00 PM ET.
Who won the last meeting between the Spurs and Suns?
The Spurs won the last regular-season meeting 101-100 in San Antonio on March 19, 2026. That result closed a 2-2 season series in 2025-26. Phoenix won both November meetings that season, and San Antonio took both meetings in February and March.
What is the Spurs’ record this season?
The Spurs are 8-2 this season and lead the Southwest Division. They lost their first two games and have won eight straight since, most recently a 125-103 win at Portland on Saturday. The Suns are 3-5 and sit third in the Pacific Division.