Nuggets vs. Heat Game 4 Prediction
Two of the three games in the NBA Finals fell under the total but will Game 4 also turn into a relative defensive struggle when the Heat host the Nuggets at 8:30 p.m. ET on Friday night?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
519 Denver Nuggets (-3.5) at 520 Miami Heat (+3.5); o/u 210.5
8:30 p.m. ET, Friday, June 9, 2023
Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Nuggets vs. Heat Public Betting Information
Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 57% of public bettors are currently backing the Heat when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Denver Nuggets DFS Spin
Jamal Murray suffered a floor burn on his left hand during Wednesday’s Game 3 win over the Heat. A few alarm bells went off when it was reported that Murray was at Denver’s practice session with a bandaged left hand on Thursday. All is well, as the star guard is simply dealing with a floor burn. Also, Murray’s right-handed, so some tape on his left hand should not pose an issue for Game 4 on Friday. It would be surprising if his name were even included on the Nuggets’ injury report when that gets released.
Miami Heat DFS Spin
Tyler Herro (fractured right hand) has been ruled out for Friday’s game against the Nuggets. While there was optimism earlier in the series that Herro could be available as soon as Game 3, he has yet to be cleared to play. He was expected to go through another contact workout on Thursday, but the early injury designation shows that there’s still work to be done on Herro’s part. Max Strus, who has filled the void in the starting lineup, struggled in Miami’s Game 3 defeat. The Heat will need more from him if they’re to have any chance of winning the series.
Nuggets vs. Heat NBA Playoff Betting Trends
Nuggets are 27-10 ATS in the last 37 meetings
Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami
Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games
Heat are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall
Nuggets vs. Heat NBA Playoff Prediction:
The over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these two teams in Miami and is 6-2 in the last eight meetings overall. The over is also 6-2-1 in the Nuggets’ last nine road games, is 11-3 in their last 14 games versus a team with a winning record and is 6-2-1 in their last nine road games versus a team with a winning home record. On the other side, the over is 4-1 in the Heat’s last five games versus a team with a winning record, is 5-1 in their last six home games versus a team with a losing road record and is 13-5 in their last 18 games following a double-digit loss at home.
NBA FINALS GAME 4 OVER/UNDER PREDICTION: NUGGETS/HEAT OVER 210.5